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Stock Ratings / Technology / RMBS / forecast
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Rambus Inc. (RMBS) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$84.65 -6.97% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $83.43

Rambus Inc. (RMBS) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →
ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $9.74B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on RMBS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is RMBS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, Rambus Inc. (NASDAQ: RMBS) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $84.65 (-6.97% 1D, market cap $9.74B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, RMBS ranks #202 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does RMBS compare to AMKR and VIAV in the Technology sector?
▼

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), RMBS carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 42.3x, gross margin of 79.6%, and ROIC of 16.4%. By comparison, AMKR (Amkor Technology Inc.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 27.3x, ROIC 8.4%, cap $10.21B) and VIAV (Viavi Solutions Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 9.4%, cap $8.25B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NXT leads on earnings multiple (20.7x) while NXT leads on capital efficiency (29.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RMBS?
▼

Per RMBS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000917273), Rambus Inc. generated $707.6M in revenue (+27.1% YoY), $230.5M in net income, and $333.2M in free cash flow against $1.53B in total assets and $74.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (80% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $83.43 (-1.44%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 47.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510062
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk C
Cash (17)Whales (7)SEC (16)Macro (10)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target
$183 Bull$86 Base$67 Bear
📬 FREE RMBS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RMBS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY RMBS SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 47.1% FCF Margin ($333.2M FCF) & 79.6% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 26.00 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
70
Grade B$98.17-5.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
67
Grade B-$92.42-3.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
65
Grade C+$88.91-4.8% Next Q
Current
62
Grade C$84.65+0.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (70) → C (62)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the RMBS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 62/100 (C) score, RMBS faces multiple-compression risk if 42.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 42x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($93.89) or 200D SMA ($107.88) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($86.17) toward Bear Floor ($67.21).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RMBS• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “RMBS Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 62%NO 38%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your RMBS Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $84.65: 118.1 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $67.21
$7,940
$-2,060 (-20.6%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $86.17
$10,180
+$180 (+1.8%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $182.81
$21,596
+$11,596 (+116.0%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$9074%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$17269%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$7758%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (RMBS Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
RMBS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -24.08%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $91.03H $91.03L $84.65C $84.65VOL 1.63M
RES: $120.1SUP: $76.94SMA50: $93.89SMA200: $107.9
$180.7$153.4$126.1$98.82$71.53RES $120.1SUP $76.94$84.652026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RMBS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 RMBS Butterfly Map → + Track RMBS →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
31.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RMBS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RMBS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RMBS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RMBS)

Technology Rank #202 of 714 ⚔️ AMKR vs RMBS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (RMBS vs. AMKR, VIAV, NXT, SIMO)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Rambus Inc. (RMBS) ranks #202 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #152 by equity capitalization ($9.74B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NXT leads on earnings valuation at 20.7x trailing P/E, while NXT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.1% ROIC and 32.6% gross margin. NXT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with RMBS at 62/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RMBS ACTIVE
Rambus Inc.
C 62/100 42.3x 79.6% 16.4% -6.97% $9.74B Benchmark Subject
AMKR
Amkor Technology Inc.
D 49/100 27.3x 14.0% 8.4% -4.15% $10.21B /amkr-vs-rmbs →
VIAV
Viavi Solutions Inc.
D 48/100 — 57.7% 9.4% -10.20% $8.25B /viav-vs-rmbs →
NXT
Nextpower Inc.
C+ 67/100 20.7x 32.6% 29.1% -0.63% $12.11B /nxt-vs-rmbs →
SIMO
Silicon Motion Technology Corporation
D+ 56/100 63.0x 48.3% 9.3% -8.39% $7.72B /simo-vs-rmbs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000917273

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Rambus Inc. (RMBS) reported GAAP revenue of $707.6M (+27.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $556.6M ) , GAAP net income of $230.5M, operating cash flow of $360.0M, and free cash flow of $333.2M (+66.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, RMBS closed FY2025 with $1.53B in total assets against $74.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 26.00, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $707.6M $230.5M $360.0M $333.2M $1.53B $74.3M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $556.6M $179.8M $230.6M $199.9M $1.34B $100.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $333.9M $195.8M $195.8M $5.36B $1.25B

3. RMBS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RMBS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Rambus Inc. (NASDAQ: RMBS) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $84.65 (-6.97% 1D, market cap $9.74B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, RMBS ranks #202 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RMBS compare to AMKR and VIAV in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), RMBS carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 42.3x, gross margin of 79.6%, and ROIC of 16.4%. By comparison, AMKR (Amkor Technology Inc.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 27.3x, ROIC 8.4%, cap $10.21B) and VIAV (Viavi Solutions Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 9.4%, cap $8.25B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NXT leads on earnings multiple (20.7x) while NXT leads on capital efficiency (29.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RMBS?

