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Sanmina Corporation (SANM) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$159.18 -3.86% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $157.77

Sanmina Corporation (SANM) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $8.87B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SANM Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SANM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Sanmina Corporation (NASDAQ: SANM) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $159.18 (-3.86% 1D, market cap $8.87B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 14/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, SANM ranks #327 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SANM compare to TTMI and PLXS in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Electrical Products), SANM carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 37.7x, gross margin of 8.8%, and ROIC of 4.9%. By comparison, TTMI (TTM Technologies Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 52.0x, ROIC 9.6%, cap $8.74B) and PLXS (Plexus Corp.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 33.3x, ROIC 8.2%, cap $5.54B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MRCY leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while MRCY leads on capital efficiency (14.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SANM?
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Per SANM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-27, CIK 0000897723), Sanmina Corporation generated $8.13B in revenue (+7.4% YoY), $245.9M in net income, and $473.3M in free cash flow against $9.80B in total assets and $2.00B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $157.78 (-0.88%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 5.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510051
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D
Cash (13)Whales (6)SEC (11)Macro (7)CEO (14)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.1% Base Target
$303 Bull$154 Base$120 Bear
📬 FREE SANM RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SANM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SANM SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.8% FCF Margin ($473.3M FCF) & 8.8% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
59
Grade C$194.32-11.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
56
Grade C$172.07+2.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
54
Grade C-$175.78-9.4% Next Q
Current
51
Grade D$159.18-1.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (59) → D (51)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SANM Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SANM currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($196.89) and Max Pain ($167.14) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $303.11.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SANM• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SANM Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 51%NO 49%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your SANM Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $159.18: 62.8 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $120.25
$7,554
$-2,446 (-24.5%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $154.17
$9,685
$-315 (-3.1%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $303.11
$19,042
+$9,042 (+90.4%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$16074%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$28569%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$13758%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SANM)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SANM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SANM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -26.49%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $173.1H $173.1L $159.2C $159.2VOL 1.42M
RES: $238.0SUP: $145.4SMA50: $196.9SMA200: $191.8
$299.0$256.3$213.6$170.9$128.2RES $238.0SUP $145.4$159.22026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SANM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SANM Butterfly Map → + Track SANM →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
28.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SANM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SANM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SANM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SANM)

Technology Rank #327 of 715 ⚔️ TTMI vs SANM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (SANM vs. TTMI, PLXS, MRCY, VSH)

Industry: Electrical Products (34 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sanmina Corporation (SANM) ranks #327 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #160 by equity capitalization ($8.87B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MRCY leads on earnings valuation at 21.7x trailing P/E, while MRCY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.9% ROIC and — gross margin. MRCY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with SANM at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SANM ACTIVE
Sanmina Corporation
D 51/100 37.7x 8.8% 4.9% -3.86% $8.87B Benchmark Subject
TTMI
TTM Technologies Inc.
D 44/100 52.0x 20.7% 9.6% -7.67% $8.74B /ttmi-vs-sanm →
PLXS
Plexus Corp.
D+ 54/100 33.3x 10.1% 8.2% +0.70% $5.54B /plxs-vs-sanm →
MRCY
Mercury Systems Inc
D+ 56/100 21.7x — 14.9% -0.22% $4.72B /mrcy-vs-sanm →
VSH
Vishay Intertechnology Inc.
D- 40/100 — 19.4% 1.8% -4.56% $4.10B /vsh-vs-sanm →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-27 • CIK 0000897723 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-27), Sanmina Corporation (SANM) reported GAAP revenue of $8.13B (+7.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.57B , and -9.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $245.9M, operating cash flow of $620.7M, and free cash flow of $473.3M (+106.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, SANM closed FY2025 with $9.80B in total assets against $2.00B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.82, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-27 $8.13B $245.9M $620.7M $473.3M $9.80B $2.00B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-28 $7.57B $222.5M $340.2M $229.0M $4.81B $295.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $8.94B $310.0M $235.2M -$166.9M $10.72B $2.51B

3. SANM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SANM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Sanmina Corporation (NASDAQ: SANM) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $159.18 (-3.86% 1D, market cap $8.87B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 14/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, SANM ranks #327 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SANM compare to TTMI and PLXS in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Electrical Products), SANM carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 37.7x, gross margin of 8.8%, and ROIC of 4.9%. By comparison, TTMI (TTM Technologies Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 52.0x, ROIC 9.6%, cap $8.74B) and PLXS (Plexus Corp.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 33.3x, ROIC 8.2%, cap $5.54B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MRCY leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while MRCY leads on capital efficiency (14.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SANM?

Per SANM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-27, CIK 0000897723), Sanmina Corporation generated $8.13B in revenue (+7.4% YoY), $245.9M in net income, and $473.3M in free cash flow against $9.80B in total assets and $2.00B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SANM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SANM last traded at $159.18 (-3.86% on volume of 942,906 shares), positioning the stock -19.15% below its 50-day simple moving average ($196.89) and -17.01% below its 200-day simple moving average ($191.81). Across its 52-week range of $118.10 to $288.68, SANM sits at the 24.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.6% ($142.31 to $176.05).

Direct Sub-Reports: SANM RQD Cockpit SANM 12M Forecast SANM Earnings & Move SANM Dividends & DRIP SANM Insiders & 13F SANM Whale Options SANM Profit Sankey SANM News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 51/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SANM — Sanmina Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-09-27

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Sanmina Corporation (SANM) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 51/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $159.18 (-3.86% 1D, market capitalization $8.87B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 4.9%, gross margin of 8.8%, operating margin of 4.4%, and free cash flow yield of 5.10%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (14/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.39x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.82, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Sanmina Corporation (SANM) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Technology sector and Electrical Products industry. The profile identifies the company with a market capitalization of $9.3B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-09-27), Sanmina Corporation (SANM) reported $8.13B in annual revenue (up from $7.57B in FY2024, +7.4% YoY) and $245.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($8.94B revenue, $310.0M net income) through FY2025, SANM scaled operating cash flow to $620.7M and free cash flow to $473.3M, backed by $9.80B in total assets against $2.00B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 51/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 5.10% and institutional whale pillar of 6/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $118.10 – $288.68 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 37.7x trailing P/E and 20.5x EV/EBITDA against 4.4% operating margins and a 1.39x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Electrical Products (Technology), SANM carries a macro regime beta of 1.39 and gross margin of 8.8%.

  • Key Question #1: Can SANM sustain or expand its 4.4% operating margin and 4.9% ROIC against Electrical Products peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $8.13B and free cash flow of $473.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $2.00B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is SANM's 35.1x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.39x)?

SANM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Sanmina Corporation (SANM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SANM Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SANM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $159.18?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SANM 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SANM:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $216.90 (+31.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 and Altman Z-Score of 2.82 indicate relatively strong forensic financial health.

Don't sleep on SANM's setup in Technology. Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 and Altman Z-Score of 2.82 indicate relatively strong forensic financial health.. Beta of 1.39 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (51/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Shorting a 6/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $165.57 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Technology.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $125.83 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $165.57

A 4.9% ROIC against a 37.7 trailing P/E leaves the price well ahead of current capital efficiency.

Fading this rally in SANM at $165.57. A 4.9% ROIC against a 37.7 trailing P/E leaves the price well ahead of current capital efficiency.. With a beta of 1.39 and the stock sitting at $165.57 (52-wk range $118.10–$288.68), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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