Olin Corporation (OLN) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±9.3% Move

$17.60 +9.66% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.87

Olin Corporation (OLN) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $1.83B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OLN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Olin Corporation (NYSE: OLN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $17.60 (+9.66% 1D, market cap $1.83B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, OLN ranks #201 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OLN compare to MTX and CC in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), OLN carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 7.4%, and ROIC of 0.1%. By comparison, MTX (Minerals Technologies Inc.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.6%, cap $1.92B) and CC (Chemours Company) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.99B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OLN leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while MTX leads on capital efficiency (1.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OLN?
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Per OLN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000074303), Olin Corporation generated $6.78B in revenue (+3.7% YoY), -$101.1M in net income, and $247.9M in free cash flow against $7.33B in total assets and $2.72B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.87 (+1.55%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 3.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510039
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk E
Cash (10)Whales (7)SEC (8)Macro (5)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.5% Base Target
$32 Bull$16 Base$13 Bear
📬 FREE OLN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OLN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OLN SCORES 39/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3.7% FCF Margin ($247.9M FCF) & 7.4% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+9/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 45% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (49.7) create a -15 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
31
Grade E$14.71+3.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
34
Grade E$15.19+4.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
36
Grade E$15.94+10.4% Next Q
Current
39
Grade D-$17.60-7.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (31) → D- (39)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OLN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While OLN currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($16.39) and Max Pain ($18.48) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $31.98.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OLN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OLN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±9.3% Swing Band

±$1.64 Expected Swing
$15.96 (-9.3%)Spot $17.60$19.24 (+9.3%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

OLN Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 39/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 3.7%

Model Bullish Setup (39/100)Model Risk Weight (61/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$6.78B-$101.1M$247.9M7.4%
FY 20242024-12-31$6.54B$105.0M$308.1M11.3%
FY 20232023-12-31$6.83B$452.0M$974.3M8%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OLN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of OLN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
OLN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -38.65%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $16.47H $17.60L $16.05C $17.60VOL 4.84M
RES: $19.14SUP: $13.79SMA50: $16.39SMA200: $22.29
$30.28$26.04$21.80$17.56$13.32RES $19.14SUP $13.79$17.602026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OLN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
21.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OLN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OLN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OLN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OLN)

Materials Rank #201 of 270 ⚔️ MTX vs OLN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (OLN vs. MTX, CC, STDN, HUN)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Olin Corporation (OLN) ranks #201 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #118 by equity capitalization ($1.83B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OLN leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while MTX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 1.6% ROIC and 25.0% gross margin. STDN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 54/100 (D+) compared with OLN at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OLN ACTIVE
Olin Corporation
D- 39/100 — 7.4% 0.1% +9.66% $1.83B Benchmark Subject
MTX
Minerals Technologies Inc.
D- 39/100 — 25.0% 1.6% +1.47% $1.92B /mtx-vs-oln →
CC
Chemours Company
D- 36/100 — 15.5% -35.0% +2.58% $1.99B /cc-vs-oln →
STDN
Standard Nuclear Inc. (Class A)
D+ 54/100 — — — -6.92% $2.01B /stdn-vs-oln →
HUN
Huntsman Corporation
D- 40/100 — 13.2% -2.6% +7.47% $1.57B /hun-vs-oln →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000074303

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Olin Corporation (OLN) reported GAAP revenue of $6.78B (+3.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.54B , and -0.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$101.1M, operating cash flow of $474.2M, and free cash flow of $247.9M (-19.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, OLN closed FY2025 with $7.33B in total assets against $2.72B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.59, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $6.78B -$101.1M $474.2M $247.9M $7.33B $2.72B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $6.54B $105.0M $503.2M $308.1M $7.58B $2.71B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $6.83B $452.0M $974.3M $974.3M — —

3. OLN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OLN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Olin Corporation (NYSE: OLN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $17.60 (+9.66% 1D, market cap $1.83B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, OLN ranks #201 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OLN compare to MTX and CC in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), OLN carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 7.4%, and ROIC of 0.1%. By comparison, MTX (Minerals Technologies Inc.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.6%, cap $1.92B) and CC (Chemours Company) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.99B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OLN leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while MTX leads on capital efficiency (1.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OLN?

