Why OLN Stock surged +9.66% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$17.60 +9.66% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.87

Olin Corporation (OLN) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $1.83B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OLN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Olin Corporation (NYSE: OLN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $17.60 (+9.66% 1D, market cap $1.83B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, OLN ranks #201 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OLN compare to MTX and CC in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), OLN carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 7.4%, and ROIC of 0.1%. By comparison, MTX (Minerals Technologies Inc.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.6%, cap $1.92B) and CC (Chemours Company) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.99B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OLN leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while MTX leads on capital efficiency (1.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OLN?
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Per OLN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000074303), Olin Corporation generated $6.78B in revenue (+3.7% YoY), -$101.1M in net income, and $247.9M in free cash flow against $7.33B in total assets and $2.72B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.87 (+1.55%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 3.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510039
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk E
Cash (10)Whales (7)SEC (8)Macro (5)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.5% Base Target
$32 Bull$16 Base$13 Bear
📬 FREE OLN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OLN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OLN SCORES 39/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3.7% FCF Margin ($247.9M FCF) & 7.4% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+9/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 45% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (49.7) create a -15 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
31
Grade E$14.71+3.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
34
Grade E$15.19+4.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
36
Grade E$15.94+10.4% Next Q
Current
39
Grade D-$17.60-7.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (31) → D- (39)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OLN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While OLN currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($16.39) and Max Pain ($18.48) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $31.98.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OLN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OLN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why OLN Stock surged +9.66% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Olin Corporation (OLN) surged +9.66% to $17.60, trading at 19% of its 52-week range ($14.64 – $30.46). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (0% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 19% of its 52-week range ($14.64 – $30.46) with RSI-14 at 49.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.3% around $17.60 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 7.4% gross margin and $247.9M annual free cash flow.
Live OLN Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTYahoo • 1d ago
Olin (OLN) Stock Rallies As Q3 Earnings Turn Positive Again

Olin stock jumped 9.7% in Friday’s session to close at US$17.60, a sharp move for a mature chemicals and ammunition producer that has been wrestling with losses. The spark was Q3 2026 earnings turning back into the black

CATALYSTYahoo • 3d ago
What Olin (OLN) Said on Its Q3 Earnings Call

Olin (NYSE:OLN) said it expects to close its planned merger with Huntsman in the first quarter of 2027, after clearing the Hart-Scott-Rodino waiting period in the U.S. and receiving approvals in several other jurisdictio

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OLN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of OLN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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OLN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -38.65%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $16.47H $17.60L $16.05C $17.60VOL 4.84M
RES: $19.14SUP: $13.79SMA50: $16.39SMA200: $22.29
$30.28$26.04$21.80$17.56$13.32RES $19.14SUP $13.79$17.602026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OLN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
21.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OLN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OLN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OLN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OLN)

Materials Rank #201 of 270 ⚔️ MTX vs OLN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (OLN vs. MTX, CC, STDN, HUN)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Olin Corporation (OLN) ranks #201 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #118 by equity capitalization ($1.83B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OLN leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while MTX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 1.6% ROIC and 25.0% gross margin. STDN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 54/100 (D+) compared with OLN at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OLN ACTIVE
Olin Corporation
D- 39/100 — 7.4% 0.1% +9.66% $1.83B Benchmark Subject
MTX
Minerals Technologies Inc.
D- 39/100 — 25.0% 1.6% +1.47% $1.92B /mtx-vs-oln →
CC
Chemours Company
D- 36/100 — 15.5% -35.0% +2.58% $1.99B /cc-vs-oln →
STDN
Standard Nuclear Inc. (Class A)
D+ 54/100 — — — -6.92% $2.01B /stdn-vs-oln →
HUN
Huntsman Corporation
D- 40/100 — 13.2% -2.6% +7.47% $1.57B /hun-vs-oln →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000074303

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Olin Corporation (OLN) reported GAAP revenue of $6.78B (+3.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.54B , and -0.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$101.1M, operating cash flow of $474.2M, and free cash flow of $247.9M (-19.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, OLN closed FY2025 with $7.33B in total assets against $2.72B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.59, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $6.78B -$101.1M $474.2M $247.9M $7.33B $2.72B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $6.54B $105.0M $503.2M $308.1M $7.58B $2.71B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $6.83B $452.0M $974.3M $974.3M — —

