Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. (SPB) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5.1% Move

$83.44 +2.34% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $83.63

Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. (SPB) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.87B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SPB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. (NYSE: SPB) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $83.44 (+2.34% 1D, market cap $1.87B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, SPB ranks #97 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SPB compare to MFP and ATS in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), SPB carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.8x, gross margin of 36.7%, and ROIC of 4.2%. By comparison, MFP (Midera Food Processing Inc.) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.88B) and ATS (ATS Corporation) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.85B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALG leads on earnings multiple (17.2x) while ALG leads on capital efficiency (14.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SPB?
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Per SPB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000109177), Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. generated $2.81B in revenue (-5.2% YoY), $99.9M in net income, and $165.3M in free cash flow against $3.42B in total assets and $554.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $83.63 (+0.23%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 5.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510064
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C
Cash (13)Whales (9)SEC (14)Macro (12)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$104 Bull$86 Base$67 Bear
📬 FREE SPB RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SPB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SPB SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.82 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
56
Grade C$77.08-0.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
59
Grade C$76.80+4.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
61
Grade C$80.20+4% Next Q
Current
64
Grade C$83.44+1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (56) → C (64)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SPB Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, SPB faces multiple-compression risk if 18.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 34.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($82.90) or 200D SMA ($80.59) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($85.69) toward Bear Floor ($66.84).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SPB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SPB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 29, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5.1% Swing Band

±$4.26 Expected Swing
$79.18 (-5.1%)Spot $83.44$87.70 (+5.1%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

SPB Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 64/100

Trailing EPS: $4.34 • YoY Revenue Growth: -5.2%

Model Bullish Setup (64/100)Model Risk Weight (36/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-09-30$2.81B$99.9M$165.3M36.7%
FY 20242024-09-30$2.96B$124.8M$118.6M37.4%
FY 20232023-09-30$2.92B$1.80B-$409.7M36.7%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating SPB & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on SPB
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
SPB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +4.47%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $79.68H $83.44L $79.68C $83.44VOL 315.5K
RES: $110.4SUP: $73.90SMA50: $82.90SMA200: $80.59
$101.6$91.21$80.86$70.52$60.17RES $110.4SUP $73.90$83.442026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SPB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
12.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SPB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SPB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SPB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SPB)

Industrials Rank #97 of 485 ⚔️ MFP vs SPB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (SPB vs. MFP, ATS, RUN, ALG)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. (SPB) ranks #97 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #215 by equity capitalization ($1.87B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ALG leads on earnings valuation at 17.2x trailing P/E, while ALG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.3% ROIC and 24.8% gross margin. SPB currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SPB ACTIVE
Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc.
C 64/100 18.8x 36.7% 4.2% +2.34% $1.87B Benchmark Subject
MFP
Midera Food Processing Inc.
D 51/100 — — — -3.49% $1.88B /mfp-vs-spb →
ATS
ATS Corporation
D 47/100 — — — -3.67% $1.85B /ats-vs-spb →
RUN
Sunrun Inc.
E 25/100 — — -3.2% -1.45% $1.83B /run-vs-spb →
ALG
Alamo Group Inc.
C- 60/100 17.2x 24.8% 14.3% +0.70% $1.79B /alg-vs-spb →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000109177

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. (SPB) reported GAAP revenue of $2.81B (-5.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.96B , and -3.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $99.9M, operating cash flow of $203.6M, and free cash flow of $165.3M (+39.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, SPB closed FY2025 with $3.42B in total assets against $554.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.82, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $2.81B $99.9M $203.6M $165.3M $3.42B $554.3M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $2.96B $124.8M $162.6M $118.6M $3.61B $549.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $2.92B $1.80B -$409.7M -$409.7M — —

3. SPB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SPB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. (NYSE: SPB) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $83.44 (+2.34% 1D, market cap $1.87B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, SPB ranks #97 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SPB compare to MFP and ATS in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), SPB carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.8x, gross margin of 36.7%, and ROIC of 4.2%. By comparison, MFP (Midera Food Processing Inc.) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.88B) and ATS (ATS Corporation) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.85B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALG leads on earnings multiple (17.2x) while ALG leads on capital efficiency (14.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SPB?

