Natural Gas Services Group Inc. (NGS) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.8% Move

$32.40 -1.46% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $32.25

Natural Gas Services Group Inc. (NGS) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 33/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $424.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Natural Gas Services Group Inc. (NYSE: NGS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $32.40 (-1.46% 1D, market cap $424.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NGS ranks #190 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NGS compare to CLB and RNGR in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), NGS carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.7%. By comparison, CLB (Core Laboratories Inc.) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 16.1x, ROIC 12.6%, cap $477.2M) and RNGR (Ranger Energy Services Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 29.4x, ROIC 4.2%, cap $361.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CLB leads on earnings multiple (16.1x) while CLB leads on capital efficiency (12.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NGS?
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Per NGS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001084991), Natural Gas Services Group Inc. generated $172.3M in revenue (+9.9% YoY), $19.9M in net income, and -$58.6M in free cash flow against $586.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $32.25 (-0.45%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510033
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (6)Whales (6)SEC (8)Macro (5)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.3% Base Target
$47 Bull$29 Base$22 Bear
📬 FREE NGS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NGS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (33/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NGS SCORES 33/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.79 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+8/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 40% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (51.9) create a -15 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
41
Grade D$32.90-5.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
38
Grade E$31.04+0.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
36
Grade E$31.28+3.6% Next Q
Current
33
Grade E$32.40-8.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (41) → E (33)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NGS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NGS currently carries a cautious 33/100 (E) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($33.74) and Max Pain ($34.02) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $46.84.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NGS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NGS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.8% Swing Band

±$2.20 Expected Swing
$30.20 (-6.8%)Spot $32.40$34.60 (+6.8%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

NGS Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 33/100

Trailing EPS: $1.55 • YoY Revenue Growth: 9.9%

Model Bullish Setup (33/100)Model Risk Weight (67/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$172.3M$19.9M-$58.6M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$156.7M$17.2M-$5.4M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$15.0M$4.7M$18.0M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NGS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NGS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NGS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -20.59%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $32.83H $32.88L $32.40C $32.40VOL 51.4K
RES: $34.34SUP: $29.19SMA50: $33.74SMA200: $37.48
$45.64$41.38$37.11$32.85$28.59RES $34.34SUP $29.19$32.402026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NGS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
15.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NGS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NGS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NGS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NGS)

Energy Rank #190 of 211 ⚔️ CLB vs NGS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (NGS vs. CLB, RNGR, NOA, ACDC)

Industry: Oilfield Services/Equipment (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Natural Gas Services Group Inc. (NGS) ranks #190 by composite RQD confidence (33/100, grade E) and #156 by equity capitalization ($424.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CLB leads on earnings valuation at 16.1x trailing P/E, while CLB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.6% ROIC and 20.7% gross margin. CLB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with NGS at 33/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NGS ACTIVE
Natural Gas Services Group Inc.
E 33/100 21.3x — 10.7% -1.46% $424.1M Benchmark Subject
CLB
Core Laboratories Inc.
D+ 58/100 16.1x 20.7% 12.6% +2.31% $477.2M /clb-vs-ngs →
RNGR
Ranger Energy Services Inc. (Class A)
D+ 53/100 29.4x — 4.2% -1.44% $361.3M /rngr-vs-ngs →
NOA
North American Construction Group Ltd. (no par)
D 49/100 — — — -4.39% $347.5M /noa-vs-ngs →
ACDC
ProFrac Holding Corp. (Class A)
E 33/100 — — -11.4% +0.62% $883.3M /acdc-vs-ngs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001084991

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Natural Gas Services Group Inc. (NGS) reported GAAP revenue of $172.3M (+9.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $156.7M , and +1048.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $19.9M, operating cash flow of $62.9M, and free cash flow of -$58.6M (-978.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, NGS closed FY2025 with $586.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.79, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $172.3M $19.9M $62.9M -$58.6M $586.8M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $156.7M $17.2M $66.5M -$5.4M $492.5M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $15.0M $4.7M $18.0M $18.0M — —

3. NGS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Natural Gas Services Group Inc. (NYSE: NGS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $32.40 (-1.46% 1D, market cap $424.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NGS ranks #190 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NGS compare to CLB and RNGR in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), NGS carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.7%. By comparison, CLB (Core Laboratories Inc.) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 16.1x, ROIC 12.6%, cap $477.2M) and RNGR (Ranger Energy Services Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 29.4x, ROIC 4.2%, cap $361.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CLB leads on earnings multiple (16.1x) while CLB leads on capital efficiency (12.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NGS?

