What is SARO's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for SARO.

Stock Ratings / Industrials / SARO / options

AVAV (27) JOBY (38) BETA (42) EMBJ (63) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

StandardAero Inc. (SARO) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$25.13 +7.49% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $25.42

StandardAero Inc. (SARO) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $7.74B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SARO Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SARO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, StandardAero Inc. (NYSE: SARO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $25.13 (+7.49% 1D, market cap $7.74B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, SARO ranks #150 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SARO compare to AVAV and JOBY in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), SARO carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.3x, gross margin of 14.8%, and ROIC of 10.7%. By comparison, AVAV (AeroVironment Inc.) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.6%, cap $6.41B) and JOBY (Joby Aviation Inc.) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $4.87B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SARO leads on earnings multiple (18.3x) while SARO leads on capital efficiency (10.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SARO?

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Per SARO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002025410), StandardAero Inc. generated $6.06B in revenue (+15.8% YoY), $0 in net income, and $234.3M in free cash flow against $6.56B in total assets and $2.19B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (14.8% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $25.42 (+1.16%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 3.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SARO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SARO SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3.9% FCF Margin ($234.3M FCF) & 14.8% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (60.7) create a -13 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$19.76+8.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$21.45+3.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$22.21+13.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$25.13-0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (49) → D+ (57)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SARO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, SARO faces multiple-compression risk if 18.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($22.54) or 200D SMA ($26.49) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($25.02) toward Bear Floor ($19.52).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SARO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SARO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±8.4%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (SARO)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for SARO.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SARO)

✓Walkthrough of SARO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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SARO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.24%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-03O $23.79H $25.13L $23.38C $25.13VOL 4.81M

RES: $35.37SUP: $18.80SMA50: $22.54SMA200: $26.49

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SARO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SARO Butterfly Map → + Track SARO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

11.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +15.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SARO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SARO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SARO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SARO)

Industrials Rank #150 of 486 ⚔️ AVAV vs SARO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (SARO vs. AVAV, JOBY, BETA, EMBJ)

Industry: Aerospace (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, StandardAero Inc. (SARO) ranks #150 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #113 by equity capitalization ($7.74B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SARO leads on earnings valuation at 18.3x trailing P/E, while SARO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.7% ROIC and 14.8% gross margin. EMBJ currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with SARO at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SARO ACTIVE StandardAero Inc.	D+	57/100	18.3x	14.8%	10.7%	+7.49%	$7.74B	Benchmark Subject
AVAV AeroVironment Inc.	E	27/100	—	25.3%	-7.6%	-2.40%	$6.41B	/avav-vs-saro →
JOBY Joby Aviation Inc.	D-	38/100	—	—	-35.0%	-1.84%	$4.87B	/joby-vs-saro →
BETA Beta Technologies Inc. (Class A)	D-	42/100	—	72.2%	-35.0%	+1.65%	$4.69B	/beta-vs-saro →
EMBJ Embraer S.A.	C	63/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	+2.62%	$13.26B	/embj-vs-saro →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002025410 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), StandardAero Inc. (SARO) reported GAAP revenue of $6.06B (+15.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.24B , and +32.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $316.7M, and free cash flow of $234.3M (+980.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, SARO closed FY2025 with $6.56B in total assets against $2.19B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.43, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$6.06B	$0	$316.7M	$234.3M	$6.56B	$2.19B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$5.24B	$0	$76.3M	-$26.6M	$6.21B	$2.21B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$4.56B	-$35.1M	$67.9M	-$137.5M	$5.48B	$1.28B

3. SARO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SARO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does SARO compare to AVAV and JOBY in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SARO?

Where is SARO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SARO last traded at $25.13 (+7.49% on volume of 4,602,924 shares), positioning the stock +11.49% above its 50-day simple moving average ($22.54) and -5.13% below its 200-day simple moving average ($26.49). Across its 52-week range of $19.56 to $34.48, SARO sits at the 37.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.4% ($23.02 to $27.24).

