OneSpaWorld came into this earnings print already on a tear, with the stock climbing over the past month and then jumping another 7.2% to about $30 after the Q3 2026 release. The headline is simple: Q3 revenue reached ab
Why OSW Stock slipped -0.66% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (OSW) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
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Is OSW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (NASDAQ: OSW) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $30.02 (-0.66% 1D, market cap $3.03B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, OSW ranks #170 in composite RQD confidence.
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How does OSW compare to HGV and PK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), OSW carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 42.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.6%. By comparison, HGV (Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 34.3x, ROIC 6.3%, cap $2.91B) and PK (Park Hotels & Resorts Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.9%, cap $3.34B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PLNT leads on earnings multiple (18.4x) while PLNT leads on capital efficiency (19.1% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OSW?
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Per OSW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001758488), OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited generated $961.0M in revenue (+7.4% YoY), $71.6M in net income, and $83.5M in free cash flow against $707.1M in total assets and $84.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 43x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.7% FCF Margin ($83.5M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Altman Z-Score 12.49 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 9 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OSW Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 69/100 (C+) score, OSW faces multiple-compression risk if 42.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Priced at 43x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($23.93) or 200D SMA ($24.01) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($31.51) toward Bear Floor ($24.58).
Why OSW Stock slipped -0.66% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (OSW) slipped -0.66% to $30.02, trading at 94% of its 52-week range ($19.06 – $30.76). Solid steady margins (11% return on capital), mixed timing at 43x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 94% of its 52-week range ($19.06 – $30.76) with RSI-14 at 83.7 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7% around $30.02 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $83.5M annual free cash flow.
OneSpaWorld Holdings (OSW) just paired record third quarter 2026 earnings with a higher full year outlook, a new US$100 million share repurchase plan, and a 25% dividend increase that tightens the focus on shareholder re
TD Cowen analyst Max Rakhlenko maintains OneSpaWorld Hldgs (NASDAQ:OSW) with a Buy and raises the price target from $30 to $32.
Stifel analyst Steven Wieczynski maintains OneSpaWorld Hldgs (NASDAQ:OSW) with a Buy and raises the price target from $32 to $35.
Moby summary of OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited's Q3 2026 earnings call
Shareholders have larger cash payments headed their way.
An asset-light model generating reliable free cash flow allows management to fund shareholder returns while reducing debt.
Revenue hit $276.5 million with 22 consecutive quarters of growth.
NASSAU, Bahamas (AP) — NASSAU, Bahamas (AP) — OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (OSW) on Wednesday reported third-quarter earnings of $28.On a per-share basis, the Nassau, Bahamas-based company said it had net income of 28 ce
OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (OSW) Q3 2026 Earnings Call October 28, 2026 10:00 AM EDTCompany ParticipantsLeonard Fluxman - CEO & Executive...
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (OSW Tape Review)
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- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
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OSW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +7.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OSW today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OSW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OSW)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (OSW vs. HGV, PK, SHO, PLNT)
Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (OSW) ranks #170 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #355 by equity capitalization ($3.03B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PLNT leads on earnings valuation at 18.4x trailing P/E, while PLNT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.1% ROIC and 82.6% gross margin. PLNT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with OSW at 69/100 (C+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OSW
ACTIVE
OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited | C+ | 69/100 | 42.7x | — | 10.6% | -0.66% | $3.03B | Benchmark Subject |
| HGV Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. | D | 51/100 | 34.3x | — | 6.3% | +6.66% | $2.91B | /hgv-vs-osw → |
| PK Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. | D | 46/100 | — | — | -0.9% | +1.45% | $3.34B | /pk-vs-osw → |
| SHO Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. | C+ | 66/100 | — | — | — | +0.55% | $2.38B | /sho-vs-osw → |
| PLNT Planet Fitness Inc. | B- | 70/100 | 18.4x | 82.6% | 19.1% | +3.86% | $4.03B | /plnt-vs-osw → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001758488 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (OSW) reported GAAP revenue of $961.0M (+7.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $895.0M , and +21.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $71.6M, operating cash flow of $83.5M, and free cash flow of $83.5M (+6.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, OSW closed FY2025 with $707.1M in total assets against $84.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 12.49, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $961.0M | $71.6M | $83.5M | $83.5M | $707.1M | $84.0M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $895.0M | $72.9M | $78.8M | $78.8M | $746.4M | $93.6M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $794.0M | -$3.0M | $63.4M | $63.4M | — | — |
3. OSW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs OSW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (NASDAQ: OSW) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $30.02 (-0.66% 1D, market cap $3.03B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, OSW ranks #170 in composite RQD confidence.