Per NGS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001084991), Natural Gas Services Group Inc. generated $172.3M in revenue (+9.9% YoY), $19.9M in net income, and -$58.6M in free cash flow against $586.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NGS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NGS last traded at $32.40 (-1.46% on volume of 81,731 shares), positioning the stock -3.97% below its 50-day simple moving average ($33.74) and -13.55% below its 200-day simple moving average ($37.48). Across its 52-week range of $27.22 to $44.61, NGS sits at the 29.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.8% ($30.20 to $34.60).

NGS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is NGS's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Natural Gas Services Group Inc. (NGS)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is NGS stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±6.8% event move for NGS, spanning a range between $30.2 and $34.6.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 33/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NGS — Natural Gas Services Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:36:41Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Roarable RQD rating assigns NGS a score of 33 out of 100, a letter grade of E, and a verdict label of "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." Per the Roarable RQD rating, the five pillars score as follows:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (6/20): ROIC of 10.7% is reported alongside a free cash flow yield of -13.81%. A positive return on invested capital paired with negative free cash flow suggests reported earnings are not converting into cash at the rate the return metric implies, which is a central concern for a prospective investor.
  • Whale 13F Flow (6/20): Institutional accumulation and options positioning are scored weakly, indicating limited evidence of sustained large-holder conviction in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction (8/20): The SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow pillar is scored low, offering little insider-driven support for the thesis.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5/20): Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity are scored as the weakest pillar, meaning the stock's market-relative risk profile offers limited regime-based tailwind.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Altman Z of 1.79, Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5 are scored modestly. These figures do not signal acute distress but do not provide a strong margin of safety.

For a prospective investor, the aggregate picture is that the rating frames NGS as a forensic-risk name in which reported profitability (operating margin of 21.6%, net margin of 11.6%) is not corroborated by the cash generation indicated by the free cash flow yield. Upside drivers within the data are limited to the earnings profile and the valuation multiples; the principal tradeoff is that valuation metrics (P/E TTM of 21.3, forward P/E of 19.8) do not fully reconcile with the negative cash-flow signal. Investors evaluating the stock should weigh the rating's emphasis on cash conversion and forensic quality against the earnings-based metrics that appear more favorable on the surface.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
32.88$424.1M21.319.831.550.62%1.0$27.22 - $44.6110.7%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$172.3M$37.3M$19.9MN/A$-58.6M$0.0MN/A
FY 2024$156.7M$33.3M$17.2MN/A$-5.4M$2.1MN/A
FY 2023$15.0M$10.5M$4.7MN/A$18.0MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $15.0M in FY 2023 to $172.3M in FY 2025, with net income of $19.9M in FY 2025. Operating margin is reported at 21.6% and net margin at 11.6%, with ROIC at 10.7% per the market data. Free cash flow was negative in both FY 2025 ($-58.6M) and FY 2024 ($-5.4M). Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 1.79, the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5; the balance sheet posture is therefore characterized as moderate on these measures, while cash balance is reported as $0.0M for FY 2025.

Open Questions

  • What are the Q3 2026 earnings estimates and actual results, given the MarketBeat items reference an upcoming earnings announcement?
  • What explains the gap between positive reported net income and the negative free cash flow in FY 2024 and FY 2025?
  • What are the company's debt and cash balances, given the financials table reports debt as N/A and FY 2025 cash as $0.0M?
  • What are the customer concentration, contract tenor, and revenue drivers behind the FY 2023 to FY 2025 revenue growth?
  • What insider, institutional, and analyst positioning exists, given that analyst and holders data are both NONE?

NGS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Natural Gas Services Group Inc. (NGS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NGS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NGS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $32.40?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NGS 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NGS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $28.93 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NGS (E • RQD 33/100) a Buy at $32.88?

Welcome to the NGS (Natural Gas Services Group Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 33/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Oilfield Services/Equipment. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $24.66 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $32.88

Pump the brakes on NGS — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NGS, but look at what you are paying: 21.3x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Natural Gas Services Group Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $38.80 (+18.0%)
Spot @ $32.88

NGS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NGS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Oilfield Services/Equipment and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $32.88 (52-wk range $27.22 - $44.61), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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