Noah Holdings Limited (NOAH) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-03, Noah Holdings Limited (NYSE: NOAH) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $6.93 (+2.97% 1D, market cap $451.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, NOAH ranks #511 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), NOAH carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.2%. By comparison, HQL (abrdn Life Sciences Investors) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $473.5M) and FTHY (First Trust High Yield Opportunities 2027 Term Fund) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $479.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NOAH leads on earnings multiple (5.8x) while NOAH leads on capital efficiency (11.2% ROIC).
Per NOAH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001499543), Noah Holdings Limited generated $373.3M in revenue (+4.8% YoY), $79.9M in net income, and $120.5M in free cash flow against $1.68B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 32.3% FCF Margin ($120.5M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, NOAH faces multiple-compression risk if 5.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($7.75) or 200D SMA ($9.71) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($6.87) toward Bear Floor ($5.36).
Noah Holdings Limited (NOAH) surged +2.97% to $6.93, trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($6.57 – $12.45). Stretched risk/reward at 6x P/E (11% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Cash now pays attention. With the Fed keeping rates at 3.75%–4% for October and investors eyeing a possible December hike, short-term bond and cash-equivalent ETFs have moved from afterthought to front row. This is where
Investing.com -- Bitget Wallet will give users personal U.S. dollar and euro account numbers inside its self-custodial crypto wallet, with incoming funds automatically converted into stablecoins, Investing.com has learne
Noah Holdings just used its H2 2026 CIO report to argue that the biggest AI opportunities may sit in power, grids, storage, and data centers rather than headline AI stocks. Investors who held Noah over the past year are
Noah (NOAH) might move higher on growing optimism about its earnings prospects, which is reflected by its upgrade to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy).
Noah (NOAH) is technically in oversold territory now, so the heavy selling pressure might have exhausted. This along with strong agreement among Wall Street analysts in raising earnings estimates could lead to a trend re
Asian equities traded in the US as American depositary receipts were falling sharply Wednesday morni
The latest update on Noah Holdings centers on a reset in expectations, with the modeled fair value moving from US$12.31 to US$10.64 and JPMorgan trimming its price target from US$10.50 to US$9.70. That US$9.70 target, pa
Noah Holdings Limited ("Noah" or the "Company") (NYSE: NOAH; HKEX: 6686), a wealth management institution serving global Chinese families, together with its global asset allocation platform Olive Asset Management ("Olive
Singapore-headquartered global wealth management firm Noah Holdings Limited (NYSE: NOAH; HKEX: 6686; "Noah") today introduced its N+ Club network. Currently spanning 10 cities across Asia and North America, the network a
Yahoo Finance coverage on NOAH stock catalysts, institutional flow, and earnings outlook.
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +4.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NOAH today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NOAH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Noah Holdings Limited (NOAH) ranks #511 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #726 by equity capitalization ($451.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NOAH leads on earnings valuation at 5.8x trailing P/E, while NOAH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.2% ROIC and — gross margin. NOAH currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 56/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOAH
ACTIVE
Noah Holdings Limited | D+ | 56/100 | 5.8x | — | 11.2% | +2.97% | $451.3M | Benchmark Subject |
| HQL abrdn Life Sciences Investors | D | 51/100 | — | — | — | -2.49% | $473.5M | /hql-vs-noah → |
| FTHY First Trust High Yield Opportunities 2027 Term Fund | D | 46/100 | — | — | — | -0.69% | $479.2M | /fthy-vs-noah → |
| ETO Eaton Vance Tax-Advantage Global Dividend Opp | D- | 43/100 | — | — | — | +0.47% | $484.8M | /eto-vs-noah → |
| TYG Tortoise Energy Infrastructure Corporation | D | 47/100 | — | — | — | -3.35% | $488.3M | /tyg-vs-noah → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Noah Holdings Limited (NOAH) reported GAAP revenue of $373.3M (+4.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $356.3M , and -19.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $79.9M, operating cash flow of $139.7M, and free cash flow of $120.5M (+188.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, NOAH closed FY2025 with $1.68B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $373.3M | $79.9M | $139.7M | $120.5M | $1.68B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $356.3M | $65.1M | $53.1M | $41.8M | $1.61B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $464.0M | $142.2M | $185.7M | $185.7M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-03, Noah Holdings Limited (NYSE: NOAH) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $6.93 (+2.97% 1D, market cap $451.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, NOAH ranks #511 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), NOAH carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.2%. By comparison, HQL (abrdn Life Sciences Investors) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $473.5M) and FTHY (First Trust High Yield Opportunities 2027 Term Fund) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $479.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NOAH leads on earnings multiple (5.8x) while NOAH leads on capital efficiency (11.2% ROIC).
