Quanex Building Products Corporation (NX) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±9.2% Move

$20.67 -0.43% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.61

Quanex Building Products Corporation (NX) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $951.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Quanex Building Products Corporation (NYSE: NX) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $20.67 (-0.43% 1D, market cap $951.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, NX ranks #244 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NX compare to ELMT and NWCL in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), NX carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 27.2%, and ROIC of -22.9%. By comparison, ELMT (The Elmet Group Co.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $733.5M) and NWCL (newcleo plc) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.30B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while RYZ leads on capital efficiency (-3.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NX?
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Per NX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-10-31, CIK 0001423221), Quanex Building Products Corporation generated $1.84B in revenue (+43.8% YoY), -$250.8M in net income, and $102.3M in free cash flow against $1.98B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.61 (-0.27%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 5.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510050
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D
Cash (9)Whales (14)SEC (8)Macro (10)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
$25 Bull$20 Base$16 Bear
📬 FREE NX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NX SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (28% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.2% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (20% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 78% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 58.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 12 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$18.39+3.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
45
Grade D$19.11+1.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$19.36+6.8% Next Q
Current
50
Grade D$20.67-1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (42) → D (50)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NX currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($19.80) and Max Pain ($21.70) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $24.50.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 29, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Jan 29, 2027 (~87 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±9.2% Swing Band

±$1.90 Expected Swing
$18.77 (-9.2%)Spot $20.67$22.57 (+9.2%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

NX Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 50/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 43.8%

Model Bullish Setup (50/100)Model Risk Weight (50/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-10-31$1.84B-$250.8M$102.3M27.2%
FY 20242024-10-31$1.28B$33.1M$51.7M23.9%
FY 20232023-10-31$1.13B$82.5M$147.1M27.2%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NX)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +11.43%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $19.80H $20.76L $19.80C $20.67VOL 393.8K
RES: $25.69SUP: $18.09SMA50: $19.80SMA200: $19.10
$23.88$21.59$19.29$16.99$14.70RES $25.69SUP $18.09$20.672026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +43.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NX)

Industrials Rank #244 of 485 ⚔️ ELMT vs NX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (NX vs. ELMT, NWCL, TSAT, RYZ)

Industry: Metal Fabrications (47 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Quanex Building Products Corporation (NX) ranks #244 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #257 by equity capitalization ($951.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NX leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while RYZ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -3.4% ROIC and 17.1% gross margin. ELMT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with NX at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NX ACTIVE
Quanex Building Products Corporation
D 50/100 — 27.2% -22.9% -0.43% $951.4M Benchmark Subject
ELMT
The Elmet Group Co.
C- 60/100 — — — -3.70% $733.5M /elmt-vs-nx →
NWCL
newcleo plc
D 46/100 — — — -7.81% $1.30B /nwcl-vs-nx →
TSAT
Telesat Corporation and Class B Variable Voting Shares (Class A)
D 48/100 — — — -5.71% $1.54B /tsat-vs-nx →
RYZ
Ryerson Holding Corporation
D+ 53/100 — 17.1% -3.4% +0.48% $1.60B /ryz-vs-nx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-10-31 • CIK 0001423221

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-10-31), Quanex Building Products Corporation (NX) reported GAAP revenue of $1.84B (+43.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.28B , and +62.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$250.8M, operating cash flow of $164.9M, and free cash flow of $102.3M (+97.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, NX closed FY2025 with $1.98B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.37, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-10-31 $1.84B -$250.8M $164.9M $102.3M $1.98B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-10-31 $1.28B $33.1M $88.8M $51.7M $2.22B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-10-31 $1.13B $82.5M $147.1M $147.1M — —

3. NX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Quanex Building Products Corporation (NYSE: NX) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $20.67 (-0.43% 1D, market cap $951.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, NX ranks #244 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NX compare to ELMT and NWCL in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), NX carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 27.2%, and ROIC of -22.9%. By comparison, ELMT (The Elmet Group Co.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $733.5M) and NWCL (newcleo plc) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.30B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while RYZ leads on capital efficiency (-3.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NX?

