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Stock Ratings / Energy / OVV
EXE (65) PR (73) TPL (65) APA (83) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$72.62 +1.47% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $72.99

Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 75/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 6% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 75/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.7% hit rate) →
ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $20.23B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on OVV Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OVV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Ovintiv Inc. (NYSE: OVV) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 75/100 at a spot price of $72.62 (+1.47% 1D, market cap $20.23B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, OVV ranks #14 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OVV compare to EXE and PR in the Energy sector?
▼

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), OVV carries a Roarable B (75/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.7%. By comparison, EXE (Expand Energy Corporation) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 11.5x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $20.89B) and PR (Permian Resources Corporation) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 8.5%, cap $21.42B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EXE leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while APA leads on capital efficiency (26.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OVV?
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Per OVV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001792580), Ovintiv Inc. generated $8.66B in revenue (-3.1% YoY), $1.24B in net income, and $1.50B in free cash flow against $20.39B in total assets and $4.39B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $72.98 (+0.50%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 17.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 75/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510075
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk B
Cash (11)Whales (18)SEC (13)Macro (16)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.7% Base Target
$92 Bull$78 Base$60 Bear
📬 FREE OVV RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OVV)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (75/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OVV SCORES 75/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+18/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.3% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 13.1% operating margin leave 9 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
67
Grade B-$66.66+5.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
70
Grade B$70.29+1.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
72
Grade B$71.13+2.1% Next Q
Current
75
Grade B$72.62+7.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (67) → B (75)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OVV Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 75/100 (B) score, OVV faces multiple-compression risk if 16.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($65.20) or 200D SMA ($57.96) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($78.18) toward Bear Floor ($59.55).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OVV• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OVV Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 75%NO 25%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
65.330 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)
2.02>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE97% OF RANGE
L: $35$72.62H: $74
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 11 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: ARQD 35 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: BRQD 29 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on OVV

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (55)

5.7% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 7.44% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 2.02 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BULLISH (85)

35/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 16/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like OVV
  • ✓Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (OVV Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
OVV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +15.40%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $71.34H $72.62L $71.34C $72.62VOL 2.72M
RES: $74.45SUP: $59.59SMA50: $65.20SMA200: $57.96
$75.67$67.18$58.69$50.20$41.70RES $74.45SUP $59.59$72.622026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OVV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 OVV Butterfly Map → + Track OVV →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
9.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OVV today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OVV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OVV today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OVV)

Energy Rank #14 of 211 ⚔️ EXE vs OVV Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (OVV vs. EXE, PR, TPL, APA)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) ranks #14 by composite RQD confidence (75/100, grade B) and #45 by equity capitalization ($20.23B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EXE leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while APA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 26.6% ROIC and — gross margin. APA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 83/100 (A-) compared with OVV at 75/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OVV ACTIVE
Ovintiv Inc.
B 75/100 16.3x — 5.7% +1.47% $20.23B Benchmark Subject
EXE
Expand Energy Corporation
C 65/100 11.5x — 8.5% +0.12% $20.89B /exe-vs-ovv →
PR
Permian Resources Corporation
B 73/100 — — 8.5% +1.76% $21.42B /pr-vs-ovv →
TPL
Texas Pacific Land Corporation
C 65/100 47.0x — 25.9% +1.13% $22.62B /tpl-vs-ovv →
APA
APA Corporation
A- 83/100 12.6x — 26.6% +2.54% $18.05B /apa-vs-ovv →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001792580

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) reported GAAP revenue of $8.66B (-3.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $8.94B , and -18.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.24B, operating cash flow of $3.65B, and free cash flow of $1.50B (+6.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, OVV closed FY2025 with $20.39B in total assets against $4.39B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.02, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $8.66B $1.24B $3.65B $1.50B $20.39B $4.39B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $8.94B $1.13B $3.72B $1.42B $19.25B $4.85B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $10.66B $2.08B $4.17B $3.69B $12.79B $2.99B

3. OVV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OVV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Ovintiv Inc. (NYSE: OVV) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 75/100 at a spot price of $72.62 (+1.47% 1D, market cap $20.23B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, OVV ranks #14 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OVV compare to EXE and PR in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), OVV carries a Roarable B (75/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.7%. By comparison, EXE (Expand Energy Corporation) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 11.5x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $20.89B) and PR (Permian Resources Corporation) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 8.5%, cap $21.42B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EXE leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while APA leads on capital efficiency (26.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OVV?

