ROARABLE
Today ⌘ Pro Terminal Big Ideas 🎲 Predictions Screener 🦋 Butterfly 8 Analysts 🏛️ Policy 🎬 Video ★ Watchlist 🎲 Prediction Markets 📊 RQD Track Record 📅 Next Catalysts 🛡️ Overlap & Crash X-Ray 📰 Live Wire 🐋 13F Whales 🏛️ Congress & CEO Buys 🏆 $100K Arena ⌘ Pro Terminal 📐 Methodology & Corrections
Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ALLE
ROL (72) APG (65) AER (69) ADT (69) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Allegion plc (ALLE) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$186.44 -0.33% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $186.78

Allegion plc (ALLE) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 79/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (45% profit margin, 18% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 79/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 9% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 71.0% hit rate) →
ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $15.77B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ALLE Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ALLE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, Allegion plc (NYSE: ALLE) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 79/100 at a spot price of $186.44 (-0.33% 1D, market cap $15.77B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ALLE ranks #27 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ALLE compare to ROL and APG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), ALLE carries a Roarable B+ (79/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.5x, gross margin of 45.2%, and ROIC of 18.4%. By comparison, ROL (Rollins Inc.) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 31.5x, ROIC 28.5%, cap $16.58B) and APG (APi Group Corporation) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 64.4x, ROIC 8.3%, cap $19.46B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AER leads on earnings multiple (6.6x) while ROL leads on capital efficiency (28.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALLE?
▼

Per ALLE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001579241), Allegion plc generated $4.07B in revenue (+7.8% YoY), $643.8M in net income, and $600.8M in free cash flow against $5.22B in total assets and $1.98B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (45% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $186.78 (+0.18%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 14.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 79/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 9% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 71.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+
025507510079
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A- · Rk B
Cash (16)Whales (18)SEC (18)Macro (11)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+9.5% Base Target
$241 Bull$204 Base$153 Bear
📬 FREE ALLE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ALLE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (79/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ALLE SCORES 79/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+18/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.7% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.07 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (81.9) create a -9 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
71
Grade B$153.17+2.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
74
Grade B+$157.03+15% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
76
Grade B+$180.55+3.3% Next Q
Current
79
Grade B+$186.44+8.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (71) → B+ (79)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ALLE Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 79/100 (B+) score, ALLE faces multiple-compression risk if 24.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 42.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($159.45) or 200D SMA ($150.73) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($204.06) toward Bear Floor ($152.88).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ALLE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ALLE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 79%NO 21%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERBOUGHT (>70)
81.930 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
5.07>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
9 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE95% OF RANGE
L: $125$186.44H: $190
1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (45% profit margin and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: B+RQD 16 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: A-RQD 34 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: BRQD 29 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on ALLE

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (80)

18.4% ROIC with 45.2% gross margin and 3.81% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (90)

Altman-Z 5.07 and Piotroski 9/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BULLISH (75)

34/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 11/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like ALLE
  • ✓Strong cash generator (45% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
  • ✓Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ALLE Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
ALLE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +40.72%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $180.7H $187.1L $180.7C $186.4VOL 1.49M
RES: $190.2SUP: $145.4SMA50: $159.5SMA200: $150.7
$194.1$175.4$156.6$137.9$119.2RES $190.2SUP $145.4$186.42026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ALLE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ALLE Butterfly Map → + Track ALLE →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
18.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALLE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALLE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ALLE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALLE)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #27 of 1011 ⚔️ ROL vs ALLE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ALLE vs. ROL, APG, AER, ADT)

Industry: Diversified Commercial Services (32 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Allegion plc (ALLE) ranks #27 by composite RQD confidence (79/100, grade B+) and #123 by equity capitalization ($15.77B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AER leads on earnings valuation at 6.6x trailing P/E, while ROL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 28.5% ROIC and — gross margin. ALLE currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 79/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ALLE ACTIVE
Allegion plc
B+ 79/100 24.5x 45.2% 18.4% -0.33% $15.77B Benchmark Subject
ROL
Rollins Inc.
B 72/100 31.5x — 28.5% -0.09% $16.58B /rol-vs-alle →
APG
APi Group Corporation
C 65/100 64.4x 31.4% 8.3% -1.51% $19.46B /apg-vs-alle →
AER
AerCap Holdings N.V.
C+ 69/100 6.6x — 9.2% -0.74% $24.66B /aer-vs-alle →
ADT
ADT Inc.
C+ 69/100 12.1x — 9.3% -0.10% $7.21B /adt-vs-alle →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001579241

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Allegion plc (ALLE) reported GAAP revenue of $4.07B (+7.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.77B , and +11.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $643.8M, operating cash flow of $783.8M, and free cash flow of $600.8M (+3.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, ALLE closed FY2025 with $5.22B in total assets against $1.98B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.07, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $4.07B $643.8M $783.8M $600.8M $5.22B $1.98B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.77B $597.5M $675.0M $582.9M $4.49B $1.98B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.65B $540.6M $600.6M $436.3M $8.68B $2.03B

3. ALLE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ALLE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Allegion plc (NYSE: ALLE) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 79/100 at a spot price of $186.44 (-0.33% 1D, market cap $15.77B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ALLE ranks #27 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ALLE compare to ROL and APG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), ALLE carries a Roarable B+ (79/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.5x, gross margin of 45.2%, and ROIC of 18.4%. By comparison, ROL (Rollins Inc.) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 31.5x, ROIC 28.5%, cap $16.58B) and APG (APi Group Corporation) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 64.4x, ROIC 8.3%, cap $19.46B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AER leads on earnings multiple (6.6x) while ROL leads on capital efficiency (28.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALLE?

