Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. (SPB) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$83.44 +2.34% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $83.63

Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. (SPB) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.92B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SPB Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SPB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. (NYSE: SPB) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $83.44 (+2.34% 1D, market cap $1.92B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, SPB ranks #52 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SPB compare to HSAI and NN in the Industrials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), SPB carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.8x, gross margin of 36.7%, and ROIC of 4.2%. By comparison, HSAI (Hesai Group) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 32.7x, ROIC 1.8%, cap $1.91B) and NN (NextNav Inc.) posts a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.94B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPB leads on earnings multiple (18.8x) while SPB leads on capital efficiency (4.2% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SPB?
β–Ό

Per SPB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000109177), Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. generated $2.81B in revenue (-5.2% YoY), $99.9M in net income, and $165.3M in free cash flow against $3.42B in total assets and $554.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $83.63 (+0.23%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) β€’ 5.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 56.9% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C+
025507510068
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- Β· Rk C
Cash (13)Whales (13)SEC (14)Macro (12)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target
$104 Bull$87 Base$68 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE SPB RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SPB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±5.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY SPB SCORES 68/100 (C+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.82 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 7/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (57.7) create a -8 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
60
Grade C$77.18+3.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
63
Grade C+$79.56+1.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
65
Grade C+$80.69+3.4% Next Q
Current
68
Grade C+$83.44+1.8% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (60) β†’ C+ (68)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SPB Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, SPB faces multiple-compression risk if 18.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 34.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($82.80) or 200D SMA ($80.70) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($87.19) toward Bear Floor ($68.01).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SPBβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œSPB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
4.37% Total Yield
2.57% Cash ($2.14/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 β€’ FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
18.9% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (7.9% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $21,390

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $935/yr
$10.8K
Yr 1
$11.6K
Yr 2
$12.6K
Yr 3
$13.6K
Yr 4
$14.6K
Yr 5
$15.8K
Yr 6
$17.0K
Yr 7
$18.4K
Yr 8
$19.8K
Yr 9
$21.4K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in SPB & A-Rated Leaders

  • βœ“12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on SPB and its top sector peer
  • βœ“Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
SPB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +4.47%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $81.53H $83.44L $81.53C $83.44VOL 304.3K
RES: $83.95SUP: $73.83SMA50: $82.80SMA200: $80.70
$101.6$91.21$80.86$70.52$60.17RES $83.95SUP $73.83$83.442026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SPB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
12.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SPB today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SPB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SPB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SPB)

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (SPB vs. HSAI, NN, MFP, RUN)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. (SPB) ranks #52 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #210 by equity capitalization ($1.92B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SPB leads on earnings valuation at 18.8x trailing P/E, while SPB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.2% ROIC and 36.7% gross margin. SPB currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SPB ACTIVE
Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc.
C+ 68/100 18.8x 36.7% 4.2% +2.34% $1.92B Benchmark Subject
HSAI
Hesai Group
D- 38/100 32.7x 41.8% 1.8% -6.09% $1.91B /hsai-vs-spb β†’
NN
NextNav Inc.
E 18/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -4.64% $1.94B /nn-vs-spb β†’
MFP
Midera Food Processing Inc.
D 48/100 β€” β€” β€” -3.49% $1.81B /mfp-vs-spb β†’
RUN
Sunrun Inc.
E 25/100 β€” β€” -3.2% -1.45% $1.80B /run-vs-spb β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-09-30 β€’ CIK 0000109177

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. (SPB) reported GAAP revenue of $2.81B (-5.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.96B , and -3.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $99.9M, operating cash flow of $203.6M, and free cash flow of $165.3M (+39.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, SPB closed FY2025 with $3.42B in total assets against $554.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.82, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $2.81B $99.9M $203.6M $165.3M $3.42B $554.3M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $2.96B $124.8M $162.6M $118.6M $3.61B $549.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $2.92B $1.80B -$409.7M -$409.7M β€” β€”

3. SPB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SPB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. (NYSE: SPB) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $83.44 (+2.34% 1D, market cap $1.92B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, SPB ranks #52 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SPB compare to HSAI and NN in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), SPB carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.8x, gross margin of 36.7%, and ROIC of 4.2%. By comparison, HSAI (Hesai Group) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 32.7x, ROIC 1.8%, cap $1.91B) and NN (NextNav Inc.) posts a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.94B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPB leads on earnings multiple (18.8x) while SPB leads on capital efficiency (4.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SPB?

