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Phillips 66 (PSX) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.7% Move

$275.04 -2.75% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $273.16

Phillips 66 (PSX) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $110.32B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PSX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Phillips 66 (NYSE: PSX) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $275.04 (-2.75% 1D, market cap $110.32B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 19/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, PSX ranks #96 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PSX compare to VLO and EQNR in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Integrated oil Companies), PSX carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.2x, gross margin of 12.3%, and ROIC of 9.2%. By comparison, VLO (Valero Energy Corporation) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 45.7x, ROIC 8.2%, cap $111.46B) and EQNR (Equinor ASA) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $121.89B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PSX leads on earnings multiple (24.2x) while MPC leads on capital efficiency (16.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PSX?
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Per PSX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001534701), Phillips 66 generated $132.38B in revenue (-7.5% YoY), $4.40B in net income, and -$994.9M in free cash flow against $73.68B in total assets and $19.55B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $273.14 (-0.69%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510059
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk D+
Cash (9)Whales (19)SEC (14)Macro (9)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.5% Base Target
$326 Bull$276 Base$216 Bear
📬 FREE PSX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PSX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PSX SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+19/20 pts (32% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.7% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.21 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 12 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
67
Grade B-$297.29-2.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
64
Grade C+$290.07-5.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
62
Grade C+$273.76+0.5% Next Q
Current
59
Grade C-$275.04+0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (67) → C- (59)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PSX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, PSX faces multiple-compression risk if 24.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($268.42) or 200D SMA ($200.98) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($276.28) toward Bear Floor ($215.50).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PSX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PSX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.7% Swing Band

±$18.43 Expected Swing
$256.61 (-6.7%)Spot $275.04$293.47 (+6.7%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

PSX Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 59/100

Trailing EPS: $11.29 • YoY Revenue Growth: -7.5%

Model Bullish Setup (59/100)Model Risk Weight (41/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$132.38B$4.40B-$994.9M12.3%
FY 20242024-12-31$143.15B$2.12B-$2.25B9.2%
FY 20232023-12-31$147.40B$7.01B$396.0M12.3%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating PSX & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on PSX
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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PSX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +54.11%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $273.6H $282.8L $273.6C $275.0VOL 3.68M
RES: $312.6SUP: $272.7SMA50: $268.4SMA200: $201.0
$310.3$265.1$219.8$174.5$129.3RES $312.6SUP $272.7$275.02026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PSX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
17.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -7.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PSX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PSX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PSX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PSX)

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (PSX vs. VLO, EQNR, MPC, SU)

Industry: Integrated oil Companies (15 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Phillips 66 (PSX) ranks #96 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #13 by equity capitalization ($110.32B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PSX leads on earnings valuation at 24.2x trailing P/E, while MPC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.9% ROIC and 10.0% gross margin. EQNR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with PSX at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PSX ACTIVE
Phillips 66
C- 59/100 24.2x 12.3% 9.2% -2.75% $110.32B Benchmark Subject
VLO
Valero Energy Corporation
B- 71/100 45.7x — 8.2% -4.55% $111.46B /vlo-vs-psx →
EQNR
Equinor ASA
B 73/100 32.8x — 9.9% -6.87% $121.89B /eqnr-vs-psx →
MPC
Marathon Petroleum Corporation
B- 70/100 30.0x 10.0% 16.9% -3.22% $124.89B /mpc-vs-psx →
SU
Suncor Energy Inc.
B 73/100 32.8x — 9.9% -5.04% $92.89B /su-vs-psx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001534701 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Phillips 66 (PSX) reported GAAP revenue of $132.38B (-7.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $143.15B , and -10.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $4.40B, operating cash flow of $4.96B, and free cash flow of -$994.9M (+55.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, PSX closed FY2025 with $73.68B in total assets against $19.55B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.21, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $132.38B $4.40B $4.96B -$994.9M $73.68B $19.55B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $143.15B $2.12B $4.19B -$2.25B $72.58B $19.85B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $147.40B $7.01B $7.03B $396.0M $176.88B $41.39B