Per OLN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000074303), Olin Corporation generated $6.78B in revenue (+3.7% YoY), -$101.1M in net income, and $247.9M in free cash flow against $7.33B in total assets and $2.72B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OLN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OLN last traded at $17.60 (+9.66% on volume of 6,672,980 shares), positioning the stock +7.38% above its 50-day simple moving average ($16.39) and -21.04% below its 200-day simple moving average ($22.29). Across its 52-week range of $14.64 to $30.46, OLN sits at the 18.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.3% ($15.96 to $19.24).

OLN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is OLN's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Olin Corporation (OLN)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is OLN stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±9.3% event move for OLN, spanning a range between $15.96 and $19.24.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 39/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

OLN — Olin Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:27:35Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, OLN carries an RQD Score of 39 out of 100, a letter grade of D-, and the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." Across its five pillars, the Fundamental Cash Engine scores 10 of 20 (ROIC 0.1%; FCF yield 13.55%), suggesting that the cash generation shown in the free cash flow yield is not translating into meaningful returns on invested capital. Whale 13F Flow scores 7 of 20, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning that the rating treats as weak. Insider Conviction scores 9 of 20 based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Macro Regime Fit scores 5 of 20 with a Beta of 1.0 and noted sector sensitivity, the lowest pillar and a signal that the stock's exposure to the cycle is not favorable under the rating's framework. Forensic Balance Sheet scores 8 of 20, anchored by an Altman Z-Score of 1.59, a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.48. For a prospective investor, the implications are that the upside case depends on the yield-based cash flow thesis holding up against a thin operating margin, a sub-2 Altman Z-Score, and a rating framework that views the balance sheet and institutional flow as vulnerable. Valuation tradeoffs are visible in the EV/EBITDA of 22.2 relative to an operating margin of 0.1%, which indicates the market is pricing recovery rather than current earnings power.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$6780.8M$5.3M$-101.1MN/A$247.9M$167.6M$2717.6M
FY 2024$6540.1M$296.5M$105.0MN/A$308.1M$175.6M$2713.2M
FY 2023$6833.0M$712.1M$452.0MN/A$974.3MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, operating income fell from $712.1M in FY 2023 to $5.3M in FY 2025, and net income moved from $452.0M to $-101.1M over the same span. Per the market data, net margin is -1.5% and ROIC is 0.1%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 1.59 and the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9. Debt/Equity is 1.48 per the RQD rating, and reported debt of $2717.6M against cash of $167.6M in FY 2025 indicates a leveraged balance sheet.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's EPS and P/E figures on a trailing and forward basis, given that these are absent from the source data?
  • What were the specific results and guidance in the 2026 Q3 earnings presentation, and how do they compare with the FY 2025 operating income of $5.3M?
  • What is the status and expected value impact of the Huntsman merger, and how is it financed against the $2717.6M of reported debt?
  • Who are the institutional and insider holders, and what are the size and direction of their positions?
  • How much of the chlor-alkali downcycle is already reflected in the 52-week decline from $30.46 to $16.05?

OLN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Olin Corporation (OLN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OLN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OLN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $17.60?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OLN 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on OLN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $14.12 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is OLN (D- • RQD 39/100) a Buy at $16.05?

Welcome to the OLN (Olin Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 39/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Major Chemicals. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $12.36 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $16.05

Pump the brakes on OLN — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on OLN, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 7.4% gross margins. Unless Olin Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $18.62 (+16.0%)
Spot @ $16.05

OLN cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on OLN, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Major Chemicals and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $16.05 (52-wk range $14.64 - $30.46), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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