3. OLN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OLN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Olin Corporation (NYSE: OLN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $17.60 (+9.66% 1D, market cap $1.83B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, OLN ranks #201 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OLN compare to MTX and CC in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), OLN carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 7.4%, and ROIC of 0.1%. By comparison, MTX (Minerals Technologies Inc.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.6%, cap $1.92B) and CC (Chemours Company) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.99B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OLN leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while MTX leads on capital efficiency (1.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OLN?

Per OLN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000074303), Olin Corporation generated $6.78B in revenue (+3.7% YoY), -$101.1M in net income, and $247.9M in free cash flow against $7.33B in total assets and $2.72B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OLN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OLN last traded at $17.60 (+9.66% on volume of 6,672,980 shares), positioning the stock +7.38% above its 50-day simple moving average ($16.39) and -21.04% below its 200-day simple moving average ($22.29). Across its 52-week range of $14.64 to $30.46, OLN sits at the 18.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.3% ($15.96 to $19.24).

OLN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is OLN stock moving today?

Why OLN Stock surged +9.66% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (0% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 39/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

OLN — Olin Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:27:35Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, OLN carries an RQD Score of 39 out of 100, a letter grade of D-, and the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." Across its five pillars, the Fundamental Cash Engine scores 10 of 20 (ROIC 0.1%; FCF yield 13.55%), suggesting that the cash generation shown in the free cash flow yield is not translating into meaningful returns on invested capital. Whale 13F Flow scores 7 of 20, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning that the rating treats as weak. Insider Conviction scores 9 of 20 based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Macro Regime Fit scores 5 of 20 with a Beta of 1.0 and noted sector sensitivity, the lowest pillar and a signal that the stock's exposure to the cycle is not favorable under the rating's framework. Forensic Balance Sheet scores 8 of 20, anchored by an Altman Z-Score of 1.59, a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.48. For a prospective investor, the implications are that the upside case depends on the yield-based cash flow thesis holding up against a thin operating margin, a sub-2 Altman Z-Score, and a rating framework that views the balance sheet and institutional flow as vulnerable. Valuation tradeoffs are visible in the EV/EBITDA of 22.2 relative to an operating margin of 0.1%, which indicates the market is pricing recovery rather than current earnings power.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$6780.8M$5.3M$-101.1MN/A$247.9M$167.6M$2717.6M
FY 2024$6540.1M$296.5M$105.0MN/A$308.1M$175.6M$2713.2M
FY 2023$6833.0M$712.1M$452.0MN/A$974.3MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, operating income fell from $712.1M in FY 2023 to $5.3M in FY 2025, and net income moved from $452.0M to $-101.1M over the same span. Per the market data, net margin is -1.5% and ROIC is 0.1%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 1.59 and the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9. Debt/Equity is 1.48 per the RQD rating, and reported debt of $2717.6M against cash of $167.6M in FY 2025 indicates a leveraged balance sheet.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's EPS and P/E figures on a trailing and forward basis, given that these are absent from the source data?
  • What were the specific results and guidance in the 2026 Q3 earnings presentation, and how do they compare with the FY 2025 operating income of $5.3M?
  • What is the status and expected value impact of the Huntsman merger, and how is it financed against the $2717.6M of reported debt?
  • Who are the institutional and insider holders, and what are the size and direction of their positions?
  • How much of the chlor-alkali downcycle is already reflected in the 52-week decline from $30.46 to $16.05?

OLN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Olin Corporation (OLN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OLN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OLN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $17.60?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OLN 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on OLN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $14.12 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is OLN (D- • RQD 39/100) a Buy at $16.05?

Welcome to the OLN (Olin Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 39/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Major Chemicals. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $12.36 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $16.05

Pump the brakes on OLN — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on OLN, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 7.4% gross margins. Unless Olin Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $18.62 (+16.0%)
Spot @ $16.05

OLN cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on OLN, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Major Chemicals and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $16.05 (52-wk range $14.64 - $30.46), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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