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ASC (74) HSHP (54) GNK (49) TK (76) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Safe Bulkers Inc ($0.001 par value) (SB) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$7.47 -6.74% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.37

Safe Bulkers Inc ($0.001 par value) (SB) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $915.1M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SB Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Safe Bulkers Inc ($0.001 par value) (NYSE: SB) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $7.47 (-6.74% 1D, market cap $915.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SB ranks #269 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SB compare to ASC and HSHP in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), SB carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.1x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 4.6%. By comparison, ASC (Ardmore Shipping Corporation) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 21.2x, ROIC 6.5%, cap $855.6M) and HSHP (Himalaya Shipping Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 44.4x, ROIC 6.8%, cap $759.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TK leads on earnings multiple (13.2x) while TK leads on capital efficiency (19.6% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SB?
β–Ό

Per SB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001434754), Safe Bulkers Inc ($0.001 par value) generated $195.9M in revenue (-45.5% YoY), $38.6M in net income, and $102.3M in free cash flow against $1.40B in total assets and $503.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.37 (-1.40%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) β€’ 52.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 54.8% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C
025507510063
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C- Β· Rk C+
Cash (13)Whales (8)SEC (13)Macro (14)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.3% Base Target
$10 Bull$8 Base$6 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE SB RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±6.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY SB SCORES 63/100 (C) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 62% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 44.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
71
Grade B$8.66-9.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
68
Grade B-$7.83+2.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
66
Grade B-$8.06-7.3% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$7.47+0.9% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B (71) β†’ C (63)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SB Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, SB faces multiple-compression risk if 24.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($8.45) or 200D SMA ($7.10) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($7.64) toward Bear Floor ($5.96).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SBβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œSB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 63%NO 37%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±6.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (SB)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for SB.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating SB & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • βœ“Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on SB
  • βœ“How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
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SB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +11.33%β–Ό SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-03O $8.12H $8.12L $7.47C $7.47VOL 644.9K
RES: $10.31SUP: $7.71SMA50: $8.45SMA200: $7.10
$9.60$8.40$7.20$6.01$4.81RES $10.31SUP $7.71$7.472026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ SB Butterfly Map β†’ + Track SB β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
17.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -45.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SB today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SB)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #269 of 1009 βš”οΈ ASC vs SB Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SB vs. ASC, HSHP, GNK, TK)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Safe Bulkers Inc ($0.001 par value) (SB) ranks #269 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #516 by equity capitalization ($915.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TK leads on earnings valuation at 13.2x trailing P/E, while TK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.6% ROIC and 66.6% gross margin. TK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with SB at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SB ACTIVE
Safe Bulkers Inc ($0.001 par value)
C 63/100 24.1x β€” 4.6% -6.74% $915.1M Benchmark Subject
ASC
Ardmore Shipping Corporation
B 74/100 21.2x β€” 6.5% -6.72% $855.6M /asc-vs-sb β†’
HSHP
Himalaya Shipping Ltd.
D+ 54/100 44.4x 78.8% 6.8% -5.54% $759.2M /hshp-vs-sb β†’
GNK
Genco Shipping & Trading Limited New (Marshall Islands)
D 49/100 β€” β€” 0.6% -5.46% $1.14B /gnk-vs-sb β†’
TK
Teekay Corporation Ltd.
B+ 76/100 13.2x 66.6% 19.6% -5.32% $1.29B /tk-vs-sb β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001434754 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Safe Bulkers Inc ($0.001 par value) (SB) reported GAAP revenue of $195.9M (-45.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $359.6M , and -32.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $38.6M, operating cash flow of $102.3M, and free cash flow of $102.3M (-21.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, SB closed FY2025 with $1.40B in total assets against $503.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $195.9M $38.6M $102.3M $102.3M $1.40B $503.7M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $359.6M $97.4M $130.5M $130.5M $1.40B $484.8M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $291.6M $77.4M $122.2M $122.2M β€” β€”

3. SB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Safe Bulkers Inc ($0.001 par value) (NYSE: SB) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $7.47 (-6.74% 1D, market cap $915.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SB ranks #269 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SB compare to ASC and HSHP in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), SB carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.1x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 4.6%. By comparison, ASC (Ardmore Shipping Corporation) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 21.2x, ROIC 6.5%, cap $855.6M) and HSHP (Himalaya Shipping Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 44.4x, ROIC 6.8%, cap $759.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TK leads on earnings multiple (13.2x) while TK leads on capital efficiency (19.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SB?

