A.P. Moller-Maersk (AMKBY) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Why NVGS Stock advanced +1.15% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NVGS) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is NVGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NYSE: NVGS) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $20.23 (+1.15% 1D, market cap $1.23B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 18/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NVGS ranks #349 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does NVGS compare to TK and CCEC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), NVGS carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 12.2%. By comparison, TK (Teekay Corporation Ltd.) holds a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 13.2x, ROIC 19.6%, cap $1.22B) and CCEC (Capital Clean Energy Carriers Corp. Common Share) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 7.0x, ROIC 4.9%, cap $1.32B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GSL leads on earnings multiple (3.6x) while TK leads on capital efficiency (19.6% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NVGS?
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Per NVGS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001581804), Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) generated $587.0M in revenue (+3.6% YoY), $100.1M in net income, and $116.6M in free cash flow against $2.28B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where to Enter $NVGS, Where to Set Your Hard Stop-Loss & Today's Top 3 High-Conviction Trades
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 44% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 31.3 (OVERSOLD (<32))
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NVGS Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, NVGS faces multiple-compression risk if 13.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($22.72) or 200D SMA ($21.23) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($20.32) toward Bear Floor ($15.85).
Why NVGS Stock advanced +1.15% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NVGS) advanced +1.15% to $20.23, trading at 44% of its 52-week range ($16.12 – $25.48). Solid steady margins (12% return on capital), mixed timing at 13x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 44% of its 52-week range ($16.12 – $25.48) with RSI-14 at 31.3 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.8% around $20.23 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $116.6M annual free cash flow.
Navigator Holdings (NVGS) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Navigator Holdings (NVGS) clears key CAN SLIM growth and leadership filters, but weak forward estimates and a messy chart make it a watchlist stock.
Activists also report to the SEC on Crescent Energy, Talos Energy, and Navigator Holdings.
LONDON, Oct. 20, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Navigator Holdings Ltd. (described herein as “Navigator Gas” or the “Company”) (NYSE: NVGS), the owner and operator of the world’s largest fleet of handysize liquefied gas carrie
Navigator Holdings has delivered a powerful 162.7% share price gain over the past 5 years, which puts a spotlight on whether the current US$21.33 level is still grounded in its earnings power. After a recent pullback, th
Navigator Holdings (NYSE:NVGS) set a major corporate change in motion after signing a Merger Agreement to shift its legal home from the Marshall Islands to England and Wales, pending shareholder approval next month. Rece
LONDON, Oct. 16, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Navigator Holdings Ltd. (described herein as “Navigator Gas” or the “Company”) (NYSE: NVGS) announced today that, on October 8, 2026, it entered into an Agreement and Plan of Mer
Navigator Holdings Ltd. (described herein as "Navigator Gas" or the "Company") (NYSE:NVGS) announced today that, on October 8, 2026, it entered into an Agreement and Plan of Merger (the "Merger
NEW YORK, Oct. 15, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Capital Link is pleased to release the Q3 2026 edition of its Quarterly Shipping Insights—a carefully curated collection of original articles based on exclusive discussions wit
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (NVGS Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
NVGS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +3.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NVGS today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NVGS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NVGS)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (NVGS vs. TK, CCEC, GNK, GSL)
Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NVGS) ranks #349 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #482 by equity capitalization ($1.23B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GSL leads on earnings valuation at 3.6x trailing P/E, while TK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.6% ROIC and 66.6% gross margin. TK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with NVGS at 59/100 (C-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVGS
ACTIVE
Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) | C- | 59/100 | 13.4x | — | 12.2% | +1.15% | $1.23B | Benchmark Subject |
| TK Teekay Corporation Ltd. | B+ | 76/100 | 13.2x | 66.6% | 19.6% | +0.43% | $1.22B | /tk-vs-nvgs → |
| CCEC Capital Clean Energy Carriers Corp. Common Share | D+ | 54/100 | 7.0x | — | 4.9% | -0.97% | $1.32B | /ccec-vs-nvgs → |
| GNK Genco Shipping & Trading Limited New (Marshall Islands) | D | 49/100 | — | — | 0.6% | +0.16% | $1.08B | /gnk-vs-nvgs → |
| GSL Global Ship Lease Inc (Class A) | C | 64/100 | 3.6x | — | 16.6% | +0.15% | $1.44B | /gsl-vs-nvgs → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001581804 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NVGS) reported GAAP revenue of $587.0M (+3.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $566.7M , and +6.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $100.1M, operating cash flow of $201.7M, and free cash flow of $116.6M (-44.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, NVGS closed FY2025 with $2.28B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.57, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $587.0M | $100.1M | $201.7M | $116.6M | $2.28B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $566.7M | $85.6M | $210.5M | $210.5M | $2.18B | $505.0M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $550.7M | $82.3M | $174.4M | $174.4M | — | — |
3. NVGS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs NVGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NYSE: NVGS) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $20.23 (+1.15% 1D, market cap $1.23B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 18/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NVGS ranks #349 in composite RQD confidence.
