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Stock Ratings / Technology / OCTV / options
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Octave Intelligence plc (Class B) (OCTV) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$21.16 -2.53% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.02

Octave Intelligence plc (Class B) (OCTV) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $5.83B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on OCTV Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OCTV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Octave Intelligence plc (Class B) (NASDAQ: OCTV) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $21.16 (-2.53% 1D, market cap $5.83B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BULLISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OCTV compare to KVYO and BOX in the Technology sector?
▼

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), OCTV carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, KVYO (Klaviyo Inc. (Series A)) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -11.5%, cap $5.73B) and BOX (Box Inc.) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 51.5x, ROIC 13.8%, cap $5.96B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACIW leads on earnings multiple (24.8x) while BOX leads on capital efficiency (13.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OCTV?
▼

Per OCTV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002083632), Octave Intelligence plc (Class B) generated $3.65B in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $8.70B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.02 (-0.65%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 4.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510061
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D+ · Rk B-
Cash (10)Whales (14)SEC (13)Macro (15)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.4% Base Target
$32 Bull$21 Base$17 Bear
📬 FREE OCTV RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OCTV)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OCTV SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 39% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 62.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.3% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
53
Grade C-$20.06+2.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
56
Grade C$20.49+6.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
58
Grade C$21.73-2.6% Next Q
Current
61
Grade C-$21.16+0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (53) → C- (61)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OCTV Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, OCTV faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($19.74) or 200D SMA ($18.77) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($21.45) toward Bear Floor ($16.73).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OCTV• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OCTV Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 61%NO 39%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±6.3%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (OCTV)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for OCTV.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating OCTV & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on OCTV
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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OCTV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.64%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $21.74H $21.74L $21.16C $21.16VOL 1.15M
RES: $22.33SUP: $18.86SMA50: $19.74SMA200: $18.77
$31.02$26.79$22.56$18.33$14.10RES $22.33SUP $18.86$21.162026-05-212026-07-022026-08-132026-09-232026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OCTV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 OCTV Butterfly Map → + Track OCTV →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OCTV today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OCTV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OCTV today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OCTV)

Technology Rank #195 of 715 ⚔️ KVYO vs OCTV Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (OCTV vs. KVYO, BOX, ACIW, VRNS)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Octave Intelligence plc (Class B) (OCTV) ranks #195 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #196 by equity capitalization ($5.83B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACIW leads on earnings valuation at 24.8x trailing P/E, while BOX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.8% ROIC and 79.2% gross margin. BOX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with OCTV at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OCTV ACTIVE
Octave Intelligence plc (Class B)
C- 61/100 — — — -2.53% $5.83B Benchmark Subject
KVYO
Klaviyo Inc. (Series A)
C- 61/100 — 74.7% -11.5% +8.24% $5.73B /kvyo-vs-octv →
BOX
Box Inc.
B+ 76/100 51.5x 79.2% 13.8% -0.48% $5.96B /box-vs-octv →
ACIW
ACI Worldwide Inc.
B 74/100 24.8x 49.0% 12.4% +3.66% $5.69B /aciw-vs-octv →
VRNS
Varonis Systems Inc.
C 63/100 — 78.8% -15.3% -0.20% $5.61B /vrns-vs-octv →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002083632 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Octave Intelligence plc (Class B) (OCTV) reported GAAP revenue of $3.65B , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, OCTV closed FY2025 with $8.70B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.65B $0 — — $8.70B $0

3. OCTV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OCTV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Octave Intelligence plc (Class B) (NASDAQ: OCTV) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $21.16 (-2.53% 1D, market cap $5.83B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BULLISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

How does OCTV compare to KVYO and BOX in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), OCTV carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, KVYO (Klaviyo Inc. (Series A)) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -11.5%, cap $5.73B) and BOX (Box Inc.) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 51.5x, ROIC 13.8%, cap $5.96B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACIW leads on earnings multiple (24.8x) while BOX leads on capital efficiency (13.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OCTV?

Per OCTV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002083632), Octave Intelligence plc (Class B) generated $3.65B in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $8.70B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OCTV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OCTV last traded at $21.16 (-2.53% on volume of 1,491,367 shares), positioning the stock +7.19% above its 50-day simple moving average ($19.74) and +12.73% above its 200-day simple moving average ($18.77). Across its 52-week range of $15.41 to $30.00, OCTV sits at the 39.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($19.83 to $22.49).

Direct Sub-Reports: OCTV RQD Cockpit OCTV 12M Forecast OCTV Earnings & Move OCTV Dividends & DRIP OCTV Insiders & 13F OCTV Whale Options OCTV Profit Sankey OCTV News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 61/100 (C-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

OCTV — Octave Intelligence plc (Class B): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Octave Intelligence plc (Class B) (OCTV) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 61/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $21.16 (-2.53% 1D, market capitalization $5.83B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (15/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of 0.00x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Octave Intelligence plc (Class B) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, classified under Computer Software: Prepackaged Software. It operates with a market capitalization of $5.8B. — for how it makes money beyond its sector classification.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Octave Intelligence plc (Class B) (OCTV) reported $3.65B in annual revenue and $0 in GAAP net income. Operating cash flow reached $0 and free cash flow totaled $0, backed by $8.70B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 61/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 14/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $15.41 – $30.00 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies, butterfly links, or proprietary signals are recorded. Sector correlations and second-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can OCTV sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Computer Software: Prepackaged Software peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $3.65B and free cash flow of $0, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is OCTV's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

OCTV Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Octave Intelligence plc (Class B) (OCTV) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OCTV Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OCTV Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $21.16?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OCTV 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on OCTV:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $25.18 (+16.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Balance sheet metrics (Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 6/9, Debt/Equity 0.5) and $156.1M cash provide a comparatively steady financial base.

Picked up a starter position in OCTV in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $21.71. Balance sheet metrics (Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 6/9, Debt/Equity 0.5) and $156.1M cash provide a comparatively steady financial base.. Trading inside a $15.41–$30.00 52-week range with 0.0% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Computer Software: Prepackaged Software multiples expand this quarter.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@QuantViper Agree on the RQD 61/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $21.71 and keeping dry powder in case we test $20.19.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $16.50 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $21.71

ROIC and FCF yield are both 0%, and insider and institutional pillars score 9/20, signaling weak cash generation and limited conviction

Fading this rally in OCTV at $21.71. ROIC and FCF yield are both 0%, and insider and institutional pillars score 9/20, signaling weak cash generation and limited conviction.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $21.71 (52-wk range $15.41–$30.00), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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