Yahoo Finance report covering PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why PYPL Stock advanced +0.11% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 74/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 22% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is PYPL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, PayPal Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: PYPL) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $57.01 (+0.11% 1D, market cap $47.31B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, PYPL ranks #25 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does PYPL compare to PAYX and WSE in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Commercial Services), PYPL carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 21.6%. By comparison, PAYX (Paychex Inc.) holds a A- grade (81/100 RQD, P/E 22.1x, ROIC 28.6%, cap $38.93B) and WSE (Wise Group plc (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 27.1x, ROIC —, cap $13.52B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PYPL leads on earnings multiple (9.0x) while PAYX leads on capital efficiency (28.6% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PYPL?
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Per PYPL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001633917), PayPal Holdings Inc. generated $33.17B in revenue (+4.3% YoY), $5.23B in net income, and $5.56B in free cash flow against $80.17B in total assets and $9.99B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.6% realized swing band)
Capital intensity & 18.3% operating margin leave 8 pts on the table
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PYPL Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 74/100 (B) score, PYPL faces multiple-compression risk if 9.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($55.18) or 200D SMA ($49.97) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($61.11) toward Bear Floor ($46.75).
Why PYPL Stock advanced +0.11% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL) advanced +0.11% to $57.01, trading at 58% of its 52-week range ($38.46 – $70.35). High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 22% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 58% of its 52-week range ($38.46 – $70.35) with RSI-14 at 56.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.6% around $57.01 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B (Buy) backed by 52% gross margin and $5.6B annual free cash flow.
Trefis report covering PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investor's Business Daily report covering PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Beinsure report covering PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stocktwits report covering PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Paypal (PYPL) has been one of the stocks most watched by Zacks.com users lately. So, it is worth exploring what lies ahead for the stock.
V, MA, PYPL, GPN and WEX face rising technology costs and inflation pressures but remain positioned to benefit from digital payments, cross-border transactions and strategic acquisitions.
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (PYPL Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
PYPL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +4.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PYPL today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PYPL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PYPL)
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (PYPL vs. PAYX, WSE, NVRI, FORR)
Industry: Diversified Commercial Services (32 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL) ranks #25 by composite RQD confidence (74/100, grade B) and #35 by equity capitalization ($47.31B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PYPL leads on earnings valuation at 9.0x trailing P/E, while PAYX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 28.6% ROIC and 73.4% gross margin. PAYX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 81/100 (A-) compared with PYPL at 74/100 (B).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PYPL
ACTIVE
PayPal Holdings Inc. | B | 74/100 | 9.0x | — | 21.6% | +0.11% | $47.31B | Benchmark Subject |
| PAYX Paychex Inc. | A- | 81/100 | 22.1x | 73.4% | 28.6% | +2.51% | $38.93B | /payx-vs-pypl → |
| WSE Wise Group plc (Class A) | D+ | 53/100 | 27.1x | — | — | -3.00% | $13.52B | /wse-vs-pypl → |
| NVRI Enviri Corporation | D- | 40/100 | — | — | — | -2.95% | $535.0M | /nvri-vs-pypl → |
| FORR Forrester Research Inc. | D+ | 53/100 | — | 57.0% | -35.0% | -9.61% | $231.9M | /forr-vs-pypl → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001633917In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL) reported GAAP revenue of $33.17B (+4.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $31.80B , and +11.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $5.23B, operating cash flow of $6.42B, and free cash flow of $5.56B (-17.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, PYPL closed FY2025 with $80.17B in total assets against $9.99B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.90, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $33.17B | $5.23B | $6.42B | $5.56B | $80.17B | $9.99B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $31.80B | $4.15B | $7.45B | $6.77B | $78.72B | $9.88B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $29.77B | $4.25B | $4.84B | $3.50B | $35.73B | $8.36B |
3. PYPL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs PYPL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, PayPal Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: PYPL) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $57.01 (+0.11% 1D, market cap $47.31B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, PYPL ranks #25 in composite RQD confidence.
How does PYPL compare to PAYX and WSE in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Commercial Services), PYPL carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 21.6%. By comparison, PAYX (Paychex Inc.) holds a A- grade (81/100 RQD, P/E 22.1x, ROIC 28.6%, cap $38.93B) and WSE (Wise Group plc (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 27.1x, ROIC —, cap $13.52B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PYPL leads on earnings multiple (9.0x) while PAYX leads on capital efficiency (28.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PYPL?
Per PYPL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001633917), PayPal Holdings Inc. generated $33.17B in revenue (+4.3% YoY), $5.23B in net income, and $5.56B in free cash flow against $80.17B in total assets and $9.99B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is PYPL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
PYPL last traded at $57.01 (+0.11% on volume of 15,364,961 shares), positioning the stock +3.32% above its 50-day simple moving average ($55.18) and +14.09% above its 200-day simple moving average ($49.97). Across its 52-week range of $38.46 to $70.35, PYPL sits at the 58.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.6% ($54.39 to $59.63).