How does OSW compare to HGV and PK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), OSW carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 42.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.6%. By comparison, HGV (Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 34.3x, ROIC 6.3%, cap $2.91B) and PK (Park Hotels & Resorts Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.9%, cap $3.34B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PLNT leads on earnings multiple (18.4x) while PLNT leads on capital efficiency (19.1% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OSW?
Per OSW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001758488), OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited generated $961.0M in revenue (+7.4% YoY), $71.6M in net income, and $83.5M in free cash flow against $707.1M in total assets and $84.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 43x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is OSW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
OSW last traded at $30.02 (-0.66% on volume of 2,383,805 shares), positioning the stock +25.45% above its 50-day simple moving average ($23.93) and +25.03% above its 200-day simple moving average ($24.01). Across its 52-week range of $19.06 to $30.76, OSW sits at the 93.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 83.7 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.0% ($27.92 to $32.12).
OSW — OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (OSW) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 69/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $30.02 (-0.66% 1D, market capitalization $3.03B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (16/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 10.6%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 8.5%, and free cash flow yield of 2.73%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (15/20) + Insider Conviction (11/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 12.49, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.15x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Is a NASDAQ-listed company in the Consumer Discretionary sector, Hotels/Resorts industry. The company reported FY 2025 revenue of $961.0M. Per the market data, the operating margin was 8.5% and the net margin was 7.5%.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (OSW) reported $961.0M in annual revenue (up from $895.0M in FY2024, +7.4% YoY) and $71.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($794.0M revenue, -$3.0M net income) through FY2025, OSW scaled operating cash flow to $83.5M and free cash flow to $83.5M, backed by $707.1M in total assets against $84.0M in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 69/100): Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 16/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 15/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $19.06 – $30.76 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Priced at 43x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Investors must weigh 42.7x trailing P/E and 38.3x EV/EBITDA against 8.5% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Operating in Hotels/Resorts (Consumer Discretionary), OSW carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.
- Key Question #1: Can OSW sustain or expand its 8.5% operating margin and 10.6% ROIC against Hotels/Resorts peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $961.0M and free cash flow of $83.5M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $84.0M in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is OSW's 39.7x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
OSW Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (OSW) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
OneSpaWorld came into this earnings print already on a tear, with the stock climbing over the past month and then jumping another 7.2% to about $30 after the Q3 2026 release. The headline is simple: Q3 revenue reached ab
OneSpaWorld Holdings (OSW) just paired record third quarter 2026 earnings with a higher full year outlook, a new US$100 million share repurchase plan, and a 25% dividend increase that tightens the focus on shareholder re
TD Cowen analyst Max Rakhlenko maintains OneSpaWorld Hldgs (NASDAQ:OSW) with a Buy and raises the price target from $30 to $32.
Stifel analyst Steven Wieczynski maintains OneSpaWorld Hldgs (NASDAQ:OSW) with a Buy and raises the price target from $32 to $35.
Moby summary of OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited's Q3 2026 earnings call
Shareholders have larger cash payments headed their way.
An asset-light model generating reliable free cash flow allows management to fund shareholder returns while reducing debt.
Revenue hit $276.5 million with 22 consecutive quarters of growth.
OSW Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $30.02?
Per the RQD rating, OSW combines a 10.6% ROIC and a 12.49 Altman Z-Score with 0.15 Debt/Equity, indicating a low-leverage business with
Per the RQD rating, OSW combines a 10.6% ROIC and a 12.49 Altman Z-Score with 0.15 Debt/Equity, indicating a low-leverage business with solid returns.. When you look under the hood at OSW, Fundamental Cash Engine is 16/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 10.6% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (15/20) has been quietly accumulating below $30.76. My 12M target is $36.57.
@DeepValue_CFA Agree on the RQD 69/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $30.22 and keeping dry powder in case we test $28.10.
Per the market data, the stock trades at a 42.7 P/E (TTM) and 38.3 EV/EBITDA against a 2.73% FCF yield, leaving valuation dependent on
Fading this rally in OSW at $30.22. Per the market data, the stock trades at a 42.7 P/E (TTM) and 38.3 EV/EBITDA against a 2.73% FCF yield, leaving valuation dependent on growth expectations.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $30.22 (52-wk range $19.06–$30.76), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.