Per NX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-10-31, CIK 0001423221), Quanex Building Products Corporation generated $1.84B in revenue (+43.8% YoY), -$250.8M in net income, and $102.3M in free cash flow against $1.98B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NX last traded at $20.67 (-0.43% on volume of 329,036 shares), positioning the stock +4.39% above its 50-day simple moving average ($19.80) and +8.22% above its 200-day simple moving average ($19.10). Across its 52-week range of $11.04 to $23.33, NX sits at the 78.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.2% ($18.77 to $22.57).

NX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is NX's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Quanex Building Products Corporation (NX)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Jan 29, 2027.

How much is NX stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±9.2% event move for NX, spanning a range between $18.77 and $22.57.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 50/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NX — Quanex Building Products Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:31:36Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, NX scores 50 out of 100, earning a "D" grade and the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." Across the five pillars, the Fundamental Cash Engine scores 9/20 (ROIC of -22.9%, FCF yield of 10.75%), Whale 13F Flow scores 14/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction scores 9/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit scores 10/20 (beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet scores 8/20 (Altman Z of 1.37, Piotroski F of 6/9, debt-to-equity of 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the rating's weakest pillars sit in the cash-generation and insider-conviction areas, while institutional positioning is the relatively strongest input. The 10.75% FCF yield is a real positive datapoint that partly offsets the negative ROIC, so the case is mixed rather than uniformly negative. The forensic pillar's low score reflects a Altman Z-Score in the distress-leaning range alongside a moderate Piotroski reading. Macro sensitivity is neutral-to-unfavorable given a beta of 1.0. Taken together, the rating frames NX as a name where upside would depend on a turnaround in operating economics that the current data does not yet show.

Business

Quanex Building Products Corporation is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, operating within the Metal Fabrications industry. Per the profile, the company has a market capitalization of $1.0B. The source data does not describe its specific products, customer base, or revenue model beyond sector and industry classification. Reported revenue of $1837.6M for FY 2025 is shown in the SEC financials below.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$1837.6M$-194.0M$-250.8MN/A$102.3M$62.3MN/A
FY 2024$1277.9M$54.8M$33.1MN/A$51.7M$50.0MN/A
FY 2023$1130.6M$110.7M$82.5MN/A$147.1MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $1130.6M in FY 2023 to $1837.6M in FY 2025, while operating income moved from $110.7M to $-194.0M over the same span. Per the market data, gross margin is 27.2%, operating margin is -10.6%, and net margin is -13.6%, with ROIC at -22.9%. The Roarable RQD rating cites an Altman Z-Score of 1.37, a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.5. These figures indicate that the FY 2025 loss is the central issue in the reported trend, and that balance sheet strain is a relevant consideration alongside it.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news wire, the items are: a Yahoo Finance report on options positioning and institutional activity (YELLOW); a TradingView estimates item (YELLOW); a Stock Titan item noting the end of board observer rights for Teleios, which reports a stake in Quanex (YELLOW); a Stock Traders Daily item tagged as a risk-zone report (RED, RISK WATCH); an Investing.com UK Form 13D/A filing item dated 26 October (YELLOW); and a Yahoo Finance Australia item (YELLOW). The Stock Traders Daily item is the only one flagged RED. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists supply chain as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What is the drivers of the FY 2025 operating loss of $-194.0M relative to positive operating income in FY 2024?
  • What are the EPS, debt levels, and FY 2024 and FY 2025 cash balances, given that these fields are marked N/A or unavailable?
  • What is the composition of the institutional accumulation cited in the RQD whale pillar, and which holders are involved?
  • Does the Teleios board observer rights development have implications for governance or strategic direction?
  • What valuation multiples (P/E, EV/EBITDA) would apply once earnings are positive, given they are unavailable now?

NX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Quanex Building Products Corporation (NX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $20.67?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NX 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $22.42 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NX (D • RQD 50/100) a Buy at $20.76?

Welcome to the NX (Quanex Building Products Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 50/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Metal Fabrications. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $16.40 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $20.76

Pump the brakes on NX — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NX, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 27.2% gross margins. Unless Quanex Building Products Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $23.67 (+14.0%)
Spot @ $20.76

NX cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Metal Fabrications and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $20.76 (52-wk range $11.04 - $23.33), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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