Yahoo Finance report covering Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why PACK Stock dropped -6.47% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 36/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is PACK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (NYSE: PACK) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $3.18 (-6.47% 1D, market cap $272.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PACK ranks #779 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does PACK compare to OI and GPK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Containers/Packaging), PACK carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 39.3%, and ROIC of -2.2%. By comparison, OI (O-I Glass Inc.) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.0%, cap $788.2M) and GPK (Graphic Packaging Holding Company) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 7.8%, cap $2.65B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SON leads on earnings multiple (4.9x) while SON leads on capital efficiency (11.4% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PACK?
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Per PACK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001712463), Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) generated $332.7M in revenue (+5.5% YoY), -$38.3M in net income, and $23.1M in free cash flow against $1.12B in total assets and $396.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 55% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.9% FCF Margin ($23.1M FCF) & 39.3% Gross Margin
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PACK Turnaround Squeeze
While PACK currently carries a cautious 36/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.00) and Max Pain ($3.34) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $8.20.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why PACK Stock dropped -6.47% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) dropped -6.47% to $3.18, trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($3.05 – $7.81). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($3.05 – $7.81) with RSI-14 at 35.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $3.18 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 39.3% gross margin and $23.1M annual free cash flow.
Yahoo Finance report covering Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
kalkine.ca report covering Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Quiver Quantitative report covering Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Automation revenue surged 26.9% as margins expanded and North America returned to growth.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PACK)
- ✓Walkthrough of PACK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
PACK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +5.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PACK today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PACK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PACK)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PACK vs. OI, GPK, DSY, SON)
Industry: Containers/Packaging (17 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) ranks #779 by composite RQD confidence (36/100, grade D-) and #655 by equity capitalization ($272.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SON leads on earnings valuation at 4.9x trailing P/E, while SON leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.4% ROIC and 20.9% gross margin. GPK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 54/100 (D+) compared with PACK at 36/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PACK
ACTIVE
Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) | D- | 36/100 | — | 39.3% | -2.2% | -6.47% | $272.8M | Benchmark Subject |
| OI O-I Glass Inc. | D- | 37/100 | — | 17.3% | -10.0% | -3.21% | $788.2M | /oi-vs-pack → |
| GPK Graphic Packaging Holding Company | D+ | 54/100 | 5.9x | 18.2% | 7.8% | +1.59% | $2.65B | /gpk-vs-pack → |
| DSY Big Tree Cloud Holdings Limited (Class A) | E | 33/100 | — | 53.8% | — | -6.47% | $15.1M | /dsy-vs-pack → |
| SON Sonoco Products Company | D+ | 52/100 | 4.9x | 20.9% | 11.4% | +0.14% | $4.94B | /son-vs-pack → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001712463In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) reported GAAP revenue of $332.7M (+5.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $315.5M , and +16.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$38.3M, operating cash flow of $23.1M, and free cash flow of $23.1M (-44.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, PACK closed FY2025 with $1.12B in total assets against $396.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.37, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $332.7M | -$38.3M | $23.1M | $23.1M | $1.12B | $396.4M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $315.5M | -$21.5M | $41.4M | $41.4M | $1.10B | $400.8M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $284.8M | -$27.1M | $52.6M | $52.6M | — | — |
3. PACK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs PACK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (NYSE: PACK) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $3.18 (-6.47% 1D, market cap $272.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PACK ranks #779 in composite RQD confidence.
How does PACK compare to OI and GPK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Containers/Packaging), PACK carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 39.3%, and ROIC of -2.2%. By comparison, OI (O-I Glass Inc.) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.0%, cap $788.2M) and GPK (Graphic Packaging Holding Company) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 7.8%, cap $2.65B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SON leads on earnings multiple (4.9x) while SON leads on capital efficiency (11.4% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PACK?
