Why NN Stock dropped -4.64% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$11.52 -4.64% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.40

NextNav Inc. (NN) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 18/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $1.94B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, NextNav Inc. (NASDAQ: NN) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 18/100 at a spot price of $11.52 (-4.64% 1D, market cap $1.94B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, NN ranks #477 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NN compare to SPB and HSAI in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), NN carries a Roarable E (18/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SPB (Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc.) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 18.8x, ROIC 4.2%, cap $1.92B) and HSAI (Hesai Group) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 32.7x, ROIC 1.8%, cap $1.91B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPB leads on earnings multiple (18.8x) while SPB leads on capital efficiency (4.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NN?
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Per NN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001865631), NextNav Inc. generated $4.6M in revenue (-19.3% YoY), -$189.3M in net income, and -$50.8M in free cash flow against $247.0M in total assets and $273.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.40 (-1.03%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (18/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-12.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510018
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (5)Whales (5)SEC (3)Macro (3)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-18% Base Target
$26 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
📬 FREE NN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (18/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NN SCORES 18/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+5/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+5/20 pts (28% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
15
Grade E$11.31-15% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
16
Grade E$9.61+23.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
18
Grade E$11.91-3.3% Next Q
Current
18
Grade E$11.52-12.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (15) → E (18)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NN currently carries a cautious 18/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($13.34) and Max Pain ($12.10) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $25.64.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why NN Stock dropped -4.64% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

NextNav Inc. (NN) dropped -4.64% to $11.52, trading at 16% of its 52-week range ($8.98 – $24.42). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 16% of its 52-week range ($8.98 – $24.42) with RSI-14 at 46.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $11.52 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live NN Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 6d ago
NextNav Announces Date for Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Call

RESTON, Va., October 27, 2026--NextNav Inc. ("NextNav") (NASDAQ: NN), a leader in next generation positioning, navigation, and timing (PNT) and 3D geolocation, today announced that it will release its results for the thi

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -36.42%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $12.08H $12.08L $11.52C $11.52VOL 2.64M
RES: $14.78SUP: $8.62SMA50: $13.34SMA200: $16.41
$25.50$21.02$16.55$12.07$7.59RES $14.78SUP $8.62$11.522026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -19.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NN)

Industrials Rank #477 of 485 ⚔️ SPB vs NN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (NN vs. SPB, HSAI, MFP, CHRN)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NextNav Inc. (NN) ranks #477 by composite RQD confidence (18/100, grade E) and #208 by equity capitalization ($1.94B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SPB leads on earnings valuation at 18.8x trailing P/E, while SPB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.2% ROIC and 36.7% gross margin. SPB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with NN at 18/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NN ACTIVE
NextNav Inc.
E 18/100 — — -35.0% -4.64% $1.94B Benchmark Subject
SPB
Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc.
C+ 68/100 18.8x 36.7% 4.2% +2.34% $1.92B /spb-vs-nn →
HSAI
Hesai Group
D- 38/100 32.7x 41.8% 1.8% -6.09% $1.91B /hsai-vs-nn →
MFP
Midera Food Processing Inc.
D 48/100 — — — -3.49% $1.81B /mfp-vs-nn →
CHRN
ChronoScale Holdings Corporation
E 25/100 — 9.6% -9.3% -7.91% $2.09B /chrn-vs-nn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001865631

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), NextNav Inc. (NN) reported GAAP revenue of $4.6M (-19.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.7M , and +18.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$189.3M, operating cash flow of -$50.7M, and free cash flow of -$50.8M (-32.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, NN closed FY2025 with $247.0M in total assets against $273.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $4.6M -$189.3M -$50.7M -$50.8M $247.0M $273.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $5.7M -$101.9M -$38.0M -$38.4M $161.7M $54.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.9M -$71.7M -$35.4M -$35.4M — —

3. NN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, NextNav Inc. (NASDAQ: NN) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 18/100 at a spot price of $11.52 (-4.64% 1D, market cap $1.94B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, NN ranks #477 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NN compare to SPB and HSAI in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), NN carries a Roarable E (18/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SPB (Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc.) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 18.8x, ROIC 4.2%, cap $1.92B) and HSAI (Hesai Group) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 32.7x, ROIC 1.8%, cap $1.91B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPB leads on earnings multiple (18.8x) while SPB leads on capital efficiency (4.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NN?

