Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. (SPB) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$83.44 +2.34% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $83.63

Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. (SPB) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.87B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SPB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. (NYSE: SPB) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $83.44 (+2.34% 1D, market cap $1.87B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, SPB ranks #97 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SPB compare to MFP and ATS in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), SPB carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.8x, gross margin of 36.7%, and ROIC of 4.2%. By comparison, MFP (Midera Food Processing Inc.) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.88B) and ATS (ATS Corporation) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.85B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALG leads on earnings multiple (17.2x) while ALG leads on capital efficiency (14.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SPB?
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Per SPB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000109177), Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. generated $2.81B in revenue (-5.2% YoY), $99.9M in net income, and $165.3M in free cash flow against $3.42B in total assets and $554.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $83.63 (+0.23%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 5.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510064
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C
Cash (13)Whales (9)SEC (14)Macro (12)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$104 Bull$86 Base$67 Bear
📬 FREE SPB RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SPB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SPB SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.82 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
56
Grade C$77.08-0.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
59
Grade C$76.80+4.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
61
Grade C$80.20+4% Next Q
Current
64
Grade C$83.44+1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (56) → C (64)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SPB Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, SPB faces multiple-compression risk if 18.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 34.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($82.90) or 200D SMA ($80.59) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($85.69) toward Bear Floor ($66.84).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SPB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SPB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
52.530 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)
2.82>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE67% OF RANGE
L: $51$83.44H: $99
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (37% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: CRQD 13 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on SPB

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (65)

4.2% ROIC with 36.7% gross margin and 8.82% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 2.82 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (62)

25/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 12/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like SPB
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (SPB Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SPB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +4.47%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $79.68H $83.44L $79.68C $83.44VOL 315.5K
RES: $110.4SUP: $73.90SMA50: $82.90SMA200: $80.59
$101.6$91.21$80.86$70.52$60.17RES $110.4SUP $73.90$83.442026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SPB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
12.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SPB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SPB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SPB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SPB)

Industrials Rank #97 of 485 ⚔️ MFP vs SPB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (SPB vs. MFP, ATS, RUN, ALG)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. (SPB) ranks #97 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #215 by equity capitalization ($1.87B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ALG leads on earnings valuation at 17.2x trailing P/E, while ALG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.3% ROIC and 24.8% gross margin. SPB currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SPB ACTIVE
Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc.
C 64/100 18.8x 36.7% 4.2% +2.34% $1.87B Benchmark Subject
MFP
Midera Food Processing Inc.
D 51/100 — — — -3.49% $1.88B /mfp-vs-spb →
ATS
ATS Corporation
D 47/100 — — — -3.67% $1.85B /ats-vs-spb →
RUN
Sunrun Inc.
E 25/100 — — -3.2% -1.45% $1.83B /run-vs-spb →
ALG
Alamo Group Inc.
C- 60/100 17.2x 24.8% 14.3% +0.70% $1.79B /alg-vs-spb →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000109177

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. (SPB) reported GAAP revenue of $2.81B (-5.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.96B , and -3.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $99.9M, operating cash flow of $203.6M, and free cash flow of $165.3M (+39.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, SPB closed FY2025 with $3.42B in total assets against $554.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.82, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $2.81B $99.9M $203.6M $165.3M $3.42B $554.3M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $2.96B $124.8M $162.6M $118.6M $3.61B $549.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $2.92B $1.80B -$409.7M -$409.7M — —

3. SPB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SPB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. (NYSE: SPB) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $83.44 (+2.34% 1D, market cap $1.87B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, SPB ranks #97 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SPB compare to MFP and ATS in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), SPB carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.8x, gross margin of 36.7%, and ROIC of 4.2%. By comparison, MFP (Midera Food Processing Inc.) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.88B) and ATS (ATS Corporation) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.85B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALG leads on earnings multiple (17.2x) while ALG leads on capital efficiency (14.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SPB?