Per SPB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000109177), Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. generated $2.81B in revenue (-5.2% YoY), $99.9M in net income, and $165.3M in free cash flow against $3.42B in total assets and $554.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SPB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SPB last traded at $83.44 (+2.34% on volume of 304,345 shares), positioning the stock +0.65% above its 50-day simple moving average ($82.90) and +3.54% above its 200-day simple moving average ($80.59). Across its 52-week range of $51.41 to $99.06, SPB sits at the 67.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.1% ($79.18 to $87.70).

SPB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is SPB's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. (SPB)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 29, 2026.

How much is SPB stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±5.1% event move for SPB, spanning a range between $79.18 and $87.7.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 64/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

SPB — Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:27:26Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, SPB scores 64 out of 100, earning a letter grade of C and the verdict label "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 13 / 20. Cited as ROIC 4.2% and FCF yield 8.82%. The return on invested capital is low in absolute terms, while the free-cash-flow yield is comparatively strong, which is the main source of the pillar's score.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 9 / 20. Described as institutional accumulation and options positioning. This is the weakest pillar and indicates limited institutional conviction in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 16 / 20. Based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is the strongest pillar, indicating relatively favorable insider signaling.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 12 / 20. Reflects Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity, i.e., the stock tracks broad market moves one-for-one on this measure.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 14 / 20. Citing Altman Z 2.82, Piotroski F 7/9, and Debt/Equity 0.29. These point to a balance sheet that the rating treats as reasonably sound.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating frames a balanced picture: the cash-generation yield and balance-sheet metrics and the insider signal offset a thin return on invested capital and weak institutional flow. The grade does not indicate a strong upside or downside skew; it is a "hold" framing. Valuation tradeoffs are visible in the multiples: P/E (TTM) of 18.8 and forward P/E of 17.5 are set against operating margin of 4.4%, meaning the earnings multiple rests on a narrow operating base.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
81.53$1.87B18.817.514.64.342.57%1.0$51.41 - $99.064.2%

Business

Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, Industrial Machinery/Components industry, per the SEC financials profile. The source data does not describe its products, customer base, or revenue model beyond sector and industry classification. Market capitalization is cited as $1.9B.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the news wire, the notable catalyst is an announced date for the fiscal 2026 fourth-quarter results: a conference call and webcast on November 12, 2026. Other headlines reference a Wells Fargo & Company expectation reduction on the stock price, a Jefferies view of 26% upside, a StockStory piece featuring SPB among "favorite" and "questioned" stocks, and a Simply Wall St item referencing a "Rejuvenate Mop" product drawing investor interest. The headlines carry YELLOW light indicators. Risk watch items include the lowered price expectation headline and the thin operating margin. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no proprietary signals and no links.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore not available in source data beyond the sector and industry classification. A prospective investor should note that the thin operating margin (4.4%) means cost or demand shocks in the business could move earnings materially, but the source data does not identify the specific channels.

Open Questions

  • What drove the divergence between FY 2023 net income of $1801.5M and the operating loss of $-205.6M, and was this a one-time item?
  • Why is EPS reported as N/A for all periods when EPS (TTM) of 4.34 is cited in market data?
  • What is the source of the Wells Fargo expectation reduction and Jefferies upside estimate, and what assumptions underlie each?
  • What products and customers generate the reported revenue, and what explains the year-over-year revenue decline?
  • How do the FY 2023 cash and debt figures, which are unavailable, compare to later periods, and what does the balance sheet look like at fiscal year-end 2026?

SPB Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. (SPB) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SPB Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SPB Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $83.44?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SPB 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SPB:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $88.05 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is SPB (C • RQD 64/100) a Buy at $81.53?

Welcome to the SPB (Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 64/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Industrial Machinery/Components. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $62.78 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $81.53

Pump the brakes on SPB — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on SPB, but look at what you are paying: 18.8x trailing P/E with 36.7% gross margins. Unless Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $98.65 (+21.0%)
Spot @ $81.53

SPB cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on SPB, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Machinery/Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $81.53 (52-wk range $51.41 - $99.06), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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