Per OVV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001792580), Ovintiv Inc. generated $8.66B in revenue (-3.1% YoY), $1.24B in net income, and $1.50B in free cash flow against $20.39B in total assets and $4.39B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OVV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OVV last traded at $72.62 (+1.47% on volume of 2,542,833 shares), positioning the stock +11.38% above its 50-day simple moving average ($65.20) and +25.29% above its 200-day simple moving average ($57.96). Across its 52-week range of $35.47 to $73.62, OVV sits at the 97.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 65.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.3% ($68.77 to $76.47).

OVV Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell OVV stock right now?

Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) currently earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy — BUY) with 75/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 6% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

What is OVV's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

OVV's 12-month base price target is $78.18 (range $59.55 to $92.25), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: OVV RQD Cockpit OVV 12M Forecast OVV Earnings & Move OVV Dividends & DRIP OVV Insiders & 13F OVV Whale Options OVV Profit Sankey OVV News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 75/100 (B) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

OVV — Ovintiv Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:13:41Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, OVV scores 75 out of 100 (letter grade B, verdict "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward"). The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 11 / 20. The pillar cites ROIC of 5.7% and an FCF yield of 7.44%. This is the weakest pillar, suggesting that the company's capital efficiency and cash generation, relative to the framework's standard, are the main constraint on the score.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 18 / 20. The pillar describes institutional accumulation and options positioning. This is the strongest pillar in the score and is the primary source of conviction behind the rating. The underlying 13F holdings detail is not itemized in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 17 / 20. The pillar references SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The individual transactions are not itemized in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 16 / 20. The pillar cites a beta of 0.91 and sector sensitivity, indicating the stock has historically moved somewhat less than the broad market in the framework's measurement.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. The pillar cites an Altman Z-Score of 2.02, a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.39.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the score implies a strong institutional and insider-flow tailwind combined with a moderate fundamental cash-generation profile. The upside case rests heavily on the flow pillars; the valuation tradeoff is that the 5.7% ROIC and 7.44% FCF yield are the metrics a skeptic would focus on. The price of $71.57 sits near the top of the $35.47–$73.62 52-week range, so much of the recent move is already reflected in the price. This is an analytical summary of the framework's output, not personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$71.57$20.23B16.315.28.34.391.52%0.91$35.47 - $73.625.7%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$8663.0M$1131.0M$1242.0MN/A$1505.0M$35.0M$4392.0M
FY 2024$8943.0M$1579.0M$1125.0MN/A$1418.0M$42.0M$4853.0M
FY 2023$10661.0M$2864.0M$2085.0MN/A$3687.3MN/A$2993.6M

Per the market data, operating margin is 13.1%, net margin is 14.3%, and gross margin is 0%, with ROIC of 5.7%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.02 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.39. Revenue declined from $10661.0M in FY 2023 to $8663.0M in FY 2025, while debt was $4392.0M at FY 2025 versus $2993.6M at FY 2023 per the SEC financials. Cash balances reported are small relative to debt in the periods shown.

Open Questions

  • What are the terms, financing, and expected accretion or dilution of the $890M Logan Energy transaction?
  • What are the individual SEC Form 4 and 13F transactions behind the insider and whale-flow pillar scores?
  • Why is FY 2025 FCF ($1505.0M) presented alongside a 7.44% FCF yield, and how does that yield reconcile with the $20.23B market cap?
  • What drove the decline in revenue from $10661.0M (FY 2023) to $8663.0M (FY 2025), and how much of the change reflects commodity pricing versus volume?
  • Why are EPS values reported as N/A for all three periods, and what is the basis for the $4.39 TTM EPS figure?

OVV Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OVV Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OVV Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $72.62?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OVV 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on OVV:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $84.45 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is OVV (B • RQD 75/100) a Buy at $71.57?

Welcome to the OVV (Ovintiv Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 75/100 (Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward) in Oil & Gas Production. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $58.69 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $71.57

Pump the brakes on OVV — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on OVV, but look at what you are paying: 16.3x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Ovintiv Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $86.60 (+21.0%)
Spot @ $71.57

OVV cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on OVV, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Oil & Gas Production and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $71.57 (52-wk range $35.47 - $73.62), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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