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Alpine Income Property Trust Inc. (PINE) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$16.92 +3.23% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.99

Alpine Income Property Trust Inc. (PINE) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $303.6M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PINE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Alpine Income Property Trust Inc. (NYSE: PINE) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $16.92 (+3.23% 1D, market cap $303.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, PINE ranks #735 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PINE compare to KREF and ARI in the Financials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), PINE carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 3.8%. By comparison, KREF (KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.0%, cap $300.9M) and ARI (Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 6.5x, ROIC 6.8%, cap $296.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARI leads on earnings multiple (6.5x) while ARI leads on capital efficiency (6.8% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PINE?
β–Ό

Per PINE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001786117), Alpine Income Property Trust Inc. generated $60.5M in revenue (+15.9% YoY), -$2.7M in net income, and $25.8M in free cash flow against $715.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.99 (+0.39%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) β€’ 42.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 Β· D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510047
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D Β· Rk D
Cash (12)Whales (4)SEC (11)Macro (9)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5% Base Target
$23 Bull$16 Base$13 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE PINE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PINE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±6.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY PINE SCORES 47/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 42.5% FCF Margin ($25.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 4/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
55
Grade C$17.64-2.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
52
Grade C-$17.12-5.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
50
Grade C-$16.20+4.4% Next Q
Current
47
Grade D$16.92-5.9% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (55) β†’ D (47)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PINE Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While PINE currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($17.81) and Max Pain ($17.77) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $23.09.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PINEβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œPINE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±6.7%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (PINE)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for PINE.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PINE)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of PINE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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PINE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -13.01%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-04O $16.39H $16.92L $16.39C $16.92VOL 187.5K
RES: $17.74SUP: $15.57SMA50: $17.81SMA200: $19.06
$22.42$20.63$18.84$17.05$15.25RES $17.74SUP $15.57$16.922026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PINE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
21.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +15.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PINE today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PINE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PINE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PINE)

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (PINE vs. KREF, ARI, LAND, NREF)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Alpine Income Property Trust Inc. (PINE) ranks #735 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #802 by equity capitalization ($303.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARI leads on earnings valuation at 6.5x trailing P/E, while ARI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.8% ROIC and β€” gross margin. ARI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 55/100 (D+) compared with PINE at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PINE ACTIVE
Alpine Income Property Trust Inc.
D 47/100 β€” β€” 3.8% +3.23% $303.6M Benchmark Subject
KREF
KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc.
D- 40/100 β€” β€” -4.0% -0.76% $300.9M /kref-vs-pine β†’
ARI
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc
D+ 55/100 6.5x β€” 6.8% -0.86% $296.2M /ari-vs-pine β†’
LAND
Gladstone Land Corporation
D- 43/100 24.9x β€” 2.0% +0.14% $320.1M /land-vs-pine β†’
NREF
NexPoint Real Estate Finance Inc.
D 47/100 β€” β€” β€” -0.93% $282.2M /nref-vs-pine β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001786117 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Alpine Income Property Trust Inc. (PINE) reported GAAP revenue of $60.5M (+15.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $52.2M , and +32.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$2.7M, operating cash flow of $25.8M, and free cash flow of $25.8M (+9.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, PINE closed FY2025 with $715.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $60.5M -$2.7M $25.8M $25.8M $715.9M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $52.2M $2.1M $23.4M $23.4M $605.0M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $45.6M $2.9M $23.2M $23.2M β€” β€”

3. PINE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PINE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Alpine Income Property Trust Inc. (NYSE: PINE) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $16.92 (+3.23% 1D, market cap $303.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, PINE ranks #735 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PINE compare to KREF and ARI in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), PINE carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 3.8%. By comparison, KREF (KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.0%, cap $300.9M) and ARI (Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 6.5x, ROIC 6.8%, cap $296.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARI leads on earnings multiple (6.5x) while ARI leads on capital efficiency (6.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PINE?

Per PINE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001786117), Alpine Income Property Trust Inc. generated $60.5M in revenue (+15.9% YoY), -$2.7M in net income, and $25.8M in free cash flow against $715.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PINE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PINE last traded at $16.92 (+3.23% on volume of 187,522 shares), positioning the stock -5.00% below its 50-day simple moving average ($17.81) and -11.23% below its 200-day simple moving average ($19.06). Across its 52-week range of $14.51 to $21.99, PINE sits at the 32.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±6.7% ($15.79 to $18.05).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 47/100 (D) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

PINE β€” Alpine Income Property Trust Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Alpine Income Property Trust Inc. (PINE) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 47/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $16.92 (+3.23% 1D, market capitalization $303.6M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 3.8%, gross margin of β€”, operating margin of 21.7%, and free cash flow yield of 8.67%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (11/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, Real Estate Investment Trusts industry, with a market capitalization of $0.3B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Alpine Income Property Trust Inc. (PINE) reported $60.5M in annual revenue (up from $52.2M in FY2024, +15.9% YoY) and -$2.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($45.6M revenue, $2.9M net income) through FY2025, PINE scaled operating cash flow to $25.8M and free cash flow to $25.8M, backed by $715.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D β€’ RQD 47/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 8.67% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $14.51 – $21.99 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh current valuation and 22.3x EV/EBITDA against 21.7% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The sector and industry classification (Financials / Real Estate Investment Trusts) is the only contextual anchor provided. Investors should note that the absence of mapped links means the rating cannot be traced through supplier or customer ripple effects.

  • Key Question #1: Can PINE sustain or expand its 21.7% operating margin and 3.8% ROIC against Real Estate Investment Trusts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $60.5M and free cash flow of $25.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is PINE's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

PINE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Alpine Income Property Trust Inc. (PINE) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to PINE Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PINE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $16.92?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PINE 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PINE:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Growth & Tech Investor πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $20.16 (+23.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

A 5.97% dividend yield and an 8.67% FCF yield offer income-oriented upside if cash generation proves durable.

The street is overcomplicating Alpine Income Property Trust Inc. (PINE). A 5.97% dividend yield and an 8.67% FCF yield offer income-oriented upside if cash generation proves durable.. With an RQD score of 47/100 (D) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 11/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $17.70.

RetailWhale_TX πŸ‚ BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Shorting a 4/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $16.39 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Financials.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $13.77 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $16.39

A -4.4% net margin, 3.8% ROIC, and a 4/20 institutional-flow pillar point to weak earnings quality and limited smart-money support.

Careful chasing PINE at $16.39. A -4.4% net margin, 3.8% ROIC, and a 4/20 institutional-flow pillar point to weak earnings quality and limited smart-money support.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 21.7%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $13.77 on multiple compression.

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