Saratoga Investment Corp (SAR) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7.9% Move

$13.62 -2.30% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.54

Saratoga Investment Corp (SAR) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $211.9M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SAR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Saratoga Investment Corp (NYSE: SAR) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $13.62 (-2.30% 1D, market cap $211.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, SAR ranks #979 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SAR compare to ETX and WHG in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), SAR carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.9%. By comparison, ETX (Eaton Vance Municipal Income 2028 Term Trust of) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $190.4M) and WHG (Westwood Holdings Group Inc) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 25.5x, ROIC 4.0%, cap $179.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SAR leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while SAR leads on capital efficiency (8.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SAR?
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Per SAR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-02-28, CIK 0001377936), Saratoga Investment Corp generated $0 in revenue, $36.6M in net income, and -$88.0M in free cash flow against $1.20B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.54 (-0.60%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (35/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510035
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (5)Whales (3)SEC (10)Macro (7)CEO (10)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.4% Base Target
$25 Bull$12 Base$10 Bear
📬 FREE SAR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SAR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (35/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SAR SCORES 35/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+10/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 50% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
43
Grade D$15.07-5.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
40
Grade D$14.21-3.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
38
Grade E$13.65-0.2% Next Q
Current
35
Grade D-$13.62-8.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (43) → D- (35)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SAR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SAR currently carries a cautious 35/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($16.21) and Max Pain ($14.30) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $25.27.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SAR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SAR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Nov 28, 2026 (~25 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7.9% Swing Band

±$1.08 Expected Swing
$12.54 (-7.9%)Spot $13.62$14.70 (+7.9%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

SAR Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 35/100

Trailing EPS: $2.35 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (35/100)Model Risk Weight (65/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252026-02-28$0$36.6M-$88.0M52%
FY 20242025-02-28$0$28.1M$197.5M52%
FY 20232024-02-29$0$8.9M-$157.2M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SAR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SAR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SAR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -42.99%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $13.94H $13.94L $13.62C $13.62VOL 100.6K
RES: $15.67SUP: $11.77SMA50: $16.21SMA200: $20.43
$24.71$21.60$18.49$15.38$12.26RES $15.67SUP $11.77$13.622026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SAR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-11.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SAR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SAR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SAR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SAR)

Financials Rank #979 of 1096 ⚔️ ETX vs SAR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (SAR vs. ETX, WHG, PAAC, ARDC)

Industry: Investment Managers (79 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Saratoga Investment Corp (SAR) ranks #979 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #872 by equity capitalization ($211.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SAR leads on earnings valuation at 5.9x trailing P/E, while SAR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.9% ROIC and — gross margin. WHG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with SAR at 35/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SAR ACTIVE
Saratoga Investment Corp
D- 35/100 5.9x — 8.9% -2.30% $211.9M Benchmark Subject
ETX
Eaton Vance Municipal Income 2028 Term Trust of
D 47/100 — — — +0.11% $190.4M /etx-vs-sar →
WHG
Westwood Holdings Group Inc
C- 61/100 25.5x — 4.0% -0.53% $179.8M /whg-vs-sar →
PAAC
Proem Acquisition Corp I
D 48/100 — — — +0.05% $177.4M /paac-vs-sar →
ARDC
Ares Dynamic Credit Allocation Fund Inc.
D 46/100 — — — +0.43% $268.6M /ardc-vs-sar →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-02-28 • CIK 0001377936

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-02-28), Saratoga Investment Corp (SAR) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $36.6M, operating cash flow of -$88.0M, and free cash flow of -$88.0M (-144.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, SAR closed FY2025 with $1.20B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-02-28 $0 $36.6M -$88.0M -$88.0M $1.20B —
FY2024 (FY) 2025-02-28 $0 $28.1M $197.5M $197.5M $1.22B —
FY2023 (FY) 2024-02-29 $0 $8.9M -$157.2M -$157.2M — —

3. SAR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SAR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Saratoga Investment Corp (NYSE: SAR) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $13.62 (-2.30% 1D, market cap $211.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, SAR ranks #979 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SAR compare to ETX and WHG in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), SAR carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.9%. By comparison, ETX (Eaton Vance Municipal Income 2028 Term Trust of) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $190.4M) and WHG (Westwood Holdings Group Inc) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 25.5x, ROIC 4.0%, cap $179.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SAR leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while SAR leads on capital efficiency (8.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SAR?