Per NOAH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001499543), Noah Holdings Limited generated $373.3M in revenue (+4.8% YoY), $79.9M in net income, and $120.5M in free cash flow against $1.68B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
NOAH last traded at $6.93 (+2.97% on volume of 255,275 shares), positioning the stock -10.58% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.75) and -28.63% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.71). Across its 52-week range of $6.57 to $12.45, NOAH sits at the 6.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 27.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.0% ($6.58 to $7.28).
Noah Holdings Limited (NOAH) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 56/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $6.93 (+2.97% 1D, market capitalization $451.3M).
Noah Holdings Limited (NOAH) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified..5B.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Noah Holdings Limited (NOAH) reported $373.3M in annual revenue (up from $356.3M in FY2024, +4.8% YoY) and $79.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($464.0M revenue, $142.2M net income) through FY2025, NOAH scaled operating cash flow to $139.7M and free cash flow to $120.5M, backed by $1.68B in total assets against $0 in total debt.
Operating in Investment Managers (Financials), NOAH carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Noah Holdings Limited (NOAH) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Cash now pays attention. With the Fed keeping rates at 3.75%–4% for October and investors eyeing a possible December hike, short-term bond and cash-equivalent ETFs have moved from afterthought to front row. This is where
Investing.com -- Bitget Wallet will give users personal U.S. dollar and euro account numbers inside its self-custodial crypto wallet, with incoming funds automatically converted into stablecoins, Investing.com has learne
Noah Holdings just used its H2 2026 CIO report to argue that the biggest AI opportunities may sit in power, grids, storage, and data centers rather than headline AI stocks. Investors who held Noah over the past year are
Noah (NOAH) might move higher on growing optimism about its earnings prospects, which is reflected by its upgrade to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy).
Noah (NOAH) is technically in oversold territory now, so the heavy selling pressure might have exhausted. This along with strong agreement among Wall Street analysts in raising earnings estimates could lead to a trend re
Asian equities traded in the US as American depositary receipts were falling sharply Wednesday morni
The latest update on Noah Holdings centers on a reset in expectations, with the modeled fair value moving from US$12.31 to US$10.64 and JPMorgan trimming its price target from US$10.50 to US$9.70. That US$9.70 target, pa
Noah Holdings Limited ("Noah" or the "Company") (NYSE: NOAH; HKEX: 6686), a wealth management institution serving global Chinese families, together with its global asset allocation platform Olive Asset Management ("Olive
Operating margin of 29.8% and a forensic balance sheet score of 15 / 20 (Piotroski F 8/9) show profitability and financial soundness despite a 5.8 P/E.. When you look under the hood at NOAH, Fundamental Cash Engine is 16/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 11.2% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (3/20) has been quietly accumulating below $12.45. My 12M target is $7.74.
@SkepticalCFA Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $6.73 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Financials.
Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on NOAH: Whale 13F flow scores just 3 / 20 and macro regime fit 9 / 20, signaling weak institutional demand and poor sector alignment.. At 5.8x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Investment Managers triggers a 12-15% air pocket.
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