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HSAI (38) NN (18) MFP (48) RUN (25) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. (SPB) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$86.96 +4.22% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $87.46

Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. (SPB) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.92B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SPB Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SPB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. (NYSE: SPB) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $86.96 (+4.22% 1D, market cap $1.92B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, SPB ranks #53 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SPB compare to HSAI and NN in the Industrials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), SPB carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.8x, gross margin of 36.7%, and ROIC of 4.2%. By comparison, HSAI (Hesai Group) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 32.7x, ROIC 1.8%, cap $1.91B) and NN (NextNav Inc.) posts a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.94B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPB leads on earnings multiple (18.8x) while SPB leads on capital efficiency (4.2% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SPB?
β–Ό

Per SPB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000109177), Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. generated $2.81B in revenue (-5.2% YoY), $99.9M in net income, and $165.3M in free cash flow against $3.42B in total assets and $554.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $87.46 (+0.57%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) β€’ 5.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 56.9% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C+
025507510068
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- Β· Rk C
Cash (13)Whales (13)SEC (14)Macro (12)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target
$107 Bull$91 Base$71 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE SPB RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SPB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±5.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY SPB SCORES 68/100 (C+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.82 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 7/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (57.7) create a -8 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
60
Grade C$77.18+3.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
63
Grade C+$79.56+1.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
65
Grade C+$80.69+7.8% Next Q
Current
68
Grade C+$86.96+1.8% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (60) β†’ C+ (68)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SPB Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, SPB faces multiple-compression risk if 18.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 34.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($82.80) or 200D SMA ($80.70) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($90.87) toward Bear Floor ($70.88).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SPBβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œSPB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 68%NO 32%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±5.2%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (SPB)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for SPB.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating SPB & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • βœ“Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on SPB
  • βœ“How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SPB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +8.88%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $81.53H $86.96L $81.53C $86.96VOL 304.3K
RES: $110.6SUP: $73.83SMA50: $82.80SMA200: $80.70
$101.6$91.21$80.86$70.52$60.17RES $110.6SUP $73.83$86.962026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SPB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ SPB Butterfly Map β†’ + Track SPB β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
12.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SPB today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SPB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SPB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SPB)

Industrials Rank #53 of 486 βš”οΈ HSAI vs SPB Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (SPB vs. HSAI, NN, MFP, RUN)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. (SPB) ranks #53 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #211 by equity capitalization ($1.92B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SPB leads on earnings valuation at 18.8x trailing P/E, while SPB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.2% ROIC and 36.7% gross margin. SPB currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SPB ACTIVE
Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc.
C+ 68/100 18.8x 36.7% 4.2% +4.22% $1.92B Benchmark Subject
HSAI
Hesai Group
D- 38/100 32.7x 41.8% 1.8% +0.99% $1.91B /hsai-vs-spb β†’
NN
NextNav Inc.
E 18/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -16.49% $1.94B /nn-vs-spb β†’
MFP
Midera Food Processing Inc.
D 48/100 β€” β€” β€” +2.47% $1.81B /mfp-vs-spb β†’
RUN
Sunrun Inc.
E 25/100 β€” β€” -3.2% +10.29% $1.80B /run-vs-spb β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-09-30 β€’ CIK 0000109177 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. (SPB) reported GAAP revenue of $2.81B (-5.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.96B , and -3.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $99.9M, operating cash flow of $203.6M, and free cash flow of $165.3M (+39.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, SPB closed FY2025 with $3.42B in total assets against $554.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.82, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $2.81B $99.9M $203.6M $165.3M $3.42B $554.3M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $2.96B $124.8M $162.6M $118.6M $3.61B $549.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $2.92B $1.80B -$409.7M -$409.7M β€” β€”

3. SPB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SPB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. (NYSE: SPB) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $86.96 (+4.22% 1D, market cap $1.92B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, SPB ranks #53 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SPB compare to HSAI and NN in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), SPB carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.8x, gross margin of 36.7%, and ROIC of 4.2%. By comparison, HSAI (Hesai Group) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 32.7x, ROIC 1.8%, cap $1.91B) and NN (NextNav Inc.) posts a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.94B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPB leads on earnings multiple (18.8x) while SPB leads on capital efficiency (4.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SPB?

Per SPB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000109177), Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. generated $2.81B in revenue (-5.2% YoY), $99.9M in net income, and $165.3M in free cash flow against $3.42B in total assets and $554.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SPB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SPB last traded at $86.96 (+4.22% on volume of 330,683 shares), positioning the stock +5.02% above its 50-day simple moving average ($82.80) and +7.76% above its 200-day simple moving average ($80.70). Across its 52-week range of $51.41 to $99.06, SPB sits at the 74.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±5.2% ($82.44 to $91.48).

Direct Sub-Reports: SPB RQD Cockpit SPB 12M Forecast SPB Earnings & Move SPB Dividends & DRIP SPB Insiders & 13F SPB Whale Options SPB Profit Sankey SPB News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 68/100 (C+) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SPB β€” Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-09-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. (SPB) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 68/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $86.96 (+4.22% 1D, market capitalization $1.92B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 4.2%, gross margin of 36.7%, operating margin of 4.4%, and free cash flow yield of 8.82%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (13/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.82, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.29x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, Industrial Machinery/Components industry, profile. Market capitalization is cited as $1.9B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-09-30), Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. (SPB) reported $2.81B in annual revenue (up from $2.96B in FY2024, -5.2% YoY) and $99.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.92B revenue, $1.80B net income) through FY2025, SPB scaled operating cash flow to $203.6M and free cash flow to $165.3M, backed by $3.42B in total assets against $554.3M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (C+ β€’ RQD 68/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 8.82% and institutional whale pillar of 13/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 13/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $51.41 – $99.06 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 18.8x trailing P/E and 14.6x EV/EBITDA against 4.4% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

A prospective investor should note that the thin operating margin (4.

  • Key Question #1: Can SPB sustain or expand its 4.4% operating margin and 4.2% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.81B and free cash flow of $165.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $554.3M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is SPB's 17.5x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

SPB Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. (SPB) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to SPB Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SPB Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $86.96?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SPB 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SPB:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Systematic Momentum Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $105.13 (+26.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Insider conviction (16/20) and a 8.82% FCF yield with forward P/E of 17.5 offer cash-flow and insider support for the stock.

Long SPB at $83.44 targeting $105.13. Insider conviction (16/20) and a 8.82% FCF yield with forward P/E of 17.5 offer cash-flow and insider support for the stock.. Institutional whale score is 13/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $51.41 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

ArenaChamp_24 πŸ‚ BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Fair point on 18.8x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Industrial Machinery/Components. If gross margin (36.7%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $70.92 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $83.44

ROIC of 4.2% and operating margin of 4.4% with revenue falling from $2.96B to $2.81B leave thin returns on the capital base.

Fading this rally in SPB at $83.44. ROIC of 4.2% and operating margin of 4.4% with revenue falling from $2.96B to $2.81B leave thin returns on the capital base.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $83.44 (52-wk range $51.41–$99.06), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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