FREE $100K
Today Screener Big Ideas Track Record 💰 $100K Arena 🎲 Predictions 🏛️ Insiders 8 Analysts

Natural Gas Services Group Inc. (NGS) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$32.40 -1.46% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $32.25

Natural Gas Services Group Inc. (NGS) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 33/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $417.9M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NGS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Natural Gas Services Group Inc. (NYSE: NGS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $32.40 (-1.46% 1D, market cap $417.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NGS ranks #189 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NGS compare to CLB and RNGR in the Energy sector?
▼

Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), NGS carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.7%. By comparison, CLB (Core Laboratories Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 16.1x, ROIC 12.6%, cap $488.2M) and RNGR (Ranger Energy Services Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 29.4x, ROIC 4.2%, cap $356.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CLB leads on earnings multiple (16.1x) while CLB leads on capital efficiency (12.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NGS?
▼

Per NGS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001084991), Natural Gas Services Group Inc. generated $172.3M in revenue (+9.9% YoY), $19.9M in net income, and -$58.6M in free cash flow against $586.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $32.25 (-0.45%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510033
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (6)Whales (6)SEC (8)Macro (5)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.3% Base Target
$47 Bull$29 Base$22 Bear
📬 FREE NGS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NGS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (33/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NGS SCORES 33/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.79 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+8/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 40% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (48.6) create a -15 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
41
Grade D$33.34-7.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
38
Grade E$30.88+5.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
36
Grade E$32.45-0.2% Next Q
Current
33
Grade E$32.40-8.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (41) → E (33)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NGS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NGS currently carries a cautious 33/100 (E) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($33.69) and Max Pain ($34.02) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $46.84.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NGS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NGS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.22% Total Yield
0.62% Cash ($0.20/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 • FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
50.4% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6.7% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $19,127

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $233/yr
$10.7K
Yr 1
$11.4K
Yr 2
$12.1K
Yr 3
$13.0K
Yr 4
$13.8K
Yr 5
$14.8K
Yr 6
$15.7K
Yr 7
$16.8K
Yr 8
$17.9K
Yr 9
$19.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NGS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NGS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
NGS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -20.59%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $32.88H $32.88L $32.40C $32.40VOL 81.7K
RES: $34.22SUP: $29.08SMA50: $33.69SMA200: $37.48
$45.64$41.38$37.11$32.85$28.59RES $34.22SUP $29.08$32.402026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NGS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
15.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NGS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NGS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NGS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NGS)

Energy Rank #189 of 211 ⚔️ CLB vs NGS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (NGS vs. CLB, RNGR, NOA, ACDC)

Industry: Oilfield Services/Equipment (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Natural Gas Services Group Inc. (NGS) ranks #189 by composite RQD confidence (33/100, grade E) and #156 by equity capitalization ($417.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CLB leads on earnings valuation at 16.1x trailing P/E, while CLB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.6% ROIC and 20.7% gross margin. CLB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with NGS at 33/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NGS ACTIVE
Natural Gas Services Group Inc.
E 33/100 21.3x — 10.7% -1.46% $417.9M Benchmark Subject
CLB
Core Laboratories Inc.
C- 59/100 16.1x 20.7% 12.6% +2.31% $488.2M /clb-vs-ngs →
RNGR
Ranger Energy Services Inc. (Class A)
D+ 52/100 29.4x — 4.2% -1.44% $356.1M /rngr-vs-ngs →
NOA
North American Construction Group Ltd. (no par)
D 46/100 — — — -4.39% $332.2M /noa-vs-ngs →
ACDC
ProFrac Holding Corp. (Class A)
E 32/100 — — -11.4% +0.62% $888.8M /acdc-vs-ngs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001084991 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Natural Gas Services Group Inc. (NGS) reported GAAP revenue of $172.3M (+9.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $156.7M , and +1048.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $19.9M, operating cash flow of $62.9M, and free cash flow of -$58.6M (-978.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, NGS closed FY2025 with $586.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.79, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $172.3M $19.9M $62.9M -$58.6M $586.8M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $156.7M $17.2M $66.5M -$5.4M $492.5M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $15.0M $4.7M $18.0M $18.0M — —

