Why OESX Stock advanced +0.71% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$20.54 +0.71% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.53

Orion Energy Systems Inc. (OESX) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 30/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $83.4M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OESX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Orion Energy Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: OESX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $20.54 (+0.71% 1D, market cap $83.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, OESX ranks #889 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OESX compare to PCLA and SKYX in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Building Products), OESX carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 32.6%, and ROIC of -8.0%. By comparison, PCLA (PicoCELA Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $106.7M) and SKYX (SKYX Platforms Corp.) posts a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $107.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LYTS leads on earnings multiple (31.6x) while OESX leads on capital efficiency (-8.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OESX?
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Per OESX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001409375), Orion Energy Systems Inc. generated $86.3M in revenue (+8.3% YoY), -$3.2M in net income, and -$1.2M in free cash flow against $48.3M in total assets and $9.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.53 (-0.06%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (30/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510030
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (3)Whales (7)SEC (8)Macro (10)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.6% Base Target
$33 Bull$18 Base$14 Bear
📬 FREE OESX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OESX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (30/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OESX SCORES 30/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (33% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 52% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 32.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
38
Grade E$25.43-10.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
35
Grade E$22.80-14.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
33
Grade E$19.56+5% Next Q
Current
30
Grade E$20.54-9.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (38) → E (30)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OESX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While OESX currently carries a cautious 30/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($25.41) and Max Pain ($21.57) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $33.23.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OESX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OESX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why OESX Stock advanced +0.71% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Orion Energy Systems Inc. (OESX) advanced +0.71% to $20.54, trading at 52% of its 52-week range ($8.35 – $31.65). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-8% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 52% of its 52-week range ($8.35 – $31.65) with RSI-14 at 32.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $20.54 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 32.6% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live OESX Headlines & Catalysts
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OESX)

  • ✓Walkthrough of OESX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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OESX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +124.48%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $20.00H $20.54L $20.00C $20.54VOL 9.4K
RES: $40.36SUP: $20.22SMA50: $25.41SMA200: $14.99
$33.26$26.57$19.88$13.19$6.50RES $40.36SUP $20.22$20.542026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OESX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OESX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OESX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OESX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OESX)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #889 of 1011 ⚔️ PCLA vs OESX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (OESX vs. PCLA, SKYX, EFOI, LYTS)

Industry: Building Products (12 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Orion Energy Systems Inc. (OESX) ranks #889 by composite RQD confidence (30/100, grade E) and #767 by equity capitalization ($83.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LYTS leads on earnings valuation at 31.6x trailing P/E, while OESX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -8.0% ROIC and 32.6% gross margin. PCLA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with OESX at 30/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OESX ACTIVE
Orion Energy Systems Inc.
E 30/100 — 32.6% -8.0% +0.71% $83.4M Benchmark Subject
PCLA
PicoCELA Inc.
C 65/100 — — — -26.22% $106.7M /pcla-vs-oesx →
SKYX
SKYX Platforms Corp.
E 22/100 — 30.3% -35.0% +0.32% $107.2M /skyx-vs-oesx →
EFOI
Energy Focus Inc.
D- 36/100 — 18.9% -26.6% -7.29% $28.0M /efoi-vs-oesx →
LYTS
LSI Industries Inc.
D+ 54/100 31.6x 24.7% — -3.24% $771.1M /lyts-vs-oesx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0001409375

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Orion Energy Systems Inc. (OESX) reported GAAP revenue of $86.3M (+8.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $79.7M , and -4.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$3.2M, operating cash flow of -$1.1M, and free cash flow of -$1.2M (-332.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, OESX closed FY2025 with $48.3M in total assets against $9.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-31 $86.3M -$3.2M -$1.1M -$1.2M $48.3M $9.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-31 $79.7M -$13.6M $599.0K $500.0K $52.7M —
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $90.6M -$15.7M -$10.1M -$10.1M — —

3. OESX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OESX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Orion Energy Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: OESX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $20.54 (+0.71% 1D, market cap $83.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, OESX ranks #889 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OESX compare to PCLA and SKYX in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Building Products), OESX carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 32.6%, and ROIC of -8.0%. By comparison, PCLA (PicoCELA Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $106.7M) and SKYX (SKYX Platforms Corp.) posts a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $107.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LYTS leads on earnings multiple (31.6x) while OESX leads on capital efficiency (-8.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OESX?