Per PACK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001712463), Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) generated $332.7M in revenue (+5.5% YoY), -$38.3M in net income, and $23.1M in free cash flow against $1.12B in total assets and $396.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is PACK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
PACK last traded at $3.18 (-6.47% on volume of 829,577 shares), positioning the stock -20.50% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.00) and -37.77% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.11). Across its 52-week range of $3.05 to $7.81, PACK sits at the 2.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.78 to $3.58).
PACK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is PACK stock moving today?
Why PACK Stock dropped -6.47% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
PACK — Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, PACK scores 36 out of 100, graded D- and labeled "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 (ROIC -2.2%; FCF yield 7.92%), Whale 13F Flow at 3/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 11/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 6/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 8/20 (Altman Z 0.37; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 0.74). For a prospective investor, the weakest pillars are Whale 13F Flow and the two fundamental pillars, which together signal that the company's return on invested capital is negative and that institutional sponsorship is thin. The positive FCF yield of 7.92% is a potential upside driver if it proves durable, but it sits alongside a negative ROIC and a low Altman Z-Score, which the rating treats as a balance-sheet vulnerability. The valuation tradeoff is that a low share price (3.4) combined with a 52-week range of $3.05 - $7.81 may look inexpensive on certain metrics, yet the absence of earnings-based multiples in the source data means the valuation cannot be cross-checked against earnings. The rating framework therefore points to elevated risk rather than a constructive setup.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $332.7M | $-24.3M | $-38.3M | N/A | $23.1M | $63.0M | $396.4M |
| FY 2024 | $315.5M | $-12.8M | $-21.5M | N/A | $41.4M | $76.1M | $400.8M |
| FY 2023 | $284.8M | $-7.5M | $-27.1M | N/A | $52.6M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $284.8M in FY 2023 to $332.7M in FY 2025, while operating income and net income remained negative in each reported period. Per the market data, the operating margin is -7.3%, the net margin is -11.5%, and ROIC is -2.2%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 0.37 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.74. Reported free cash flow declined from $52.6M (FY 2023) to $23.1M (FY 2025), and reported debt was $396.4M at FY 2025, against cash of $63.0M.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
- RISK WATCH (2026-11-02, 12h ago window): A kalkine.ca report describes a 15% share-price decline following a third-quarter revenue and EPS miss.
- RISK WATCH (Simply Wall St, 6h ago): A report characterizes the share price as sliding while third-quarter results leave losses unsettled.
- MARKET WIRE (Yahoo Finance, 1h and 3h ago): Reports frame the debt position as a question following Q3 results and summarize the earnings-call commentary.
- MARKET WIRE (Stock Titan, 9h ago): Reports automation revenue rose 22.7% to $14.6 million.
- MARKET WIRE (Benzinga, 15h ago): A Q3 2026 earnings call transcript is available.
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain links or proprietary signals are mapped for this issuer; supply_chain is recorded as "NONE." Two of the six news items are flagged RISK WATCH; the remaining four are MARKET WIRE. The news items do not contain verifiable specifics beyond the headlines and the automation revenue figure.
Open Questions
- What are the company's EPS, P/E, and EV/EBITDA figures, given that these fields are unavailable and no earnings-based valuation can be cross-checked?
- What are the terms, maturities, and covenants of the $396.4M in reported debt, and how does the debt position relate to the "debt questions" referenced in the news wire?
- What drove the decline in free cash flow from $52.6M (FY 2023) to $23.1M (FY 2025), and is the 7.92% FCF yield sustainable?
- What is the composition of revenue by product line and customer, and what is the source of the automation revenue growth cited in the news wire?
- Who holds the stock, and what do 13F, Form 4, and analyst coverage show? These holder and analyst fields are unavailable in the source data.
PACK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
kalkine.ca report covering Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Quiver Quantitative report covering Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
PACK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $3.18?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is PACK (D- • RQD 36/100) a Buy at $3.40?
Welcome to the PACK (Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 36/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Containers/Packaging. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on PACK — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on PACK, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 39.3% gross margins. Unless Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
PACK cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on PACK, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Containers/Packaging and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $3.40 (52-wk range $3.05 - $7.81), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.