Per SPB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000109177), Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. generated $2.81B in revenue (-5.2% YoY), $99.9M in net income, and $165.3M in free cash flow against $3.42B in total assets and $554.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SPB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SPB last traded at $83.44 (+2.34% on volume of 304,345 shares), positioning the stock +0.77% above its 50-day simple moving average ($82.80) and +3.40% above its 200-day simple moving average ($80.70). Across its 52-week range of $51.41 to $99.06, SPB sits at the 67.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±5.2% ($79.10 to $87.78).

SPB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Does SPB pay a dividend and is it safe?

Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. (SPB) offers a 2.57% cash dividend yield ($2.14 annualized) and 4.37% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as FORTRESS PAYOUT.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 68/100 (C+) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

SPB β€” Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:27:26Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, SPB scores 64 out of 100, earning a letter grade of C and the verdict label "Roarable Hold β€” Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 13 / 20. Cited as ROIC 4.2% and FCF yield 8.82%. The return on invested capital is low in absolute terms, while the free-cash-flow yield is comparatively strong, which is the main source of the pillar's score.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 9 / 20. Described as institutional accumulation and options positioning. This is the weakest pillar and indicates limited institutional conviction in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 16 / 20. Based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is the strongest pillar, indicating relatively favorable insider signaling.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 12 / 20. Reflects Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity, i.e., the stock tracks broad market moves one-for-one on this measure.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 14 / 20. Citing Altman Z 2.82, Piotroski F 7/9, and Debt/Equity 0.29. These point to a balance sheet that the rating treats as reasonably sound.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating frames a balanced picture: the cash-generation yield and balance-sheet metrics and the insider signal offset a thin return on invested capital and weak institutional flow. The grade does not indicate a strong upside or downside skew; it is a "hold" framing. Valuation tradeoffs are visible in the multiples: P/E (TTM) of 18.8 and forward P/E of 17.5 are set against operating margin of 4.4%, meaning the earnings multiple rests on a narrow operating base.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
81.53$1.87B18.817.514.64.342.57%1.0$51.41 - $99.064.2%

Business

Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, Industrial Machinery/Components industry, per the SEC financials profile. The source data does not describe its products, customer base, or revenue model beyond sector and industry classification. Market capitalization is cited as $1.9B.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the news wire, the notable catalyst is an announced date for the fiscal 2026 fourth-quarter results: a conference call and webcast on November 12, 2026. Other headlines reference a Wells Fargo & Company expectation reduction on the stock price, a Jefferies view of 26% upside, a StockStory piece featuring SPB among "favorite" and "questioned" stocks, and a Simply Wall St item referencing a "Rejuvenate Mop" product drawing investor interest. The headlines carry YELLOW light indicators. Risk watch items include the lowered price expectation headline and the thin operating margin. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no proprietary signals and no links.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore not available in source data beyond the sector and industry classification. A prospective investor should note that the thin operating margin (4.4%) means cost or demand shocks in the business could move earnings materially, but the source data does not identify the specific channels.

Open Questions

  • What drove the divergence between FY 2023 net income of $1801.5M and the operating loss of $-205.6M, and was this a one-time item?
  • Why is EPS reported as N/A for all periods when EPS (TTM) of 4.34 is cited in market data?
  • What is the source of the Wells Fargo expectation reduction and Jefferies upside estimate, and what assumptions underlie each?
  • What products and customers generate the reported revenue, and what explains the year-over-year revenue decline?
  • How do the FY 2023 cash and debt figures, which are unavailable, compare to later periods, and what does the balance sheet look like at fiscal year-end 2026?

SPB Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. (SPB) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to SPB Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SPB Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $83.44?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SPB 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SPB:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $88.05 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is SPB (C β€’ RQD 64/100) a Buy at $81.53?

Welcome to the SPB (Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 64/100 (Roarable Hold β€” Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Industrial Machinery/Components. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $62.78 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $81.53

Pump the brakes on SPB β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on SPB, but look at what you are paying: 18.8x trailing P/E with 36.7% gross margins. Unless Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $98.65 (+21.0%)
Spot @ $81.53

SPB cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on SPB, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Machinery/Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $81.53 (52-wk range $51.41 - $99.06), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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