Per OESX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001409375), Orion Energy Systems Inc. generated $86.3M in revenue (+8.3% YoY), -$3.2M in net income, and -$1.2M in free cash flow against $48.3M in total assets and $9.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OESX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OESX last traded at $20.54 (+0.71% on volume of 24,794 shares), positioning the stock -19.17% below its 50-day simple moving average ($25.41) and +37.02% above its 200-day simple moving average ($14.99). Across its 52-week range of $8.35 to $31.65, OESX sits at the 52.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 32.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($17.97 to $23.11).

OESX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is OESX stock moving today?

Why OESX Stock advanced +0.71% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-8% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 30/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

OESX — Orion Energy Systems Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:44:48Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Roarable RQD Score is 30 / E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid," per the Roarable RQD rating. Across its five pillars (each scored out of 20):

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 2 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects ROIC of -8% and FCF yield of -1.39%. This is the weakest pillar and indicates the business is not currently generating returns on invested capital or free cash flow relative to its market value.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 7 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score is low-to-moderate, suggesting limited institutional conviction support.
  • Insider Conviction: 3 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar covers SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The low score signals weak insider-side conviction in the data provided.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 10 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.0 with sector sensitivity considered. This is the highest pillar, but it is still mid-range and does not offset the fundamental weakness.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 8 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 0.2, Piotroski F is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.76. The Altman Z-Score at this level is a distress-zone reading, which is the primary forensic concern.

Investor implications: Upside drivers in the source data are limited to the stock's 1.98% daily gain, its position well off the 52-week low, and the Macro/Beta pillar. Valuation tradeoffs are significant: with negative ROIC, negative FCF yield, and no reported EPS or P/E, the stock cannot be valued on earnings in the source data. The price-to-market-cap relationship should be weighed against the forensic and cash-engine deficits. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the verdict is Avoid, and this dossier presents that rating as an analytical output rather than personalized advice.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$86.3M$-1.6M$-3.2MN/A$-1.2M$4.7M$9.0M
FY 2024$79.7M$-10.6M$-13.6MN/A$0.5M$7.5MN/A
FY 2023$90.6M$-10.8M$-15.7MN/A$-10.1MN/AN/A

Per the market data, gross margin is 32.6%, operating margin -1.9%, and net margin -3.7%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is -8%, the Altman Z-Score is 0.2, and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9. Debt/Equity is 0.76 per the same rating. The reported periods show losses at the operating and net level across all three years, with FY 2025 losses narrowing relative to FY 2024. Balance sheet posture shows cash of $4.7M against debt of $9.0M in FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news wire, the items are: an LD Micro Main Event investor conference presentation scheduled for Oct. 20 at 10 a.m. PT; a TradingView estimates report; a Yahoo Finance item on prominent roles at FM Solutions Summit and other industry events; a Stock Titan report of a 407,000-share passive stake; a Benzinga item on Q1 2027 results and an earnings call transcript; and a Stock Titan report that a longtime automaker customer awarded its first electric-car charging project to Orion. All items are rated YELLOW in the source data. The news wire does not provide quantitative detail on the earnings results or the stake's percentage ownership. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is NONE, with no butterfly links or proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's principal products and customers, given that the source data gives only sector and industry classification?
  • What drove the Q1 2027 results referenced in the news wire, and what were the reported figures?
  • What is the size and percentage of the 407,000-share passive stake, and who is the filer?
  • What explains the missing FY 2023 cash and FY 2023–2024 debt figures, and is the balance sheet trend improving or deteriorating?
  • What is the current analyst consensus, if any, given that analyst data is absent?

OESX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Orion Energy Systems Inc. (OESX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OESX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OESX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $20.54?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OESX 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on OESX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $17.95 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is OESX (E • RQD 30/100) a Buy at $20.40?

Welcome to the OESX (Orion Energy Systems Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 30/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Building Products. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $16.73 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $20.40

Pump the brakes on OESX — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on OESX, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 32.6% gross margins. Unless Orion Energy Systems Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $25.70 (+26.0%)
Spot @ $20.40

OESX cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on OESX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Building Products and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $20.40 (52-wk range $8.35 - $31.65), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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