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Stock Ratings / Technology / OPXS / earnings
OPTX (46) RELL (57) DCM (43) MSAI (19) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Optex Systems Holdings Inc. (OPXS) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.3% Move

$9.14 -0.97% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.15

Optex Systems Holdings Inc. (OPXS) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (29% profit margin, 30% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate) →
ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $64.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on OPXS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OPXS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Optex Systems Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: OPXS) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $9.14 (-0.97% 1D, market cap $64.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 20/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 19/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, OPXS ranks #102 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OPXS compare to OPTX and RELL in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Electronic Components), OPXS carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.5x, gross margin of 29.2%, and ROIC of 29.8%. By comparison, OPTX (Syntec Optics Holdings Inc. (Class A)) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.8%, cap $294.0M) and RELL (Richardson Electronics Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 48.8x, ROIC 4.1%, cap $311.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OPXS leads on earnings multiple (12.5x) while OPXS leads on capital efficiency (29.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OPXS?
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Per OPXS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-28, CIK 0001397016), Optex Systems Holdings Inc. generated $41.3M in revenue (+21.6% YoY), $5.1M in net income, and $6.4M in free cash flow against $30.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (29% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.15 (+0.07%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 20/20 (A+) • 15.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
025507510070
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk B-
Cash (20)Whales (3)SEC (18)Macro (10)CEO (19)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target
$18 Bull$10 Base$7 Bear
📬 FREE OPXS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OPXS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OPXS SCORES 70/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+20/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 15.6% FCF Margin ($6.4M FCF) & 29.2% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+19/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
78
Grade A-$10.10-4.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
75
Grade B+$9.68-2.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
73
Grade B$9.48-3.6% Next Q
Current
70
Grade B-$9.14+6.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: A- (78) → B- (70)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OPXS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, OPXS faces multiple-compression risk if 12.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 26.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($10.11) or 200D SMA ($11.88) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($9.63) toward Bear Floor ($7.49).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OPXS• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OPXS Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 70%NO 30%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 27, 2026 (~54 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.3% Swing Band

±$0.58 Expected Swing
$8.56 (-6.3%)Spot $9.14$9.72 (+6.3%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

OPXS Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 70/100

Trailing EPS: $0.74 • YoY Revenue Growth: 21.6%

Model Bullish Setup (70/100)Model Risk Weight (30/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-09-28$41.3M$5.1M$6.4M29.2%
FY 20242024-09-29$34.0M$3.8M$1.1M28%
FY 20232023-10-01$25.7M$2.3M-$296.0K29.2%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating OPXS & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on OPXS
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
OPXS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -15.53%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $9.11H $9.23L $9.11C $9.14VOL 6.2K
RES: $9.89SUP: $9.07SMA50: $10.11SMA200: $11.88
$14.45$12.99$11.52$10.05$8.58RES $9.89SUP $9.07$9.142026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OPXS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 OPXS Butterfly Map → + Track OPXS →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
3.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +21.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OPXS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OPXS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OPXS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OPXS)

Technology Rank #102 of 714 ⚔️ OPTX vs OPXS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (OPXS vs. OPTX, RELL, DCM, MSAI)

Industry: Electronic Components (21 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Optex Systems Holdings Inc. (OPXS) ranks #102 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #551 by equity capitalization ($64.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OPXS leads on earnings valuation at 12.5x trailing P/E, while OPXS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.8% ROIC and 29.2% gross margin. OPXS currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 70/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OPXS ACTIVE
Optex Systems Holdings Inc.
B- 70/100 12.5x 29.2% 29.8% -0.97% $64.2M Benchmark Subject
OPTX
Syntec Optics Holdings Inc. (Class A)
D 46/100 — 23.3% -2.8% -13.84% $294.0M /optx-vs-opxs →
RELL
Richardson Electronics Ltd.
D+ 57/100 48.8x 31.2% 4.1% -5.69% $311.4M /rell-vs-opxs →
DCM
DeFi Capital Markets Inc.
D- 43/100 — 16.6% -35.0% -8.08% $10.1M /dcm-vs-opxs →
MSAI
MultiSensor AI Holdings Inc.
E 19/100 — — -35.0% -4.82% $7.6M /msai-vs-opxs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-28 • CIK 0001397016

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-28), Optex Systems Holdings Inc. (OPXS) reported GAAP revenue of $41.3M (+21.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $34.0M , and +61.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $5.1M, operating cash flow of $6.9M, and free cash flow of $6.4M (+485.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, OPXS closed FY2025 with $30.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 10.17, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-28 $41.3M $5.1M $6.9M $6.4M $30.2M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-29 $34.0M $3.8M $1.8M $1.1M $24.8M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-10-01 $25.7M $2.3M -$296.0K -$296.0K — —

