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Rollins Inc. (ROL) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.4% Move

$36.03 +3.95% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $36.37

Rollins Inc. (ROL) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 29% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $16.57B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ROL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Rollins Inc. (NYSE: ROL) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $36.03 (+3.95% 1D, market cap $16.57B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ROL ranks #104 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ROL compare to ALLE and APG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), ROL carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 31.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 28.5%. By comparison, ALLE (Allegion plc) holds a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 24.5x, ROIC 18.4%, cap $15.72B) and APG (APi Group Corporation) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 64.4x, ROIC 8.3%, cap $18.86B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AER leads on earnings multiple (6.6x) while ROL leads on capital efficiency (28.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ROL?
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Per ROL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000084839), Rollins Inc. generated $3.76B in revenue (+11.0% YoY), $526.7M in net income, and $650.0M in free cash flow against $3.14B in total assets and $794.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $36.37 (+0.95%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) • 17.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510072
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B-
Cash (18)Whales (10)SEC (18)Macro (10)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target
$69 Bull$38 Base$30 Bear
📬 FREE ROL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ROL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ROL SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 17.3% FCF Margin ($650.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 7.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (57.9) create a -10 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
64
Grade C+$32.63+2.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
67
Grade B-$33.45+0.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
69
Grade B-$33.50+7.6% Next Q
Current
72
Grade B$36.03+7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (64) → B (72)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ROL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, ROL faces multiple-compression risk if 31.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($33.40) or 200D SMA ($46.49) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($38.30) toward Bear Floor ($29.54).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ROL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ROL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.4% Swing Band

±$2.31 Expected Swing
$33.72 (-6.4%)Spot $36.03$38.34 (+6.4%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ROL Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 72/100

Trailing EPS: $1.10 • YoY Revenue Growth: 11%

Model Bullish Setup (72/100)Model Risk Weight (28/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$3.76B$526.7M$650.0M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$3.39B$466.4M$580.1M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$3.07B$435.0M$390.1M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating ROL & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on ROL
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
ROL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -33.46%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $34.69H $36.03L $34.66C $36.03VOL 5.39M
RES: $35.17SUP: $26.14SMA50: $33.40SMA200: $46.49
$60.13$51.77$43.41$35.05$26.70RES $35.17SUP $26.14$36.032026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ROL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
24.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ROL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ROL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ROL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ROL)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #104 of 1009 ⚔️ ALLE vs ROL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ROL vs. ALLE, APG, AER, SUNB)

Industry: Diversified Commercial Services (32 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Rollins Inc. (ROL) ranks #104 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #113 by equity capitalization ($16.57B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AER leads on earnings valuation at 6.6x trailing P/E, while ROL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 28.5% ROIC and — gross margin. ALLE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 79/100 (B+) compared with ROL at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ROL ACTIVE
Rollins Inc.
B 72/100 31.5x — 28.5% +3.95% $16.57B Benchmark Subject
ALLE
Allegion plc
B+ 79/100 24.5x 45.2% 18.4% +2.84% $15.72B /alle-vs-rol →
APG
APi Group Corporation
C 64/100 64.4x 31.4% 8.3% +2.17% $18.86B /apg-vs-rol →
AER
AerCap Holdings N.V.
C+ 69/100 6.6x — 9.2% +3.04% $24.48B /aer-vs-rol →
SUNB
Sunbelt Rentals Holdings Inc.
B+ 76/100 — 96.0% 11.7% +0.18% $34.27B /sunb-vs-rol →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000084839 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Rollins Inc. (ROL) reported GAAP revenue of $3.76B (+11.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.39B , and +22.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $526.7M, operating cash flow of $678.1M, and free cash flow of $650.0M (+12.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, ROL closed FY2025 with $3.14B in total assets against $794.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 7.80, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.76B $526.7M $678.1M $650.0M $3.14B $794.8M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.39B $466.4M $607.7M $580.1M $2.82B $670.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.07B $435.0M $528.4M $390.1M $9.12B $2.13B

3. ROL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ROL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Rollins Inc. (NYSE: ROL) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $36.03 (+3.95% 1D, market cap $16.57B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ROL ranks #104 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ROL compare to ALLE and APG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), ROL carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 31.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 28.5%. By comparison, ALLE (Allegion plc) holds a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 24.5x, ROIC 18.4%, cap $15.72B) and APG (APi Group Corporation) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 64.4x, ROIC 8.3%, cap $18.86B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AER leads on earnings multiple (6.6x) while ROL leads on capital efficiency (28.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ROL?

Per ROL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000084839), Rollins Inc. generated $3.76B in revenue (+11.0% YoY), $526.7M in net income, and $650.0M in free cash flow against $3.14B in total assets and $794.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ROL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ROL last traded at $36.03 (+3.95% on volume of 4,666,491 shares), positioning the stock +7.87% above its 50-day simple moving average ($33.40) and -22.50% below its 200-day simple moving average ($46.49). Across its 52-week range of $29.29 to $66.14, ROL sits at the 18.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.4% ($33.72 to $38.34).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 72/100 (B) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ROL — Rollins Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Rollins Inc. (ROL) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 72/100, corresponding to a B letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $36.03 (+3.95% 1D, market capitalization $16.57B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (18/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 28.5%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 19.3%, and free cash flow yield of 3.92%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (10/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20): Incorporates a 1.13x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 7.80, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.54x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Rollins Inc. (ROL) is a NYSE-listed company classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Diversified Commercial Services industry,. Market capitalization is $16.6B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Rollins Inc. (ROL) reported $3.76B in annual revenue (up from $3.39B in FY2024, +11.0% YoY) and $526.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($3.07B revenue, $435.0M net income) through FY2025, ROL scaled operating cash flow to $678.1M and free cash flow to $650.0M, backed by $3.14B in total assets against $794.8M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B • RQD 72/100): Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 18/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $29.29 – $66.14 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 31.5x trailing P/E and 23.0x EV/EBITDA against 19.3% operating margins and a 1.13x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The only sector information is the Consumer Discretionary / Diversified Commercial Services classification. — for the rest of this section.

  • Key Question #1: Can ROL sustain or expand its 19.3% operating margin and 28.5% ROIC against Diversified Commercial Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $3.76B and free cash flow of $650.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $794.8M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ROL's 29.3x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.13x)?

ROL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Rollins Inc. (ROL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ROL Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ROL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $36.03?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ROL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ROL:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $43.32 (+25.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Strong capital efficiency and balance-sheet quality, with ROIC of 28.5%, Altman Z of 7.8, and Piotroski F of 8/9, support the Roarable

Don't sleep on ROL's setup in Consumer Discretionary. Strong capital efficiency and balance-sheet quality, with ROIC of 28.5%, Altman Z of 7.8, and Piotroski F of 8/9, support the Roarable Buy rating.. Beta of 1.13 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (72/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@SkepticalCFA Shorting a 10/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $34.66 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $26.34 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $34.66

Trailing P/E of 31.5 and EV/EBITDA of 23 are elevated while the news wire reports missed Q3 sales and margin pressure.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on ROL: Trailing P/E of 31.5 and EV/EBITDA of 23 are elevated while the news wire reports missed Q3 sales and margin pressure.. At 31.5x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Diversified Commercial Services triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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