Per RMBS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000917273), Rambus Inc. generated $707.6M in revenue (+27.1% YoY), $230.5M in net income, and $333.2M in free cash flow against $1.53B in total assets and $74.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (80% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RMBS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RMBS last traded at $84.65 (-6.97% on volume of 2,530,897 shares), positioning the stock -9.84% below its 50-day simple moving average ($93.89) and -21.53% below its 200-day simple moving average ($107.88). Across its 52-week range of $77.89 to $174.10, RMBS sits at the 7.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.8% ($75.51 to $93.79).

RMBS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is RMBS's 12-month stock price target?

Rambus Inc. (RMBS) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $86.17 (+1.8% from $84.65), with a bull-case target of $182.81 and a bear-case floor of $67.21.

Is RMBS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates RMBS C (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 62/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: RMBS RQD Cockpit RMBS 12M Forecast RMBS Earnings & Move RMBS Dividends & DRIP RMBS Insiders & 13F RMBS Whale Options RMBS Profit Sankey RMBS News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 62/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

RMBS — Rambus Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:16:47Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, RMBS scores 62 out of 100, grade C, labeled "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 17 / 20. The strongest pillar, citing ROIC of 16.4% and FCF yield of 3.42%. For a prospective investor, this indicates the business generates solid returns on invested capital, though the 3.42% FCF yield implies the market is pricing in substantial future growth relative to current free cash flow.
  • Whale / 13F Flow: 7 / 20. Weak. The pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning, and its low score suggests limited evidence of strong institutional conviction in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 12 / 20. Moderate. Per the rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow is mixed rather than decisively bullish or bearish.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 10 / 20. Below midpoint. A beta of 1.22 means the stock has historically amplified broader market moves, which raises sensitivity to a risk-off environment.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 16 / 20. Strong. Per the rating, Altman Z is 26, Piotroski F is 8/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.05, indicating low balance-sheet risk.

Investor implications: the upside case rests on the cash-generation and balance-sheet strength, while valuation (P/E of 42.3 TTM, EV/EBITDA of 34) and high beta are the main tradeoffs. The shares trade near the lower-middle of a 52-week range of $77.89 to $174.1, a context in which the rating's "balanced" verdict reflects offsetting strengths and weaknesses rather than a clear directional signal. This is educational analysis, not personalized advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
90.99$9.74B42.339.3342.150%1.22$77.89 - $174.116.4%

Business

Rambus Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, Semiconductors industry. Per the profile, it has a market capitalization of $9.7B. Per the market data, its gross margin is 79.6%, operating margin 36.8%, and net margin 32.6%. Not available in source data: a detailed description of products, customers, or revenue model.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$707.6M$260.2M$230.5MN/A$333.2M$182.8M$74.3M
FY 2024$556.6M$183.0M$179.8MN/A$199.9M$99.8M$100.1M
FY 2023$0.0M$153.6M$333.9MN/A$195.8MN/A$1254.1M

Per the SEC financials, FY 2025 revenue of $707.6M grew from $556.6M in FY 2024, with operating income rising from $183.0M to $260.2M. Net income in FY 2023 ($333.9M) exceeds operating income ($153.6M) and the source does not explain the difference. Debt fell from $1254.1M in FY 2023 to $74.3M in FY 2025. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 16.4%, Altman Z is 26, and Piotroski F is 8/9. Not available in source data: EPS for any reported period.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Not available in source data: upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector correlations for RMBS.

Open Questions

  • What drove the drop in reported debt from $1254.1M (FY 2023) to $74.3M (FY 2025), and what drove the FY 2023 revenue figure of $0.0M?
  • Why is FY 2023 net income ($333.9M) above operating income ($153.6M)?
  • What is the EPS for each reported fiscal year, given that the financials show N/A?
  • Which customers and products generate the FY 2025 revenue, and how exposed is the company to AI memory demand the news wire references?
  • What analyst price targets and institutional holdings exist, given that those sections are empty?

RMBS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Rambus Inc. (RMBS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to RMBS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

RMBS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $84.65?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON RMBS 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on RMBS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $98.27 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is RMBS (C • RQD 62/100) a Buy at $90.99?

Welcome to the RMBS (Rambus Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 62/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Semiconductors. Bulls point to capital efficiency (16.4% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (42.3x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $70.06 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $90.99

Pump the brakes on RMBS — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on RMBS, but look at what you are paying: 42.3x trailing P/E with 79.6% gross margins. Unless Rambus Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $105.55 (+16.0%)
Spot @ $90.99

RMBS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on RMBS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Semiconductors and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $90.99 (52-wk range $77.89 - $174.10), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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