Red River Bancshares Inc. (RRBI) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$103.31 +1.19% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $103.78

Red River Bancshares Inc. (RRBI) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 12% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- β€’ BUY Cap $680.2M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on RRBI Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is RRBI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Red River Bancshares Inc. (NASDAQ: RRBI) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $103.31 (+1.19% 1D, market cap $680.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, RRBI ranks #112 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does RRBI compare to CBNK and BHB in the Financials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), RRBI carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.7x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 11.7%. By comparison, CBNK (Capital Bancorp Inc.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 12.0x, ROIC 14.2%, cap $679.6M) and BHB (Bar Harbor Bankshares Inc.) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 18.6x, ROIC 6.9%, cap $678.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BCAL leads on earnings multiple (10.9x) while CBNK leads on capital efficiency (14.2% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RRBI?
β–Ό

Per RRBI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001071236), Red River Bancshares Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $42.8M in net income, and $42.2M in free cash flow against $3.35B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $103.77 (+0.45%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) β€’ 1.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 68.1% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY β€’ B-
025507510070
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B Β· Rk C
Cash (14)Whales (14)SEC (13)Macro (13)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target
$128 Bull$109 Base$85 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE RRBI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RRBI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±4.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY RRBI SCORES 70/100 (B-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.1% FCF Margin ($42.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (55.9) create a -7 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
62
Grade C+$100.23+1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
65
Grade C+$101.25+1.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
67
Grade B-$102.44+0.8% Next Q
Current
70
Grade B-$103.31+6.6% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C+ (62) β†’ B- (70)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the RRBI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, RRBI faces multiple-compression risk if 15.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($101.66) or 200D SMA ($94.47) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($108.89) toward Bear Floor ($84.71).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RRBIβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œRRBI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

RRBI Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (RRBI)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on RRBI. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (RRBI Tape Review)

  • βœ“Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • βœ“Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • βœ“Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
RRBI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +16.71%β–² ASCENDING TRIANGLE
2026-11-03O $102.1H $103.3L $102.1C $103.3VOL 80.9K
RES: $105.0SUP: $99.34SMA50: $101.7SMA200: $94.47
$107.0$98.36$89.67$80.97$72.28RES $105.0SUP $99.34$103.32026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RRBI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RRBI today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RRBI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RRBI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RRBI)

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (RRBI vs. CBNK, BHB, MSBI, BCAL)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Red River Bancshares Inc. (RRBI) ranks #112 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #629 by equity capitalization ($680.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BCAL leads on earnings valuation at 10.9x trailing P/E, while CBNK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.2% ROIC and β€” gross margin. CBNK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with RRBI at 70/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RRBI ACTIVE
Red River Bancshares Inc.
B- 70/100 15.7x β€” 11.7% +1.19% $680.2M Benchmark Subject
CBNK
Capital Bancorp Inc.
B 74/100 12.0x β€” 14.2% -0.60% $679.6M /cbnk-vs-rrbi β†’
BHB
Bar Harbor Bankshares Inc.
C 65/100 18.6x β€” 6.9% -1.17% $678.0M /bhb-vs-rrbi β†’
MSBI
Midland States Bancorp Inc.
D+ 54/100 β€” β€” -22.0% -3.01% $682.5M /msbi-vs-rrbi β†’
BCAL
California BanCorp
C 62/100 10.9x β€” 10.9% +0.19% $690.6M /bcal-vs-rrbi β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001071236

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Red River Bancshares Inc. (RRBI) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $42.8M, operating cash flow of $44.8M, and free cash flow of $42.2M (+26.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, RRBI closed FY2025 with $3.35B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $42.8M $44.8M $42.2M $3.35B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $34.2M $38.3M $33.4M $3.15B β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $34.9M $40.1M $40.1M β€” β€”

3. RRBI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RRBI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Red River Bancshares Inc. (NASDAQ: RRBI) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $103.31 (+1.19% 1D, market cap $680.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, RRBI ranks #112 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RRBI compare to CBNK and BHB in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), RRBI carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.7x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 11.7%. By comparison, CBNK (Capital Bancorp Inc.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 12.0x, ROIC 14.2%, cap $679.6M) and BHB (Bar Harbor Bankshares Inc.) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 18.6x, ROIC 6.9%, cap $678.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BCAL leads on earnings multiple (10.9x) while CBNK leads on capital efficiency (14.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RRBI?

