Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 75/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (21.0% gross margin, 11% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
As of 2026-11-03, Packaging Corporation of America (NYSE: PKG) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 75/100 at a spot price of $258.64 (+0.71% 1D, market cap $22.88B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 14/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PKG ranks #58 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Containers/Packaging), PKG carries a Roarable B (75/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 29.3x, gross margin of 21.0%, and ROIC of 10.9%. By comparison, SW (Smurfit WestRock plc) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 31.9x, ROIC 4.7%, cap $22.60B) and KMB (Kimberly-Clark Corporation) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 18.1x, ROIC 43.6%, cap $35.90B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KMB leads on earnings multiple (18.1x) while KMB leads on capital efficiency (43.6% ROIC).
Per PKG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000075677), Packaging Corporation of America generated $8.99B in revenue (+7.2% YoY), $774.1M in net income, and $728.6M in free cash flow against $10.73B in total assets and $3.97B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (21.0% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 4.58 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.4% realized swing band)
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (67.8) create a -10 pt regime headwind
Even with a 75/100 (B) score, PKG faces multiple-compression risk if 29.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 18.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($237.71) or 200D SMA ($229.93) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($278.43) toward Bear Floor ($212.08).
Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) advanced +0.71% to $258.64, trading at 98% of its 52-week range ($191.5 – $259.98). High-quality cash engine (21.0% gross margin, 11% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
24/7 Wall St. report covering Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ChartMill report covering Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Rising equipment costs are reshaping the competitive landscape, and this company's capital discipline may determine who thrives.
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Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +7.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PKG today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PKG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) ranks #58 by composite RQD confidence (75/100, grade B) and #88 by equity capitalization ($22.88B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KMB leads on earnings valuation at 18.1x trailing P/E, while KMB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 43.6% ROIC and 36.0% gross margin. PKG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 75/100 (B).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PKG
ACTIVE
Packaging Corporation of America | B | 75/100 | 29.3x | 21.0% | 10.9% | +0.71% | $22.88B | Benchmark Subject |
| SW Smurfit WestRock plc | D+ | 56/100 | 31.9x | 19.4% | 4.7% | +0.72% | $22.60B | /sw-vs-pkg → |
| KMB Kimberly-Clark Corporation | B | 72/100 | 18.1x | 36.0% | 43.6% | +0.29% | $35.90B | /kmb-vs-pkg → |
| AVY Avery Dennison Corporation | B | 74/100 | 20.1x | 28.8% | 17.4% | +2.63% | $13.81B | /avy-vs-pkg → |
| WMS Advanced Drainage Systems Inc. | B- | 71/100 | 24.0x | 38.3% | 22.3% | +2.63% | $10.21B | /wms-vs-pkg → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) reported GAAP revenue of $8.99B (+7.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $8.38B , and +15.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $774.1M, operating cash flow of $1.56B, and free cash flow of $728.6M (+39.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, PKG closed FY2025 with $10.73B in total assets against $3.97B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.58, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $8.99B | $774.1M | $1.56B | $728.6M | $10.73B | $3.97B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $8.38B | $805.1M | $1.19B | $521.5M | $8.83B | $2.47B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $7.80B | $765.2M | $1.32B | $964.0M | $12.47B | $2.92B |
As of 2026-11-03, Packaging Corporation of America (NYSE: PKG) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 75/100 at a spot price of $258.64 (+0.71% 1D, market cap $22.88B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 14/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PKG ranks #58 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Containers/Packaging), PKG carries a Roarable B (75/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 29.3x, gross margin of 21.0%, and ROIC of 10.9%. By comparison, SW (Smurfit WestRock plc) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 31.9x, ROIC 4.7%, cap $22.60B) and KMB (Kimberly-Clark Corporation) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 18.1x, ROIC 43.6%, cap $35.90B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KMB leads on earnings multiple (18.1x) while KMB leads on capital efficiency (43.6% ROIC).
Per PKG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000075677), Packaging Corporation of America generated $8.99B in revenue (+7.2% YoY), $774.1M in net income, and $728.6M in free cash flow against $10.73B in total assets and $3.97B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (21.0% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
PKG last traded at $258.64 (+0.71% on volume of 867,015 shares), positioning the stock +8.80% above its 50-day simple moving average ($237.71) and +12.49% above its 200-day simple moving average ($229.93). Across its 52-week range of $191.50 to $259.98, PKG sits at the 98.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 67.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.4% ($247.26 to $270.02).
Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 75/100, corresponding to a B letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $258.64 (+0.71% 1D, market capitalization $22.88B).
Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Containers/Packaging industry,. The profile section identifies the company's market capitalization as $22.7B. — for product detail, customer base, or revenue mix. — for how the company generates its revenue beyond its industry classification.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) reported $8.99B in annual revenue (up from $8.38B in FY2024, +7.2% YoY) and $774.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($7.80B revenue, $765.2M net income) through FY2025, PKG scaled operating cash flow to $1.56B and free cash flow to $728.6M, backed by $10.73B in total assets against $3.97B in total debt.
Sector classification is Consumer Discretionary and industry is Containers/Packaging. No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks are identified in the source data. — for named suppliers, customers, or input-cost exposures.
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Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
24/7 Wall St. report covering Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ChartMill report covering Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Picked up a starter position in PKG in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $256.82. The RQD's strongest pillar, Whale 13F Flow at 17/20, points to institutional accumulation, while the balance sheet scores 18/20 with an Altman Z-Score of 4.58.. Trading inside a $191.50–$259.98 52-week range with 3.21% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Containers/Packaging multiples expand this quarter.
@DeltaGamma_99 Agree on the RQD 75/100 quality, though with 0.94 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $256.82 and keeping dry powder in case we test $238.84.
Careful chasing PKG at $256.82. At a P/E (TTM) of 29.3 against a 3.21% FCF yield, the stock trades at a premium while its Macro Regime Fit scores only 10/20.. Gross margin is 21.0%, but operating margin is 12.3%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $205.46 on multiple compression.
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