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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ONEW / earnings
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OneWater Marine Inc. (Class A) (ONEW) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12% Move

$9.64 +0.63% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.63

OneWater Marine Inc. (Class A) (ONEW) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 31/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $160.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ONEW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, OneWater Marine Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: ONEW) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $9.64 (+0.63% 1D, market cap $160.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ONEW ranks #862 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ONEW compare to PRTS and HZO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto & Home Supply Stores), ONEW carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 22.8%, and ROIC of -11.2%. By comparison, PRTS (CarParts.com Inc.) holds a E grade (21/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $55.7M) and HZO (MarineMax Inc. (FL)) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.4%, cap $1.17B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AZO leads on earnings multiple (20.2x) while AZO leads on capital efficiency (55.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ONEW?
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Per ONEW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001772921), OneWater Marine Inc. (Class A) generated $1.87B in revenue (+5.6% YoY), -$114.6M in net income, and $79.7M in free cash flow against $1.44B in total assets and $325.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.63 (-0.08%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 4.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (31/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510031
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (9)Whales (5)SEC (8)Macro (4)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.1% Base Target
$17 Bull$8 Base$7 Bear
📬 FREE ONEW RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ONEW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (31/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ONEW SCORES 31/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4.3% FCF Margin ($79.7M FCF) & 22.8% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.30 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (49.2) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
23
Grade E$9.08+3.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
26
Grade E$9.38+2.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
28
Grade E$9.60+0.4% Next Q
Current
31
Grade E$9.64-9.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (23) → E (31)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ONEW Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ONEW currently carries a cautious 31/100 (E) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.15) and Max Pain ($10.12) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $16.50.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ONEW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ONEW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 31%NO 69%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 29, 2026 (~55 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12% Swing Band

±$1.16 Expected Swing
$8.48 (-12%)Spot $9.64$10.80 (+12%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ONEW Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 31/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 5.6%

Model Bullish Setup (31/100)Model Risk Weight (69/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-09-30$1.87B-$114.6M$79.7M22.8%
FY 20242024-09-30$1.77B-$5.7M$8.9M24.5%
FY 20232023-09-30$1.94B-$38.6M-$129.8M22.8%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ONEW)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ONEW's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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ONEW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -5.58%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $9.58H $9.64L $9.58C $9.64VOL 125.6K
RES: $11.15SUP: $8.34SMA50: $10.15SMA200: $11.04
$14.62$13.01$11.39$9.78$8.17RES $11.15SUP $8.34$9.642026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ONEW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ONEW Butterfly Map → + Track ONEW →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ONEW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ONEW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ONEW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ONEW)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #862 of 1009 ⚔️ PRTS vs ONEW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ONEW vs. PRTS, HZO, AAP, AZO)

Industry: Auto & Home Supply Stores (6 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, OneWater Marine Inc. (Class A) (ONEW) ranks #862 by composite RQD confidence (31/100, grade E) and #714 by equity capitalization ($160.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AZO leads on earnings valuation at 20.2x trailing P/E, while AZO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 55.8% ROIC and 52.6% gross margin. AZO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with ONEW at 31/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ONEW ACTIVE
OneWater Marine Inc. (Class A)
E 31/100 — 22.8% -11.2% +0.63% $160.7M Benchmark Subject
PRTS
CarParts.com Inc.
E 21/100 — 32.8% -35.0% -19.95% $55.7M /prts-vs-onew →
HZO
MarineMax Inc. (FL)
D+ 52/100 — 32.5% 2.4% +0.32% $1.17B /hzo-vs-onew →
AAP
Advance Auto Parts Inc.
E 28/100 62.8x 43.4% -1.4% -1.36% $2.72B /aap-vs-onew →
AZO
AutoZone Inc.
C+ 67/100 20.2x 52.6% 55.8% +1.05% $51.02B /azo-vs-onew →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001772921 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), OneWater Marine Inc. (Class A) (ONEW) reported GAAP revenue of $1.87B (+5.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.77B , and -3.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$114.6M, operating cash flow of $91.8M, and free cash flow of $79.7M (+793.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, ONEW closed FY2025 with $1.44B in total assets against $325.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.30, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $1.87B -$114.6M $91.8M $79.7M $1.44B $325.8M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $1.77B -$5.7M $34.8M $8.9M $1.61B $412.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $1.94B -$38.6M -$129.8M -$129.8M — —

