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Why PD Stock slipped -1.36% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$16.71 -1.36% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.64

PagerDuty Inc. (PD) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.33B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on PD Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, PagerDuty Inc. (NYSE: PD) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $16.71 (-1.36% 1D, market cap $1.33B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, PD ranks #171 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PD compare to ALKT and RDVT in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), PD carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.9x, gross margin of 84.9%, and ROIC of 6.8%. By comparison, ALKT (Alkami Technology Inc.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.2%, cap $1.33B) and RDVT (Red Violet Inc.) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 98.2x, ROIC 16.1%, cap $1.28B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PD leads on earnings multiple (7.9x) while RDVT leads on capital efficiency (16.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PD?
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Per PD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001568100), PagerDuty Inc. generated $492.5M in revenue (+5.4% YoY), $172.7M in net income, and $111.9M in free cash flow against $990.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.64 (-0.43%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 22.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk D+
Cash (6)Whales (17)SEC (12)Macro (11)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.3% Base Target
$20 Bull$17 Base$13 Bear
📬 FREE PD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PD SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 1.2% operating margin leave 14 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
55
Grade C$16.68+1.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$16.93+4.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
60
Grade C$17.75-5.9% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$16.71+0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (55) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PD Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, PD faces multiple-compression risk if 7.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 82.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($15.30) or 200D SMA ($10.19) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($17.09) toward Bear Floor ($13.33).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PD• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PD Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why PD Stock slipped -1.36% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

PagerDuty Inc. (PD) slipped -1.36% to $16.71, trading at 89% of its 52-week range ($5.7 – $18.06). Solid 84.9% gross margin (7% return on capital), mixed timing at 8x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 89% of its 52-week range ($5.7 – $18.06) with RSI-14 at 55.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.5% around $16.71 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 84.9% gross margin and $111.9M annual free cash flow.
Live PD Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRETradingView • 1d ago
PagerDuty, Inc. Estimates – NYSE:PD

TradingView report covering PagerDuty Inc. (PD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

MARKET WIREYahoo • 4d ago
1 surging stock to target this week and 2 we find risky

Great things are happening to the stocks in this article. They’re all outperforming the market over the last month because of positive catalysts such as a new product line, constructive news flow, or even a loyal Reddit

CATALYSTYahoo • 6d ago
PagerDuty And 2 More AI Stocks To Watch

AI dealmaking just hit a new gear, with Anthropic’s planned IPO and related funding moves pointing to hundreds of billions of dollars chasing computing power and smart software. That kind of money can pull valuations awa

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (PD Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
PD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +125.20%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-03O $17.38H $17.38L $16.71C $16.71VOL 1.38M
RES: $18.34SUP: $16.89SMA50: $15.30SMA200: $10.19
$18.88$15.50$12.12$8.74$5.36RES $18.34SUP $16.89$16.712026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-5.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PD)

Technology Rank #171 of 715 ⚔️ ALKT vs PD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (PD vs. ALKT, RDVT, OPRA, GTM)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, PagerDuty Inc. (PD) ranks #171 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #330 by equity capitalization ($1.33B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PD leads on earnings valuation at 7.9x trailing P/E, while RDVT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.1% ROIC and — gross margin. RDVT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with PD at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PD ACTIVE
PagerDuty Inc.
C 63/100 7.9x 84.9% 6.8% -1.36% $1.33B Benchmark Subject
ALKT
Alkami Technology Inc.
E 31/100 — 57.8% -14.2% +7.58% $1.33B /alkt-vs-pd →
RDVT
Red Violet Inc.
C+ 68/100 98.2x — 16.1% -2.84% $1.28B /rdvt-vs-pd →
OPRA
Opera Limited
D 45/100 — — — -3.89% $1.39B /opra-vs-pd →
GTM
ZoomInfo Technologies Inc
D+ 52/100 10.5x 84.0% 6.7% -1.15% $1.27B /gtm-vs-pd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0001568100 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), PagerDuty Inc. (PD) reported GAAP revenue of $492.5M (+5.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $467.5M , and +14.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $172.7M, operating cash flow of $114.9M, and free cash flow of $111.9M (-2.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, PD closed FY2025 with $990.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.43, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-31 $492.5M $172.7M $114.9M $111.9M $990.5M —
FY2024 (FY) 2025-01-31 $467.5M -$43.5M $117.9M $115.1M $927.3M —
FY2023 (FY) 2024-01-31 $430.7M -$77.4M $72.0M $72.0M — —

