FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-03, FreightCar America Inc. (NASDAQ: RAIL) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $4.12 (-1.20% 1D, market cap $136.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, RAIL ranks #359 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Industrials sector (Railroads), RAIL carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 14.6%, and ROIC of 27.5%. By comparison, FIP (FTAI Infrastructure Inc.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $338.0M) and GBX (Greenbrier Companies Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 24.1%, cap $1.21B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GBX leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while TRN leads on capital efficiency (58.6% ROIC).
Per RAIL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001320854), FreightCar America Inc. generated $500.7M in revenue (-10.2% YoY), $0 in net income, and $31.4M in free cash flow against $290.0M in total assets and $97.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.3% FCF Margin ($31.4M FCF) & 14.6% Gross Margin
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)
Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 16 pts from forensic ceiling
While RAIL currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.25) and Max Pain ($4.33) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $15.65.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) slipped -1.20% to $4.12, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($3.85 – $14.9). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (28% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Yahoo Finance report covering FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
FinancialContent report covering FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
www.marketscreener.com report covering FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com Nigeria report covering FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
AerCap (AER) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +43.55% and +13.92%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
CHICAGO, Oct. 26, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- FreightCar America, Inc. (NASDAQ: RAIL), a diversified manufacturer of railroad freight cars, today announced that it will release its third quarter 2026 financial results on Mo
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -10.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RAIL today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RAIL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) ranks #359 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #364 by equity capitalization ($136.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GBX leads on earnings valuation at 5.9x trailing P/E, while TRN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 58.6% ROIC and — gross margin. TRN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with RAIL at 37/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RAIL
ACTIVE
FreightCar America Inc. | D- | 37/100 | — | 14.6% | 27.5% | -1.20% | $136.7M | Benchmark Subject |
| FIP FTAI Infrastructure Inc. | E | 33/100 | — | — | — | -0.70% | $338.0M | /fip-vs-rail → |
| GBX Greenbrier Companies Inc. | D+ | 58/100 | 5.9x | 18.7% | 24.1% | +8.23% | $1.21B | /gbx-vs-rail → |
| TRN Trinity Industries Inc. | C- | 60/100 | 8.1x | — | 58.6% | +3.53% | $2.30B | /trn-vs-rail → |
| RVSN Rail Vision Ltd. Ordinary Share | E | 31/100 | — | 37.1% | -35.0% | -3.27% | $6.0M | /rvsn-vs-rail → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) reported GAAP revenue of $500.7M (-10.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $557.7M , and +40.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $34.8M, and free cash flow of $31.4M (-21.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, RAIL closed FY2025 with $290.0M in total assets against $97.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.75, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $500.7M | $0 | $34.8M | $31.4M | $290.0M | $97.5M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $557.7M | $0 | $44.9M | $39.9M | $224.2M | $105.5M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $356.8M | $0 | $4.8M | $4.8M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-03, FreightCar America Inc. (NASDAQ: RAIL) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $4.12 (-1.20% 1D, market cap $136.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, RAIL ranks #359 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Industrials sector (Railroads), RAIL carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 14.6%, and ROIC of 27.5%. By comparison, FIP (FTAI Infrastructure Inc.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $338.0M) and GBX (Greenbrier Companies Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 24.1%, cap $1.21B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GBX leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while TRN leads on capital efficiency (58.6% ROIC).
Per RAIL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001320854), FreightCar America Inc. generated $500.7M in revenue (-10.2% YoY), $0 in net income, and $31.4M in free cash flow against $290.0M in total assets and $97.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
RAIL last traded at $4.12 (-1.20% on volume of 217,178 shares), positioning the stock -34.08% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.25) and -51.64% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.52). Across its 52-week range of $3.85 to $14.90, RAIL sits at the 2.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 25.0 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.3% ($3.70 to $4.54).
FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 37/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $4.12 (-1.20% 1D, market capitalization $136.7M).
FreightCar America Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed company classified under the Industrials sector and the Railroads industry. Market capitalization is listed at $0.1B in the profile. Gross margin is reported at 14.6% and operating margin at 6.8% in the market data section.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) reported $500.7M in annual revenue (up from $557.7M in FY2024, -10.2% YoY) and $0 in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($356.8M revenue, $0 net income) through FY2025, RAIL scaled operating cash flow to $34.8M and free cash flow to $31.4M, backed by $290.0M in total assets against $97.5M in total debt.
Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore — Within the news wire, the backlog cancellation and the reported revenue decline point to order-book sensitivity as the most visible ripple, and a prospective investor should monitor whether further order cancellations or customer concentration issues emerge.
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
FinancialContent report covering FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
www.marketscreener.com report covering FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com Nigeria report covering FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Picked up a starter position in RAIL in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $4.17. High ROIC of 27.5% and a 22.91% FCF yield signal strong cash generation relative to a $137.1M market cap.. Trading inside a $3.85–$14.90 52-week range with 22.91% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Railroads multiples expand this quarter.
@CreditSpread_Watch Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $4.17 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Industrials.
Careful chasing RAIL at $4.17. A 1.75 Altman Z-Score, 3/9 Piotroski F-Score, and 8.5 Debt/Equity leave the balance sheet in a vulnerable position amid a backlog cancellation.. Gross margin is 14.6%, but operating margin is 6.8%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $3.50 on multiple compression.
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