Per SPB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000109177), Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. generated $2.81B in revenue (-5.2% YoY), $99.9M in net income, and $165.3M in free cash flow against $3.42B in total assets and $554.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SPB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SPB last traded at $83.44 (+2.34% on volume of 304,345 shares), positioning the stock +0.65% above its 50-day simple moving average ($82.90) and +3.54% above its 200-day simple moving average ($80.59). Across its 52-week range of $51.41 to $99.06, SPB sits at the 67.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.1% ($79.18 to $87.70).

SPB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell SPB stock right now?

Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. (SPB) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 37% profit margin (4% return on capital), mixed timing at 19x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is SPB's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

SPB's 12-month base price target is $85.69 (range $66.84 to $104.01), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 64/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

SPB — Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:27:26Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, SPB scores 64 out of 100, earning a letter grade of C and the verdict label "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 13 / 20. Cited as ROIC 4.2% and FCF yield 8.82%. The return on invested capital is low in absolute terms, while the free-cash-flow yield is comparatively strong, which is the main source of the pillar's score.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 9 / 20. Described as institutional accumulation and options positioning. This is the weakest pillar and indicates limited institutional conviction in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 16 / 20. Based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is the strongest pillar, indicating relatively favorable insider signaling.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 12 / 20. Reflects Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity, i.e., the stock tracks broad market moves one-for-one on this measure.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 14 / 20. Citing Altman Z 2.82, Piotroski F 7/9, and Debt/Equity 0.29. These point to a balance sheet that the rating treats as reasonably sound.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating frames a balanced picture: the cash-generation yield and balance-sheet metrics and the insider signal offset a thin return on invested capital and weak institutional flow. The grade does not indicate a strong upside or downside skew; it is a "hold" framing. Valuation tradeoffs are visible in the multiples: P/E (TTM) of 18.8 and forward P/E of 17.5 are set against operating margin of 4.4%, meaning the earnings multiple rests on a narrow operating base.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
81.53$1.87B18.817.514.64.342.57%1.0$51.41 - $99.064.2%

Business

Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, Industrial Machinery/Components industry, per the SEC financials profile. The source data does not describe its products, customer base, or revenue model beyond sector and industry classification. Market capitalization is cited as $1.9B.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the news wire, the notable catalyst is an announced date for the fiscal 2026 fourth-quarter results: a conference call and webcast on November 12, 2026. Other headlines reference a Wells Fargo & Company expectation reduction on the stock price, a Jefferies view of 26% upside, a StockStory piece featuring SPB among "favorite" and "questioned" stocks, and a Simply Wall St item referencing a "Rejuvenate Mop" product drawing investor interest. The headlines carry YELLOW light indicators. Risk watch items include the lowered price expectation headline and the thin operating margin. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no proprietary signals and no links.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore not available in source data beyond the sector and industry classification. A prospective investor should note that the thin operating margin (4.4%) means cost or demand shocks in the business could move earnings materially, but the source data does not identify the specific channels.

Open Questions

  • What drove the divergence between FY 2023 net income of $1801.5M and the operating loss of $-205.6M, and was this a one-time item?
  • Why is EPS reported as N/A for all periods when EPS (TTM) of 4.34 is cited in market data?
  • What is the source of the Wells Fargo expectation reduction and Jefferies upside estimate, and what assumptions underlie each?
  • What products and customers generate the reported revenue, and what explains the year-over-year revenue decline?
  • How do the FY 2023 cash and debt figures, which are unavailable, compare to later periods, and what does the balance sheet look like at fiscal year-end 2026?

SPB Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. (SPB) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SPB Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SPB Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $83.44?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SPB 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SPB:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $88.05 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is SPB (C • RQD 64/100) a Buy at $81.53?

Welcome to the SPB (Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 64/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Industrial Machinery/Components. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $62.78 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $81.53

Pump the brakes on SPB — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on SPB, but look at what you are paying: 18.8x trailing P/E with 36.7% gross margins. Unless Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $98.65 (+21.0%)
Spot @ $81.53

SPB cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on SPB, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Machinery/Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $81.53 (52-wk range $51.41 - $99.06), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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