Per SB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001434754), Safe Bulkers Inc ($0.001 par value) generated $195.9M in revenue (-45.5% YoY), $38.6M in net income, and $102.3M in free cash flow against $1.40B in total assets and $503.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SB last traded at $7.47 (-6.74% on volume of 1,147,088 shares), positioning the stock -11.60% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.45) and +5.21% above its 200-day simple moving average ($7.10). Across its 52-week range of $4.53 to $9.31, SB sits at the 61.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±6.5% ($6.98 to $7.96).

Direct Sub-Reports: SB RQD Cockpit SB 12M Forecast SB Earnings & Move SB Dividends & DRIP SB Insiders & 13F SB Whale Options SB Profit Sankey SB News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 63/100 (C) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SB β€” Safe Bulkers Inc ($0.001 par value): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Safe Bulkers Inc ($0.001 par value) (SB) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 63/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $7.47 (-6.74% 1D, market capitalization $915.1M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 4.6%, gross margin of β€”, operating margin of β€”, and free cash flow yield of 11.03%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (14/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.61x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Safe Bulkers Inc is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Marine Transportation industry. β€” for: specific products or services sold, customer base, and revenue model. The profile identifies only sector, industry, exchange, and market capitalization of $0.9B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Safe Bulkers Inc ($0.001 par value) (SB) reported $195.9M in annual revenue (up from $359.6M in FY2024, -45.5% YoY) and $38.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($291.6M revenue, $77.4M net income) through FY2025, SB scaled operating cash flow to $102.3M and free cash flow to $102.3M, backed by $1.40B in total assets against $503.7M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (C β€’ RQD 63/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 11.03% and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $4.53 – $9.31 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 24.1x trailing P/E and 18.4x EV/EBITDA against β€” operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

β€” The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph contains no upstream or downstream links, so no supply-chain dependencies or sector correlations can be identified from the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can SB sustain or expand its β€” operating margin and 4.6% ROIC against Marine Transportation peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $195.9M and free cash flow of $102.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $503.7M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is SB's 22.4x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

SB Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Safe Bulkers Inc ($0.001 par value) (SB) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to SB Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟒 CATALYST Yahoo Finance β€’ 32d ago
Safe Bulkers, Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend on its 8.00% Series C Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Preferred Shares; 8.00% Series D Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Preferred Shares

MONACO, Oct. 02, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Safe Bulkers, Inc. (the β€œCompany”) (NYSE/Euronext Athens: SB), an international provider of marine drybulk transportation services, announced today that the Company's Board of Di

Read Full Source β†—
🟒 CATALYST Yahoo Finance β€’ 96d ago
Safe Bulkers Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

Safe Bulkers (NYSE:SB) reported higher second-quarter earnings as stronger charter rates and increased bareboat charter income lifted revenue and profitability, while the company raised its quarterly dividend for a secon

Read Full Source β†—
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SB Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $7.47?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SB 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SB:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Price Action & Volume Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $10.57 (+32.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Per the Roarable RQD rating, FCF yield of 11.03% and FY 2025 FCF of $102.3M indicate strong cash generation relative to the $8.12 price

Long SB at $8.01 targeting $10.57. Per the Roarable RQD rating, FCF yield of 11.03% and FY 2025 FCF of $102.3M indicate strong cash generation relative to the $8.12 price.. Institutional whale score is 8/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $4.53 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

RetailWhale_TX πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” SB's 13/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $6.81 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $8.01

Per the SEC financials, net income fell from $97.4M in FY 2024 to $38.6M in FY 2025 while P/E (TTM) remains elevated at 24.1 against RO

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on SB: Per the SEC financials, net income fell from $97.4M in FY 2024 to $38.6M in FY 2025 while P/E (TTM) remains elevated at 24.1 against ROIC of 4.6%.. At 24.1x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Marine Transportation triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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