Per SAR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-02-28, CIK 0001377936), Saratoga Investment Corp generated $0 in revenue, $36.6M in net income, and -$88.0M in free cash flow against $1.20B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SAR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SAR last traded at $13.62 (-2.30% on volume of 100,639 shares), positioning the stock -15.98% below its 50-day simple moving average ($16.21) and -33.33% below its 200-day simple moving average ($20.43). Across its 52-week range of $13.23 to $24.07, SAR sits at the 3.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.9% ($12.54 to $14.70).

SAR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is SAR's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Saratoga Investment Corp (SAR)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Nov 28, 2026.

How much is SAR stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±7.9% event move for SAR, spanning a range between $12.54 and $14.7.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 35/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

SAR — Saratoga Investment Corp: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:40:46Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, SAR scores 35 out of 100, earning a letter grade of D- and the verdict "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The fundamental cash engine pillar scores 5 out of 20, with ROIC of 8.9% and an FCF yield of 0%; for an investor, this signals that the business is not currently converting capital into free cash flow at a rate the rating system considers strong, which limits the cushion available if earnings or valuation multiples compress. The whale 13F flow pillar scores 3 out of 20, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning that the rating does not view as supportive. The insider conviction pillar scores 10 out of 20, based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, indicating a weaker signal of insider confidence than the other pillars would suggest is needed. The macro regime fit pillar scores 7 out of 20, with a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity noted in the rating inputs. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 10 out of 20, supported by an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5; the low Piotroski reading is the most direct indicator of financial-quality weakness in the source data. Taken together, the rating points to a stock whose attractive-looking multiples sit alongside weak cash generation and weak institutional and forensic support. A prospective investor would need to weigh the low P/E against the zero FCF yield and the weak quality signals before drawing any conclusion.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$0.0M$36.6MN/A$-88.0M$52.3MN/A
FY 2024$0.0M$0.0M$28.1MN/A$197.5M$147.6MN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$0.0M$8.9MN/A$-157.2MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, reported revenue and operating income are $0.0M across all three periods, and the gross, operating, and net margin figures in the market data are each 0%. Net income rose from $8.9M in FY 2023 to $36.6M in FY 2025, while free cash flow was negative in FY 2023 and FY 2025 and positive in FY 2024. Per the market data, ROIC is 8.9%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 2/9, per the Roarable RQD rating forensic inputs. Debt/Equity is 0.5 per the same source. Cash was $52.3M at FY 2025 versus $147.6M at FY 2024.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news wire contains six items, all tagged to SAR. Two headlines report that Saratoga Investment reported Q2 earnings below estimates: one from Yahoo Finance and one from ChartMill, the latter noting shares sliding 6.3% after hours. A TradingView item states that shares slipped after the Q2 earnings miss. An Investing.com item reports that B.Riley cut its stock price target on a NAV decline. A Yahoo Finance item and a Quiver Quantitative item are tagged as market wire coverage of fiscal Q2 earnings. Risk-watch flags are attached to the ChartMill, TradingView, and Investing.com items. The butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply chain and no proprietary signals, so no butterfly-link catalysts are available.

Open Questions

  • What is the company's business model and revenue source, given that reported revenue is $0.0M in every period?
  • What explains the gap between positive net income and negative free cash flow in FY 2023 and FY 2025?
  • What is the current debt balance, since debt is listed as N/A for all periods?
  • What is the basis for the B.Riley price target cut tied to NAV decline, and what NAV figures were involved?
  • What is the EV/EBITDA and what drove the Q2 earnings miss relative to estimates?

SAR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Saratoga Investment Corp (SAR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SAR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SAR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $13.62?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SAR 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SAR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $12.27 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is SAR (D- • RQD 35/100) a Buy at $13.94?

Welcome to the SAR (Saratoga Investment Corp) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 35/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Investment Managers. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $11.15 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $13.94

Pump the brakes on SAR — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on SAR, but look at what you are paying: 5.9x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Saratoga Investment Corp expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $17.15 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $13.94

SAR cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on SAR, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Investment Managers and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $13.94 (52-wk range $13.23 - $24.07), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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