Per NN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001865631), NextNav Inc. generated $4.6M in revenue (-19.3% YoY), -$189.3M in net income, and -$50.8M in free cash flow against $247.0M in total assets and $273.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NN last traded at $11.52 (-4.64% on volume of 2,635,512 shares), positioning the stock -13.64% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.34) and -29.80% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.41). Across its 52-week range of $8.98 to $24.42, NN sits at the 16.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($10.08 to $12.96).

NN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is NN stock moving today?

Why NN Stock dropped -4.64% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 18/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NN — NextNav Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:26:52Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, NextNav Inc. scores 18 out of 100 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The score is built from five pillars, each weighted out of 20. The Fundamental Cash Engine pillar scores 5/20, reflecting ROIC of -35% and an FCF yield of -2.49%. The Whale 13F Flow pillar scores 5/20, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning. The Insider Conviction pillar scores 3/20, reflecting SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The Macro Regime Fit pillar scores 3/20, reflecting a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 2/20, reflecting an Altman Z-Score of 0.2, a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock on this date, the pillar pattern points to a weak cash-generation profile and a stressed balance sheet as the dominant considerations. The lowest-scoring pillar (Forensic Balance Sheet, 2/20) is the one most directly tied to solvency risk, which means the downside case depends less on sentiment and more on whether the company can keep funding operations. The strongest potential upside driver in the source data is the recent catalyst flow (see Recent Catalysts), which is news-driven rather than supported by the fundamental pillars. Valuation tradeoffs are difficult to assess because P/E, forward P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS are not available in source data; the only valuation reference points provided are the price of 12.08 against a 52-week range of $8.98–$24.42 and a market capitalization of $2.04B. Read together, the rating frames NN as a high-risk, cash-burning name where catalyst-driven price moves are not backed by the forensic metrics.

Business

Per the Profile section, NextNav Inc. (NN) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Industrials sector and the Industrial Machinery/Components industry. Not available in source data: the products or services sold, the customer base, and the revenue model. The profile identifies only the sector, industry, exchange, and market capitalization.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$4.6M$-70.2M$-189.3MN/A$-50.8M$44.8M$273.6M
FY 2024$5.7M$-60.1M$-101.9MN/A$-38.4M$39.3M$54.6M
FY 2023$3.9M$-63.5M$-71.7MN/A$-35.4MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, the company reported operating losses and net losses in each of the three periods shown. Per the market data section, operating margin and net margin are each -60%, gross margin is 0%, and ROIC is -35%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 0.2, the Piotroski F-Score is 2/9, and the Debt/Equity ratio is 0.5. Reported debt rose from $54.6M in FY 2024 to $273.6M in FY 2025 per the SEC financials. Not available in source data: cash and debt for FY 2023.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, six items reference NextNav. Five are flagged YELLOW (Market Wire) and one is flagged GREEN (Catalyst). The GREEN-flagged item is headlined "NextNav Inc. Jumps As FCC Momentum And Spectrum Hopes Build" (Timothy Sykes). Other items include a GuruFocus piece noting the stock is "Overvalued" with a 4.7% decline, a Seeking Alpha piece discussing fundamentals that "Rely Too Much On A Singular Event," and a TradingView piece in which NN is one of several stocks that "Slide" on a Clear Street note about an FCC meeting agenda. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Risk watch items drawn from the news flow include the single-event dependency noted by Seeking Alpha and the regulatory sensitivity implied by the FCC-related headlines.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is NONE, with an empty list of butterfly links and an empty list of proprietary signals. No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or 2nd-order bottlenecks are recorded in the source data. Not available in source data: named suppliers, customers, or peers.

Open Questions

  • What are NextNav's actual products, customers, and revenue model, given that the profile provides only sector and industry classification?
  • What drove the increase in debt from $54.6M in FY 2024 to $273.6M in FY 2025, and what is the repayment schedule?
  • What are the P/E, forward P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS figures, which the source data does not provide?
  • What is the FY 2023 cash and debt position, and how does the company fund a negative FCF of $-50.8M in FY 2025?
  • What specific FCC spectrum or regulatory decisions are the catalyst headlines referring to, and what is their timing and expected economic impact?

NN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for NextNav Inc. (NN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $11.52?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NN 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $10.63 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NN (E • RQD 18/100) a Buy at $12.08?

Welcome to the NN (NextNav Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 18/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Industrial Machinery/Components. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $9.66 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $12.08

Pump the brakes on NN — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NN, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless NextNav Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $14.86 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $12.08

NN cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NN, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Machinery/Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $12.08 (52-wk range $8.98 - $24.42), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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