How does NVGS compare to TK and CCEC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), NVGS carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 12.2%. By comparison, TK (Teekay Corporation Ltd.) holds a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 13.2x, ROIC 19.6%, cap $1.22B) and CCEC (Capital Clean Energy Carriers Corp. Common Share) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 7.0x, ROIC 4.9%, cap $1.32B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GSL leads on earnings multiple (3.6x) while TK leads on capital efficiency (19.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NVGS?
Per NVGS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001581804), Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) generated $587.0M in revenue (+3.6% YoY), $100.1M in net income, and $116.6M in free cash flow against $2.28B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is NVGS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
NVGS last traded at $20.23 (+1.15% on volume of 432,306 shares), positioning the stock -10.96% below its 50-day simple moving average ($22.72) and -4.71% below its 200-day simple moving average ($21.23). Across its 52-week range of $16.12 to $25.48, NVGS sits at the 43.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.3 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.8% ($18.65 to $21.81).
NVGS — Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NVGS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 59/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $20.23 (+1.15% 1D, market capitalization $1.23B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 12.2%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 28.2%, and free cash flow yield of 8.71%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (18/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (15/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (9/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.57, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under Consumer Discretionary within the Marine Transportation industry. The profile does not describe its products, customers, or specific revenue model. — The company's scale is indicated by a market capitalization of $1.3B.0M .
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NVGS) reported $587.0M in annual revenue (up from $566.7M in FY2024, +3.6% YoY) and $100.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($550.7M revenue, $82.3M net income) through FY2025, NVGS scaled operating cash flow to $201.7M and free cash flow to $116.6M, backed by $2.28B in total assets against $0 in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 59/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 8.71% and institutional whale pillar of 7/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $16.12 – $25.48 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh 13.4x trailing P/E and 5.0x EV/EBITDA against 28.2% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the source data.
- Key Question #1: Can NVGS sustain or expand its 28.2% operating margin and 12.2% ROIC against Marine Transportation peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $587.0M and free cash flow of $116.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is NVGS's 12.5x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
NVGS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands) (NVGS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
A.P. Moller-Maersk (AMKBY) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Navigator Holdings (NVGS) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Navigator Holdings (NVGS) clears key CAN SLIM growth and leadership filters, but weak forward estimates and a messy chart make it a watchlist stock.
Activists also report to the SEC on Crescent Energy, Talos Energy, and Navigator Holdings.
LONDON, Oct. 20, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Navigator Holdings Ltd. (described herein as “Navigator Gas” or the “Company”) (NYSE: NVGS), the owner and operator of the world’s largest fleet of handysize liquefied gas carrie
Navigator Holdings has delivered a powerful 162.7% share price gain over the past 5 years, which puts a spotlight on whether the current US$21.33 level is still grounded in its earnings power. After a recent pullback, th
Navigator Holdings (NYSE:NVGS) set a major corporate change in motion after signing a Merger Agreement to shift its legal home from the Marshall Islands to England and Wales, pending shareholder approval next month. Rece
LONDON, Oct. 16, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Navigator Holdings Ltd. (described herein as “Navigator Gas” or the “Company”) (NYSE: NVGS) announced today that, on October 8, 2026, it entered into an Agreement and Plan of Mer
NVGS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $20.23?
Insider conviction scores 18 of 20 and beta of 1.0 with macro regime fit of 16 of 20 support the thesis despite a middling rating.
Don't sleep on NVGS's setup in Consumer Discretionary. Insider conviction scores 18 of 20 and beta of 1.0 with macro regime fit of 16 of 20 support the thesis despite a middling rating.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (59/100) backs up the fundamental quality.
@MacroHawk_NYC Agree on the RQD 59/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $21.51 and keeping dry powder in case we test $20.00.
Whale 13F flow scores only 7 of 20 and the forensic balance sheet scores 9 of 20 with Altman Z at 1.57, limiting conviction.
Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on NVGS: Whale 13F flow scores only 7 of 20 and the forensic balance sheet scores 9 of 20 with Altman Z at 1.57, limiting conviction.. At 13.4x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Marine Transportation triggers a 12-15% air pocket.