3. PSX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PSX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Phillips 66 (NYSE: PSX) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $275.04 (-2.75% 1D, market cap $110.32B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 19/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, PSX ranks #96 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PSX compare to VLO and EQNR in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Integrated oil Companies), PSX carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.2x, gross margin of 12.3%, and ROIC of 9.2%. By comparison, VLO (Valero Energy Corporation) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 45.7x, ROIC 8.2%, cap $111.46B) and EQNR (Equinor ASA) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $121.89B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PSX leads on earnings multiple (24.2x) while MPC leads on capital efficiency (16.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PSX?

Per PSX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001534701), Phillips 66 generated $132.38B in revenue (-7.5% YoY), $4.40B in net income, and -$994.9M in free cash flow against $73.68B in total assets and $19.55B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PSX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PSX last traded at $275.04 (-2.75% on volume of 3,910,544 shares), positioning the stock +2.47% above its 50-day simple moving average ($268.42) and +36.85% above its 200-day simple moving average ($200.98). Across its 52-week range of $127.16 to $299.39, PSX sits at the 85.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.7% ($256.61 to $293.47).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 59/100 (C-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

PSX — Phillips 66: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Phillips 66 (PSX) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 59/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $275.04 (-2.75% 1D, market capitalization $110.32B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 9.2%, gross margin of 12.3%, operating margin of 4.1%, and free cash flow yield of -0.93%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (19/20) + Insider Conviction (8/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.09x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 4.21, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.63x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Phillips 66 (PSX) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, classified under the Integrated oil Companies industry. The company reports revenue in the tens of billions of dollars annually, with FY 2025 revenue of $132.38B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Phillips 66 (PSX) reported $132.38B in annual revenue (up from $143.15B in FY2024, -7.5% YoY) and $4.40B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($147.40B revenue, $7.01B net income) through FY2025, PSX scaled operating cash flow to $4.96B and free cash flow to -$994.9M, backed by $73.68B in total assets against $19.55B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 59/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Free cash flow yield of -0.93% and institutional whale pillar of 19/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 19/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $127.16 – $299.39 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 24.2x trailing P/E and 11.9x EV/EBITDA against 4.1% operating margins and a 1.09x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Integrated oil Companies (Energy), PSX carries a macro regime beta of 1.09 and gross margin of 12.3%.

  • Key Question #1: Can PSX sustain or expand its 4.1% operating margin and 9.2% ROIC against Integrated oil Companies peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $132.38B and free cash flow of -$994.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $19.55B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is PSX's 22.5x forward P/E multiple to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.09x)?

PSX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Phillips 66 (PSX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PSX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PSX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $275.04?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PSX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PSX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $364.85 (+29.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Institutional accumulation and options positioning score 16 / 20 in the RQD rating, and the Forensic Balance Sheet scores 14 / 20 with

The street is overcomplicating Phillips 66 (PSX). Institutional accumulation and options positioning score 16 / 20 in the RQD rating, and the Forensic Balance Sheet scores 14 / 20 with Altman Z 4.21 and Piotroski F 6/9.. With an RQD score of 59/100 (C-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $305.46.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@SiliconVal_Bull Agree on the RQD 59/100 quality, though with 1.09 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $282.83 and keeping dry powder in case we test $263.03.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $234.75 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $282.83

Reported free cash flow is negative (FCF yield -0.93%, FY 2025 FCF -$994.9M) and the Fundamental Cash Engine scores only 9 / 20 against

Careful chasing PSX at $282.83. Reported free cash flow is negative (FCF yield -0.93%, FY 2025 FCF -$994.9M) and the Fundamental Cash Engine scores only 9 / 20 against a P/E TTM of 24.2.. Gross margin is 12.3%, but operating margin is 4.1%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $234.75 on multiple compression.

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