Per ALLE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001579241), Allegion plc generated $4.07B in revenue (+7.8% YoY), $643.8M in net income, and $600.8M in free cash flow against $5.22B in total assets and $1.98B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (45% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ALLE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ALLE last traded at $186.44 (-0.33% on volume of 1,245,025 shares), positioning the stock +16.93% above its 50-day simple moving average ($159.45) and +23.69% above its 200-day simple moving average ($150.73). Across its 52-week range of $125.00 to $189.59, ALLE sits at the 95.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 81.9 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.7% ($175.81 to $197.07).

ALLE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell ALLE stock right now?

Allegion plc (ALLE) currently earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy — BUY) with 79/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (45% profit margin, 18% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

What is ALLE's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

ALLE's 12-month base price target is $204.06 (range $152.88 to $240.79), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: ALLE RQD Cockpit ALLE 12M Forecast ALLE Earnings & Move ALLE Dividends & DRIP ALLE Insiders & 13F ALLE Whale Options ALLE Profit Sankey ALLE News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 79/100 (B+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ALLE — Allegion plc: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:14:28Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Roarable RQD rating is 79 out of 100, a letter grade of B+, labeled "Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow" (per the Roarable RQD rating). The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental cash engine: 16 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 18.4% and an FCF yield of 3.81%. For an investor, this suggests the business generates returns above typical cost-of-capital thresholds, though the 3.81% FCF yield means the stock is not cheap on a cash-flow basis at the current price.
  • Whale 13F flow: 18 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar is labeled as institutional accumulation and options positioning. This is the strongest pillar and points to sustained institutional interest; the underlying 13F records themselves are not provided in source data.
  • Insider conviction: 16 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Insider and congressional trade-level detail is not available in source data.
  • Macro regime fit: 11 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 0.9 with a noted sector sensitivity. This is the weakest pillar: a beta below 1 implies somewhat lower market sensitivity, but the score signals that the stock's fit with the prevailing macro regime is only moderate.
  • Forensic balance sheet: 18 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 5.07, the Piotroski F-Score is 9/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.96. These figures point to a financially sound balance sheet with strong scoring on quality tests.

Translated into investor implications: the composite rating points to strong quality and institutional support, with the main tradeoffs being valuation (P/E of 24.5 TTM and EV/EBITDA of 17.1, per the market data) and a macro-fit score that lags the other pillars. Upside drivers in the data are the cash-generation and balance-sheet pillars; the valuation multiples and the more moderate macro-fit score are the points a prospective investor should weigh against them. This is an analytical summary of the source data, not personalized advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
187.06$15.77B24.522.817.17.641.11%0.9$125 - $189.5918.4%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$4067.3M$859.5M$643.8MN/A$600.8M$356.2M$1979.9M
FY 2024$3772.2M$780.7M$597.5MN/A$582.9M$503.8M$1977.6M
FY 2023$3650.8M$708.4M$540.6MN/A$436.3MN/A$2030.0M

Per the SEC financials, revenue, operating income, net income, and free cash flow rose across the three reported fiscal years, and debt was broadly stable, moving from $2030.0M to $1979.9M. Per the market data, gross margin is 45.2%, operating margin 21.1%, and net margin 15.8%, with ROIC at 18.4%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 5.07 and the Piotroski F-Score is 9/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.96. Cash balances fell from $503.8M to $356.2M over the period shown.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, six headlines reference ALLE: a Yahoo Finance piece asking whether the stock is outpacing industrial products peers (flagged YELLOW, market wire); a MarketWatch report that the stock underperformed competitors on a Thursday despite daily gains (GREEN, catalyst); a Yahoo Finance item on why the stock rose that day (YELLOW, market wire); a Yahoo Finance piece describing the stock as trading near fair value on a door deal (YELLOW, market wire); a Yahoo Finance piece suggesting the stock could be 18% overvalued after a raised outlook (GREEN, catalyst); and a Yahoo Finance piece on a lifted full-year guidance and whether the stock is already pricey (YELLOW, market wire). The headlines point to a raised full-year outlook and a valuation debate as the central catalysts. Specific guidance figures and the details of the door deal are not available in source data. Per the Butterfly supply-chain graph, no supply-chain links or proprietary signals are recorded (sector: Consumer Discretionary; industry: Diversified Commercial Services; supply chain: NONE).

Open Questions

  • What are the specific raised full-year guidance figures referenced in the news headlines, and how do they compare with prior guidance?
  • What products and end markets generate ALLE's revenue, and how is revenue split across them?
  • What are the individual SEC Form 4, 13F, and Congressional trade records underlying the 16/20 insider and 18/20 whale pillar scores?
  • What is the consensus analyst rating and price target range, given the analyst data is absent?
  • What drove the cash balance decline from $503.8M to $356.2M while FCF remained positive?

ALLE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Allegion plc (ALLE) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ALLE Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ALLE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $186.44?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ALLE 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ALLE:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $220.73 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ALLE (B+ • RQD 79/100) a Buy at $187.06?

Welcome to the ALLE (Allegion plc) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 79/100 (Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow) in Diversified Commercial Services. Bulls point to capital efficiency (18.4% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $145.91 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $187.06

Pump the brakes on ALLE — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ALLE, but look at what you are paying: 24.5x trailing P/E with 45.2% gross margins. Unless Allegion plc expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $215.12 (+15.0%)
Spot @ $187.06

ALLE cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ALLE, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Diversified Commercial Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $187.06 (52-wk range $125.00 - $189.59), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%