PYPL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is PYPL stock moving today?
Why PYPL Stock advanced +0.11% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 22% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
PYPL — PayPal Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, PYPL scores 74 out of 100, a letter grade of B, with the verdict label "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The five pillars are as follows:
- Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 21.6% and an FCF yield of 11.76%. The strong return on capital and cash yield are the main upside drivers, but the pillar falls short of full marks, suggesting that the cash generation profile is attractive yet not uniformly dominant on the rating's measures.
- Whale 13F Flow (16/20): Per the RQD rating, this pillar captures institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score indicates constructive institutional interest, though the source data provides no holder-level detail to verify it (see Analyst View section).
- Insider Conviction (18/20): The highest pillar, reflecting SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. For a prospective investor, the strong score implies insider-side activity that the rating reads as supportive, though the underlying transactions are not itemized in the source data.
- Macro Regime Fit (14/20): Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects a beta of 0.93 and sector sensitivity. A beta below 1.0 suggests the stock has historically moved somewhat less than the broad market, which may appeal to investors seeking lower market-correlated volatility, though this pillar also flags sector sensitivity as a consideration.
- Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects an Altman Z-Score of 1.9, a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.49. The perfect Piotroski score is a strength; the Altman Z-Score sits in a range that the rating treats as a partial concern, tempering the forensic score.
Investor implications: The valuation multiples (P/E TTM of 9, Forward P/E of 8.4) are low relative to the earnings base shown, which is a potential upside driver if earnings hold; the tradeoff is that low multiples can reflect market skepticism about durability, which the news wire partially captures (see catalysts). The RQD grade indicates a favorable composite, but it is a rules-based score, not a price target or recommendation.
Snapshot
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $33172.0M | $6065.0M | $5233.0M | N/A | $5564.0M | $8049.0M | $9987.0M |
| FY 2024 | $31797.0M | $5325.0M | $4147.0M | N/A | $6767.0M | $6662.0M | $9879.0M |
| FY 2023 | $29771.0M | $5028.0M | $4246.0M | N/A | $3503.3M | N/A | $8359.7M |
Revenue and net income rose from FY 2023 to FY 2025 per the SEC financials, with FY 2025 net income of $5233.0M against revenue of $33172.0M. Per the market data, the operating margin is 18.3%, the net margin is 15.8%, and the gross margin is 0%. ROIC is 21.6%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 1.9 and the Piotroski F-Score is 9/9, with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.49. FCF declined from $6767.0M in FY 2024 to $5564.0M in FY 2025 per the SEC financials.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news section, six items were reported:
- Market Wire (YELLOW): A Yahoo Finance report on a potential all-stock takeover of PayPal and its investor implications.
- Market Wire (YELLOW): A Trefis report questioning whether the stock has become a different investment bet.
- Risk Watch (RED): An Investor's Business Daily report stating that earnings topped Q3 estimates while revenue and merchant volume missed.
- Market Wire (YELLOW): A Motley Fool report on the dividend and share repurchases and five-year outlook.
- Market Wire (YELLOW): A Beinsure report on new Wall Street price targets.
- Risk Watch (RED): A Stocktwits report stating that Mizuho highlighted three key risks after Stripe and Advent reportedly abandoned a takeover bid, with the headline referencing a stock crash.
The two RED risk-watch items concern a revenue and merchant volume miss and reported takeover-bid abandonment. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply chain links and no proprietary signals.
Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain: NONE; butterfly links: none; proprietary signals: none. The source data therefore contains no upstream or downstream dependency mapping, sector correlation data, or 2nd-order bottleneck analysis. Investors should watch the reported takeover-related news flow and the merchant volume miss noted in the news wire, but how these ripple through the sector cannot be determined from the provided data.
Open Questions
- What drove the reported merchant volume and revenue miss, and what is the forward trajectory of those metrics?
- What were the terms and status of the reported takeover interest, and how does its abandonment affect the valuation thesis?
- Why are FY 2025 EPS and FY 2024/FY 2025 cash figures reported as N/A or missing for FY 2023, and how do they reconcile with net income?
- What explains the decline in FCF from FY 2024 to FY 2025, and is the trend expected to continue?
- What specific insider and institutional transactions underlie the Insider Conviction and Whale 13F Flow pillar scores?
PYPL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investor's Business Daily report covering PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Beinsure report covering PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stocktwits report covering PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
PYPL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $57.01?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is PYPL (B • RQD 74/100) a Buy at $56.95?
Welcome to the PYPL (PayPal Holdings Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 74/100 (Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward) in Diversified Commercial Services. Bulls point to capital efficiency (21.6% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on PYPL — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on PYPL, but look at what you are paying: 9.0x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless PayPal Holdings Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
PYPL cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on PYPL, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Diversified Commercial Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $56.95 (52-wk range $38.46 - $70.35), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.