Per RRBI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001071236), Red River Bancshares Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $42.8M in net income, and $42.2M in free cash flow against $3.35B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RRBI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RRBI last traded at $103.31 (+1.19% on volume of 80,854 shares), positioning the stock +1.62% above its 50-day simple moving average ($101.66) and +9.36% above its 200-day simple moving average ($94.47). Across its 52-week range of $64.52 to $104.95, RRBI sits at the 95.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±4.3% ($98.87 to $107.75).

RRBI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are RRBI insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies RRBI leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 70/100 (B-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

RRBI β€” Red River Bancshares Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:33:56Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, RRBI scores 68 out of 100, earning a C+ grade and the verdict "Roarable Hold β€” Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 (ROIC 11.7%; FCF yield 6.28%), Whale 13F Flow at 12/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 16/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 13/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 5/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the profile reads as a moderate-quality, mid-range name rather than a clear high-conviction opportunity. The strongest pillar is insider conviction, which per the RQD rating is the highest-scoring factor and suggests insider-side activity is supportive. The weakest pillars are institutional flow at 12/20 and the combined macro and balance-sheet readings at 13/20 each, indicating limited institutional momentum and only average sensitivity and forensic strength. The cash-generation pillar at 14/20 is moderate; the stated FCF yield of 6.28% offers some valuation cushion, while the trailing P/E of 15.7 and forward P/E of 14.6 imply the market is not pricing aggressive growth. The verdict's "Watch for Breakout" framing implies the rating's upside case depends on a catalyst or flow change rather than current fundamentals alone. Beta of 1.0 means the stock is expected to track broader market moves one-for-one, so it offers no defensive cushion from the rating's perspective.

Business

Red River Bancshares Inc. (RRBI) is a NASDAQ-listed company classified in the Financials sector and the Major Banks industry, per the profile. The source data does not describe its products, customer base, or revenue model. Per the profile, its market capitalization is $0.7B.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$0.0M$42.8MN/A$42.2M$213.4MN/A
FY 2024$0.0M$0.0M$34.2MN/A$33.4M$269.0MN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$0.0M$34.9MN/A$40.1MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, reported net income rose from $34.2M in FY 2024 to $42.8M in FY 2025, while FCF rose from $33.4M to $42.2M. Revenue and operating income are reported as $0.0M in every period, so margin figures cannot be derived from the filings. Per the market data, gross, operating, and net margins are each listed as 0%, which should be treated as a data limitation rather than an economic finding. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 5 of 9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Cash declined from $269.0M in FY 2024 to $213.4M in FY 2025 per the SEC financials.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Q3 earnings coverage (multiple outlets): Headlines from Yahoo Finance and TradingView (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE) describe Q3 earnings and revenues as topping estimates and present key-metric comparisons versus estimates.
  • Earnings beat (Investing.com, GREEN, CATALYST): Headline reports an earnings beat of $0.07 with revenue topping estimates.
  • Record quarterly profit (Stock Titan, GREEN, CATALYST): Headline reports a record quarterly profit of $12.6 million.
  • Risk-zone commentary (Stock Traders Daily, RED, RISK WATCH): Headline references risk zones for RRBI, flagged as a risk watch item.
  • Supply-chain / proprietary signals: Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain relationships or proprietary signals are recorded.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply_chain is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies cannot be mapped from the source data. Sector context per the profile is Financials / Major Banks. Sector correlations are not quantified in the source data. The 2nd-order ripples a prospective investor should monitor are therefore not identifiable from the provided material; the beta of 1.0 per the market data is the only available indication of market co-movement.

Open Questions

  • What are the reported revenue and operating income figures, given that the source lists $0.0M for every period?
  • What explains the reported 0% gross, operating, and net margins, and do they reflect a data gap?
  • What is the EPS for each fiscal period, and how does it reconcile with the net income trend?
  • What is the company's debt balance, and how does it reconcile with the Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5?
  • What is the consensus analyst rating and price target, and which insider or institutional trades underpin the RQD pillar scores?

RRBI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Red River Bancshares Inc. (RRBI) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to RRBI Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

RRBI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $103.31?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON RRBI 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on RRBI:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $110.27 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is RRBI (C+ β€’ RQD 68/100) a Buy at $102.10?

Welcome to the RRBI (Red River Bancshares Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 68/100 (Roarable Hold β€” Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Major Banks. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $80.66 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $102.10

Pump the brakes on RRBI β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on RRBI, but look at what you are paying: 15.7x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Red River Bancshares Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $121.50 (+19.0%)
Spot @ $102.10

RRBI cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on RRBI, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Major Banks and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $102.10 (52-wk range $64.52 - $104.95), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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