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Why OUST Stock dropped -5.11% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$28.22 -5.11% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $27.91

Ouster Inc. (OUST) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 31/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $2.14B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OUST stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Ouster Inc. (NASDAQ: OUST) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $28.22 (-5.11% 1D, market cap $2.14B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, OUST ranks #395 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OUST compare to CHRN and KMT in the Industrials sector?
▼

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), OUST carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 49.3%, and ROIC of -30.1%. By comparison, CHRN (ChronoScale Holdings Corporation) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -9.3%, cap $2.09B) and KMT (Kennametal Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 23.4x, ROIC 9.5%, cap $2.22B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPB leads on earnings multiple (18.8x) while KMT leads on capital efficiency (9.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OUST?
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Per OUST's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001816581), Ouster Inc. generated $169.4M in revenue (+52.5% YoY), -$60.4M in net income, and -$64.8M in free cash flow against $349.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $27.91 (-1.11%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (31/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510031
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (5)Whales (6)SEC (14)Macro (3)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.2% Base Target
$67 Bull$25 Base$19 Bear
📬 FREE OUST RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OUST)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (31/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OUST SCORES 31/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (45% of score)

Altman Z-Score 12.44 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+6/20 pts (19% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
39
Grade E$35.33-16.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
36
Grade E$29.65+10.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
34
Grade E$32.79-13.9% Next Q
Current
31
Grade E$28.22-9.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (39) → E (31)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OUST Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While OUST currently carries a cautious 31/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($35.65) and Max Pain ($29.63) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $66.98.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OUST• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OUST Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 31%NO 69%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why OUST Stock dropped -5.11% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Ouster Inc. (OUST) dropped -5.11% to $28.22, trading at 25% of its 52-week range ($16.4 – $63.79). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-30% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 25% of its 52-week range ($16.4 – $63.79) with RSI-14 at 41.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $28.22 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 49.3% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live OUST Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OUST)

  • ✓Walkthrough of OUST's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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OUST // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.25%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $32.14H $32.14L $28.22C $28.22VOL 3.54M
RES: $42.80SUP: $26.29SMA50: $35.65SMA200: $32.46
$66.71$54.62$42.52$30.43$18.34RES $42.80SUP $26.29$28.222026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OUST Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 OUST Butterfly Map → + Track OUST →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +52.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OUST today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OUST. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OUST today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OUST)

Industrials Rank #395 of 486 ⚔️ CHRN vs OUST Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (OUST vs. CHRN, KMT, NN, SPB)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ouster Inc. (OUST) ranks #395 by composite RQD confidence (31/100, grade E) and #205 by equity capitalization ($2.14B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SPB leads on earnings valuation at 18.8x trailing P/E, while KMT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.5% ROIC and 30.4% gross margin. SPB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with OUST at 31/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OUST ACTIVE
Ouster Inc.
E 31/100 — 49.3% -30.1% -5.11% $2.14B Benchmark Subject
CHRN
ChronoScale Holdings Corporation
E 25/100 — 9.6% -9.3% -9.39% $2.09B /chrn-vs-oust →
KMT
Kennametal Inc.
D+ 53/100 23.4x 30.4% 9.5% +5.57% $2.22B /kmt-vs-oust →
NN
NextNav Inc.
E 18/100 — — -35.0% -16.49% $1.94B /nn-vs-oust →
SPB
Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc.
C+ 68/100 18.8x 36.7% 4.2% +4.22% $1.92B /spb-vs-oust →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001816581 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ouster Inc. (OUST) reported GAAP revenue of $169.4M (+52.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $111.1M , and +103.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$60.4M, operating cash flow of -$40.0M, and free cash flow of -$64.8M (-73.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, OUST closed FY2025 with $349.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 12.44, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $169.4M -$60.4M -$40.0M -$64.8M $349.5M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $111.1M -$97.0M -$33.7M -$37.5M $276.1M $0
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $83.3M -$374.1M -$137.9M -$137.9M — —

3. OUST Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OUST stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Ouster Inc. (NASDAQ: OUST) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $28.22 (-5.11% 1D, market cap $2.14B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, OUST ranks #395 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OUST compare to CHRN and KMT in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), OUST carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 49.3%, and ROIC of -30.1%. By comparison, CHRN (ChronoScale Holdings Corporation) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -9.3%, cap $2.09B) and KMT (Kennametal Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 23.4x, ROIC 9.5%, cap $2.22B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPB leads on earnings multiple (18.8x) while KMT leads on capital efficiency (9.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OUST?

Per OUST's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001816581), Ouster Inc. generated $169.4M in revenue (+52.5% YoY), -$60.4M in net income, and -$64.8M in free cash flow against $349.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OUST trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OUST last traded at $28.22 (-5.11% on volume of 2,453,891 shares), positioning the stock -20.84% below its 50-day simple moving average ($35.65) and -13.06% below its 200-day simple moving average ($32.46). Across its 52-week range of $16.40 to $63.79, OUST sits at the 24.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($24.69 to $31.75).

Direct Sub-Reports: OUST RQD Cockpit OUST 12M Forecast OUST Earnings & Move OUST Dividends & DRIP OUST Insiders & 13F OUST Whale Options OUST Profit Sankey OUST News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 31/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

OUST — Ouster Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Ouster Inc. (OUST) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 31/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $28.22 (-5.11% 1D, market capitalization $2.14B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -30.1%, gross margin of 49.3%, operating margin of -43.7%, and free cash flow yield of -2.80%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 12.44, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Ouster Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Industrials sector and Industrial Machinery/Components industry. The profile identifies the company as operating in this industry with a market capitalization of $2.3B. Gross margin of 49.3% is reported in the market data section.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Ouster Inc. (OUST) reported $169.4M in annual revenue (up from $111.1M in FY2024, +52.5% YoY) and -$60.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($83.3M revenue, -$374.1M net income) through FY2025, OUST scaled operating cash flow to -$40.0M and free cash flow to -$64.8M, backed by $349.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 31/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -2.80% and institutional whale pillar of 6/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $16.40 – $63.79 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -43.7% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies cannot be mapped from the source data. The only sector context available is the classification as Industrials / Industrial Machinery/Components and the Beta of 1.0. Second-order bottlenecks are not identified in the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can OUST sustain or expand its -43.7% operating margin and -30.1% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $169.4M and free cash flow of -$64.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is OUST's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

OUST Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ouster Inc. (OUST) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OUST Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OUST Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $28.22?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OUST 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on OUST:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $36.28 (+22.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Revenue grew from $83.3M in FY 2023 to $169.4M in FY 2025 while the Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scored 14/20 with an Altman Z-Score o

Picked up a starter position in OUST in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $29.74. Revenue grew from $83.3M in FY 2023 to $169.4M in FY 2025 while the Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scored 14/20 with an Altman Z-Score of 12.44.. Trading inside a $16.40–$63.79 52-week range with -2.8% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Industrial Machinery/Components multiples expand this quarter.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@RedlineAuditor Shorting a 6/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $29.74 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Industrials.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $24.68 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $29.74

Operating margin of -43.7%, ROIC of -30.1%, and negative FCF in every reported period leave the stock without cash-flow support at $32.

Careful chasing OUST at $29.74. Operating margin of -43.7%, ROIC of -30.1%, and negative FCF in every reported period leave the stock without cash-flow support at $32.14.. Gross margin is 49.3%, but operating margin is -43.7%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $24.68 on multiple compression.

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