Direct Sub-Reports: SARO RQD Cockpit SARO 12M Forecast SARO Earnings & Move SARO Dividends & DRIP SARO Insiders & 13F SARO Whale Options SARO Profit Sankey SARO News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 57/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SARO — StandardAero Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

StandardAero Inc. (SARO) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 57/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $25.13 (+7.49% 1D, market capitalization $7.74B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 10.7%, gross margin of 14.8%, operating margin of 9.1%, and free cash flow yield of 2.98%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (10/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 1.15x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.43, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.82x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

StandardAero Inc. (SARO) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, operating in the Aerospace industry. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 14.8%, an operating margin of 9.1%, and a net margin of 7.1%. Revenue is reported in the SEC financials, but the customer base, product lines, and revenue model are not described in the source data. — for detailed product and customer descriptions.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), StandardAero Inc. (SARO) reported $6.06B in annual revenue (up from $5.24B in FY2024, +15.8% YoY) and $0 in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($4.56B revenue, -$35.1M net income) through FY2025, SARO scaled operating cash flow to $316.7M and free cash flow to $234.3M, backed by $6.56B in total assets against $2.19B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 57/100): Strong cash generator (14.8% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Free cash flow yield of 2.98% and institutional whale pillar of 10/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $19.56 – $34.48 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 18.3x trailing P/E and 14.9x EV/EBITDA against 9.1% operating margins and a 1.15x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— for upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector correlations. A prospective investor should note that the graph provides no basis for mapping 2nd-order ripples, so any dependency analysis would have to come from outside this dossier.

Key Question #1: Can SARO sustain or expand its 9.1% operating margin and 10.7% ROIC against Aerospace peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $6.06B and free cash flow of $234.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $2.19B in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is SARO's 15.4x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.15x)?

SARO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for StandardAero Inc. (SARO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SARO Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Jim Cramer Says StandardAero (SARO) Stock Comes With a Downside Catch

Yahoo Finance report covering StandardAero Inc. (SARO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 1d ago

StandardAero, Inc. (SARO) Stock Price, News, Quote & History

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering StandardAero Inc. (SARO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

StandardAero: The Market Is Worried About 2027 Demand That Was Booked In 2022 (NYSE:SARO)

Seeking Alpha report covering StandardAero Inc. (SARO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

StandardAero, Inc. (NYSE:SARO) Receives Consensus Recommendation of "Moderate Buy" from Analysts

MarketBeat report covering StandardAero Inc. (SARO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago

What Is Driving Fresh Attention On StandardAero (SARO)?

Simply Wall St report covering StandardAero Inc. (SARO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Here’s What Pressured StandardAero (SARO)

Yahoo Finance report covering StandardAero Inc. (SARO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

The Air Force picked StandardAero's predictive tools for an engine program powering over 175 F-15s.

Stock Titan report covering StandardAero Inc. (SARO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

StandardAero (NYSE:SARO) Sets New 52-Week Low - What's Next?

MarketBeat report covering StandardAero Inc. (SARO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SARO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $25.13?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SARO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $27.12 (+16.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

ROIC of 10.7% and a forward P/E of 15.4 below the trailing 18.3 point to earnings expected to grow from current levels.

Picked up a starter position in SARO in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $23.38. ROIC of 10.7% and a forward P/E of 15.4 below the trailing 18.3 point to earnings expected to grow from current levels.. Trading inside a $19.56–$34.48 52-week range with 2.98% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Aerospace multiples expand this quarter.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — SARO's 12/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $19.17 (-18.0%)

Spot @ $23.38

A beta of 1.15, a macro regime score of 7/20, and FY 2024–2025 net income reported at $0.0M leave the stock exposed to downside with li

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on SARO: A beta of 1.15, a macro regime score of 7/20, and FY 2024–2025 net income reported at $0.0M leave the stock exposed to downside with limited verified bottom-line profit.. At 18.3x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Aerospace triggers a 12-15% air pocket.