3. NGS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Natural Gas Services Group Inc. (NYSE: NGS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $32.40 (-1.46% 1D, market cap $417.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NGS ranks #189 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NGS compare to CLB and RNGR in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), NGS carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.7%. By comparison, CLB (Core Laboratories Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 16.1x, ROIC 12.6%, cap $488.2M) and RNGR (Ranger Energy Services Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 29.4x, ROIC 4.2%, cap $356.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CLB leads on earnings multiple (16.1x) while CLB leads on capital efficiency (12.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NGS?

Per NGS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001084991), Natural Gas Services Group Inc. generated $172.3M in revenue (+9.9% YoY), $19.9M in net income, and -$58.6M in free cash flow against $586.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NGS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NGS last traded at $32.40 (-1.46% on volume of 81,731 shares), positioning the stock -3.83% below its 50-day simple moving average ($33.69) and -13.55% below its 200-day simple moving average ($37.48). Across its 52-week range of $27.22 to $44.61, NGS sits at the 29.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.6% ($30.26 to $34.54).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 33/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

NGS — Natural Gas Services Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Natural Gas Services Group Inc. (NGS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 33/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $32.40 (-1.46% 1D, market capitalization $417.9M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (6/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 10.7%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 21.6%, and free cash flow yield of -13.81%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (8/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.79, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Natural Gas Services Group Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, operating within the Oilfield Services/Equipment industry. The market capitalization is $0.4B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Natural Gas Services Group Inc. (NGS) reported $172.3M in annual revenue (up from $156.7M in FY2024, +9.9% YoY) and $19.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($15.0M revenue, $4.7M net income) through FY2025, NGS scaled operating cash flow to $62.9M and free cash flow to -$58.6M, backed by $586.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 33/100): Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -13.81% and institutional whale pillar of 6/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 6/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $27.22 – $44.61 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 21.3x trailing P/E and 3.0x EV/EBITDA against 21.6% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies: — Sector correlations: — Second-order bottlenecks: — The sector and industry classification (Energy; Oilfield Services/Equipment) is the only supply-chain context provided, and investors should not infer specific ripple effects beyond that classification from this dataset.

  • Key Question #1: Can NGS sustain or expand its 21.6% operating margin and 10.7% ROIC against Oilfield Services/Equipment peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $172.3M and free cash flow of -$58.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is NGS's 19.8x forward P/E multiple to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

NGS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Natural Gas Services Group Inc. (NGS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NGS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NGS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $32.40?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NGS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NGS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $39.85 (+23.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Reported operating margin of 21.6% and ROIC of 10.7% show profitability that could support valuation if cash conversion improves.

The street is overcomplicating Natural Gas Services Group Inc. (NGS). Reported operating margin of 21.6% and ROIC of 10.7% show profitability that could support valuation if cash conversion improves.. With an RQD score of 33/100 (E) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 8/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $34.99.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@SkepticalCFA Shorting a 6/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $32.40 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Energy.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $24.30 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $32.40

Free cash flow yield of -13.81% and FY 2025 FCF of -$58.6M contradict reported earnings, flagging forensic risk.

I respect the product at Natural Gas Services Group Inc., but the stock at $32.40 is a different story. Free cash flow yield of -13.81% and FY 2025 FCF of -$58.6M contradict reported earnings, flagging forensic risk.. FCF yield is -13.81% and RQD sits at 33/100 (E) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

LIVE TAPE SPY $752.10 -1.80% QQQ $681.09 -3.60% DIA $519.34 -1.08% IWM $279.14 -1.68% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.35 -5.42% GLD $361.65 -3.59%