3. PD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, PagerDuty Inc. (NYSE: PD) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $16.71 (-1.36% 1D, market cap $1.33B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, PD ranks #171 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PD compare to ALKT and RDVT in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), PD carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.9x, gross margin of 84.9%, and ROIC of 6.8%. By comparison, ALKT (Alkami Technology Inc.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.2%, cap $1.33B) and RDVT (Red Violet Inc.) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 98.2x, ROIC 16.1%, cap $1.28B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PD leads on earnings multiple (7.9x) while RDVT leads on capital efficiency (16.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PD?

Per PD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001568100), PagerDuty Inc. generated $492.5M in revenue (+5.4% YoY), $172.7M in net income, and $111.9M in free cash flow against $990.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PD last traded at $16.71 (-1.36% on volume of 1,230,082 shares), positioning the stock +9.22% above its 50-day simple moving average ($15.30) and +63.98% above its 200-day simple moving average ($10.19). Across its 52-week range of $5.70 to $18.06, PD sits at the 89.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.5% ($15.46 to $17.96).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 63/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

PD — PagerDuty Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-01-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

PagerDuty Inc. (PD) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 63/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $16.71 (-1.36% 1D, market capitalization $1.33B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (6/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 6.8%, gross margin of 84.9%, operating margin of 1.2%, and free cash flow yield of 8.19%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (17/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.43, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

PagerDuty Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Technology sector, within the Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry, profile. The profile identifies the company only by sector, industry, and exchange. The financial figures indicate revenue of $492.5M for FY 2025, but the composition of that revenue is not detailed in the source data.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-01-31), PagerDuty Inc. (PD) reported $492.5M in annual revenue (up from $467.5M in FY2024, +5.4% YoY) and $172.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($430.7M revenue, -$77.4M net income) through FY2025, PD scaled operating cash flow to $114.9M and free cash flow to $111.9M, backed by $990.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 63/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 6/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 17/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $5.70 – $18.06 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh 7.9x trailing P/E against 1.2% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The source data therefore does not establish any upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations beyond the Technology/Prepackaged Software classification, or second-order bottlenecks. The Roarable RQD macro pillar notes sector sensitivity through a Beta of 1.0, which indicates market-level rather than sub-sector exposure. An investor should note that the absence of mapped links means the source cannot identify which customers, suppliers, or competitors could transmit shocks to PD.

  • Key Question #1: Can PD sustain or expand its 1.2% operating margin and 6.8% ROIC against Computer Software: Prepackaged Software peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $492.5M and free cash flow of $111.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is PD's 7.3x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

PD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for PagerDuty Inc. (PD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PD Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $16.71?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PD 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PD:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $21.85 (+29.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Trading at 7.9x trailing earnings with an 8.19% FCF yield and strong institutional and insider flow scores.

The street is overcomplicating PagerDuty Inc. (PD). Trading at 7.9x trailing earnings with an 8.19% FCF yield and strong institutional and insider flow scores.. With an RQD score of 63/100 (C) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 12/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $18.30.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — PD's 12/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $13.89 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $16.94

A 1.2% operating margin and 6.8% ROIC leave the cash engine scoring just 6/20 in the RQD rating.

A 1.2% operating margin and 6.8% ROIC leave the cash engine scoring just 6/20 in the RQD rating.. Look at the math on PD: paying 7.9x trailing P/E for 6.8% ROIC and 1.2% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Computer Software: Prepackaged Software demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $14.91 before getting long.

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