3. ONEW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ONEW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, OneWater Marine Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: ONEW) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $9.64 (+0.63% 1D, market cap $160.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ONEW ranks #862 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ONEW compare to PRTS and HZO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto & Home Supply Stores), ONEW carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 22.8%, and ROIC of -11.2%. By comparison, PRTS (CarParts.com Inc.) holds a E grade (21/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $55.7M) and HZO (MarineMax Inc. (FL)) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.4%, cap $1.17B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AZO leads on earnings multiple (20.2x) while AZO leads on capital efficiency (55.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ONEW?

Per ONEW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001772921), OneWater Marine Inc. (Class A) generated $1.87B in revenue (+5.6% YoY), -$114.6M in net income, and $79.7M in free cash flow against $1.44B in total assets and $325.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ONEW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ONEW last traded at $9.64 (+0.63% on volume of 125,606 shares), positioning the stock -5.02% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.15) and -12.68% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.04). Across its 52-week range of $8.12 to $15.71, ONEW sits at the 20.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.0% ($8.48 to $10.80).

Direct Sub-Reports: ONEW RQD Cockpit ONEW 12M Forecast ONEW Earnings & Move ONEW Dividends & DRIP ONEW Insiders & 13F ONEW Whale Options ONEW Profit Sankey ONEW News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 31/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ONEW — OneWater Marine Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-09-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

OneWater Marine Inc. (Class A) (ONEW) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 31/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $9.64 (+0.63% 1D, market capitalization $160.7M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -11.2%, gross margin of 22.8%, operating margin of -4.6%, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (4/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.30, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.17x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

OneWater Marine Inc. (Class A) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Auto & Home Supply Stores industry. Market capitalization is shown as $0.2B in the profile and $159.7M in market data. — for further business detail.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-09-30), OneWater Marine Inc. (Class A) (ONEW) reported $1.87B in annual revenue (up from $1.77B in FY2024, +5.6% YoY) and -$114.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.94B revenue, -$38.6M net income) through FY2025, ONEW scaled operating cash flow to $91.8M and free cash flow to $79.7M, backed by $1.44B in total assets against $325.8M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 31/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $8.12 – $15.71 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -4.6% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or proprietary signal links are recorded for ONEW. Investors should note that the absence of mapped links means this dataset cannot identify second-order bottlenecks; any such analysis would require sources not included here.

  • Key Question #1: Can ONEW sustain or expand its -4.6% operating margin and -11.2% ROIC against Auto & Home Supply Stores peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.87B and free cash flow of $79.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $325.8M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ONEW's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ONEW Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for OneWater Marine Inc. (Class A) (ONEW) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ONEW Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ONEW Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $9.64?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ONEW 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ONEW:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $11.86 (+23.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Beta of 1.0 and a stock price of 9.58 sitting within a 52-week range of $8.12 to $15.72 mean the shares move with the market rather tha

The street is overcomplicating OneWater Marine Inc. (Class A) (ONEW). Beta of 1.0 and a stock price of 9.58 sitting within a 52-week range of $8.12 to $15.72 mean the shares move with the market rather than amplifying its swings.. With an RQD score of 31/100 (E) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 8/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $10.41.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — ONEW's 8/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.52 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $9.64

A 0% FCF yield, -11.2% ROIC, and an Altman Z-Score of 1.3 leave the company without sourced cash-generation or balance-sheet support fo

Careful chasing ONEW at $9.64. A 0% FCF yield, -11.2% ROIC, and an Altman Z-Score of 1.3 leave the company without sourced cash-generation or balance-sheet support for the current valuation.. Gross margin is 22.8%, but operating margin is -4.6%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $7.52 on multiple compression.

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