3. OPXS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OPXS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Optex Systems Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: OPXS) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $9.14 (-0.97% 1D, market cap $64.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 20/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 19/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, OPXS ranks #102 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OPXS compare to OPTX and RELL in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Electronic Components), OPXS carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.5x, gross margin of 29.2%, and ROIC of 29.8%. By comparison, OPTX (Syntec Optics Holdings Inc. (Class A)) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.8%, cap $294.0M) and RELL (Richardson Electronics Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 48.8x, ROIC 4.1%, cap $311.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OPXS leads on earnings multiple (12.5x) while OPXS leads on capital efficiency (29.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OPXS?

Per OPXS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-28, CIK 0001397016), Optex Systems Holdings Inc. generated $41.3M in revenue (+21.6% YoY), $5.1M in net income, and $6.4M in free cash flow against $30.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (29% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OPXS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OPXS last traded at $9.14 (-0.97% on volume of 8,619 shares), positioning the stock -9.59% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.11) and -23.06% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.88). Across its 52-week range of $9.04 to $17.38, OPXS sits at the 1.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($8.56 to $9.72).

OPXS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is OPXS's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Optex Systems Holdings Inc. (OPXS)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 27, 2026.

How much is OPXS stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±6.3% event move for OPXS, spanning a range between $8.56 and $9.72.

Direct Sub-Reports: OPXS RQD Cockpit OPXS 12M Forecast OPXS Earnings & Move OPXS Dividends & DRIP OPXS Insiders & 13F OPXS Whale Options OPXS Profit Sankey OPXS News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 70/100 (B-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

OPXS — Optex Systems Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:46:03Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Roarable RQD rating is 70, graded B-, with the verdict "Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation" (per the Roarable RQD rating). The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 20/20 (ROIC 29.8%; FCF yield 10.02%); Whale 13F Flow at 3/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 19/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 10/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 18/20 (Altman Z 10.17; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). For a prospective investor, the rating's strength lies in cash generation and balance-sheet quality, while its weakest pillar is institutional flow at 3/20, which means the "accumulation" in the verdict label is not strongly reflected in the 13F pillar. The macro pillar at 10/20 signals that the stock's exposure to broader market conditions is not a clear tailwind. Upside drivers cited in the data are the high ROIC and FCF yield; valuation tradeoffs are reflected in P/E (TTM) of 12.5 and forward P/E of 10.5 against a 52-week range of $9.04 - $17.38, with the current price of 9.23 near the low end of that range. Investors should weigh that the rating is a model output, not a recommendation.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
9.23$64.2M12.510.57.70.740%1.0$9.04 - $17.3829.8%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$41.3M$7.1M$5.1MN/A$6.4M$5.8MN/A
FY 2024$34.0M$4.8M$3.8MN/A$1.1M$2.5MN/A
FY 2023$25.7M$2.8M$2.3MN/A$-0.3MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $25.7M in FY 2023 to $41.3M in FY 2025, and net income rose from $2.3M to $5.1M over the same span. Per the market data, ROIC is 29.8%, net margin is 12.5%, and FCF yield is 10.02%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 10.17, the Piotroski F-Score is 8 out of 9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Debt values are not reported in the financials, so balance-sheet leverage beyond the Debt/Equity ratio cannot be assessed from source data.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's principal products, customers, and contract concentration? The source data describes only sector and industry.
  • What is the reported total debt and the composition of the balance sheet, given that debt fields are N/A?
  • Why does the RQD whale 13F pillar score only 3/20 when the verdict label describes institutional accumulation?
  • What drove the reported 24% three-month decline, and is it tied to fundamentals or sentiment?
  • What are the EPS figures for each reported fiscal year, since EPS is listed as N/A in the financials?

OPXS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Optex Systems Holdings Inc. (OPXS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OPXS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OPXS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $9.14?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OPXS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on OPXS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $10.89 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is OPXS (B- • RQD 70/100) a Buy at $9.23?

Welcome to the OPXS (Optex Systems Holdings Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 70/100 (Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation) in Electronic Components. Bulls point to capital efficiency (29.8% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.48 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $9.23

Pump the brakes on OPXS — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on OPXS, but look at what you are paying: 12.5x trailing P/E with 29.2% gross margins. Unless Optex Systems Holdings Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $11.26 (+22.0%)
Spot @ $9.23

OPXS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on OPXS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Electronic Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $9.23 (52-wk range $9.04 - $17.38), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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