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Why SEZL Stock dropped -4.84% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$128.32 -4.84% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $127.51

Sezzle Inc. (SEZL) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 79/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 39% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $4.56B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SEZL Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SEZL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Sezzle Inc. (NASDAQ: SEZL) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 79/100 at a spot price of $128.32 (-4.84% 1D, market cap $4.56B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 20/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, SEZL ranks #12 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SEZL compare to CACC and NNI in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), SEZL carries a Roarable B+ (79/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 38.6%. By comparison, CACC (Credit Acceptance Corporation) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.0%, cap $4.71B) and NNI (Nelnet Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 10.3x, ROIC 11.6%, cap $4.38B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NNI leads on earnings multiple (10.3x) while SEZL leads on capital efficiency (38.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SEZL?
▼

Per SEZL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001662991), Sezzle Inc. generated $235.9M in revenue (+69.2% YoY), $133.1K in net income, and $209.3M in free cash flow against $400.2M in total assets and $103.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $127.51 (-0.63%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 20/20 (A+) • 88.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 79/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 9% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 71.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+
025507510079
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw A · Rk C+
Cash (20)Whales (16)SEC (15)Macro (12)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+9.5% Base Target
$206 Bull$140 Base$105 Bear
📬 FREE SEZL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SEZL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (79/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SEZL SCORES 79/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+20/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 88.7% FCF Margin ($209.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (20% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (59.2) create a -8 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
71
Grade B$123.11+10.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
74
Grade B+$136.22-4.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
76
Grade B+$130.02-1.3% Next Q
Current
79
Grade B+$128.32+8.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (71) → B+ (79)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SEZL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 79/100 (B+) score, SEZL faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($121.58) or 200D SMA ($109.61) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($140.45) toward Bear Floor ($105.22).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SEZL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SEZL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 79%NO 21%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why SEZL Stock dropped -4.84% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Sezzle Inc. (SEZL) dropped -4.84% to $128.32, trading at 54% of its 52-week range ($49.5 – $195.71). High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 39% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 54% of its 52-week range ($49.5 – $195.71) with RSI-14 at 59.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $128.32 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B+ (Buy) backed by 52% gross margin and $209.3M annual free cash flow.
Live SEZL Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRESimply Wall St • 1d ago
Sezzle (Nasdaq:SEZL) - Stock Analysis

Simply Wall St report covering Sezzle Inc. (SEZL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

MARKET WIREBenzinga • 4d ago
10 Financials Stocks Whale Activity In Today’s Session

This whale alert can help traders discover the next big trading opportunities. Whales are entities with large sums of money and we track their transactions here at Benzinga on our options activity scanner. Traders will

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (SEZL Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
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SEZL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +49.28%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $133.9H $134.9L $128.3C $128.3VOL 635.0K
RES: $142.9SUP: $96.71SMA50: $121.6SMA200: $109.6
$204.4$168.4$132.3$96.26$60.21RES $142.9SUP $96.71$128.32026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SEZL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SEZL Butterfly Map → + Track SEZL →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
24.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +69.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SEZL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SEZL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SEZL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SEZL)

Financials Rank #12 of 1097 ⚔️ CACC vs SEZL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (SEZL vs. CACC, NNI, RIOT, FIGR)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sezzle Inc. (SEZL) ranks #12 by composite RQD confidence (79/100, grade B+) and #286 by equity capitalization ($4.56B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NNI leads on earnings valuation at 10.3x trailing P/E, while SEZL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 38.6% ROIC and — gross margin. SEZL currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 79/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SEZL ACTIVE
Sezzle Inc.
B+ 79/100 — — 38.6% -4.84% $4.56B Benchmark Subject
CACC
Credit Acceptance Corporation
D 50/100 — — 0.0% +4.27% $4.71B /cacc-vs-sezl →
NNI
Nelnet Inc.
D+ 53/100 10.3x — 11.6% +1.47% $4.38B /nni-vs-sezl →
RIOT
Riot Platforms Inc.
E 33/100 — — -15.3% -7.57% $4.81B /riot-vs-sezl →
FIGR
Figure Technology Solutions Inc.
D 50/100 39.5x — 21.9% +0.97% $4.84B /figr-vs-sezl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001662991 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sezzle Inc. (SEZL) reported GAAP revenue of $235.9M (+69.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $139.4M , and +289.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $133.1K, operating cash flow of $209.9M, and free cash flow of $209.3M (+60.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, SEZL closed FY2025 with $400.2M in total assets against $103.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $235.9M $133.1K $209.9M $209.3M $400.2M $103.7M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $139.4M $78.5K $130.6M $130.6M $298.4M $94.7M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $60.6M $7.1K -$25.7M -$28.4M $2.49B $582.0M

3. SEZL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SEZL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Sezzle Inc. (NASDAQ: SEZL) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 79/100 at a spot price of $128.32 (-4.84% 1D, market cap $4.56B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 20/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, SEZL ranks #12 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SEZL compare to CACC and NNI in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), SEZL carries a Roarable B+ (79/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 38.6%. By comparison, CACC (Credit Acceptance Corporation) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.0%, cap $4.71B) and NNI (Nelnet Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 10.3x, ROIC 11.6%, cap $4.38B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NNI leads on earnings multiple (10.3x) while SEZL leads on capital efficiency (38.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SEZL?

Per SEZL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001662991), Sezzle Inc. generated $235.9M in revenue (+69.2% YoY), $133.1K in net income, and $209.3M in free cash flow against $400.2M in total assets and $103.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SEZL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SEZL last traded at $128.32 (-4.84% on volume of 758,665 shares), positioning the stock +5.54% above its 50-day simple moving average ($121.58) and +17.07% above its 200-day simple moving average ($109.61). Across its 52-week range of $49.50 to $195.71, SEZL sits at the 53.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($112.28 to $144.36).

Direct Sub-Reports: SEZL RQD Cockpit SEZL 12M Forecast SEZL Earnings & Move SEZL Dividends & DRIP SEZL Insiders & 13F SEZL Whale Options SEZL Profit Sankey SEZL News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 79/100 (B+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SEZL — Sezzle Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Sezzle Inc. (SEZL) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 79/100, corresponding to a B+ letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $128.32 (-4.84% 1D, market capitalization $4.56B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (20/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 38.6%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 74.9%, and free cash flow yield of 4.63%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (16/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 1.16x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Sezzle Inc. (SEZL) is listed on NASDAQ and classified in the Financials sector, Finance: Consumer Services industry,. Revenue, operating income, and free cash flow figures appear in the SEC financials section, but the sources do not state how those revenues are earned.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Sezzle Inc. (SEZL) reported $235.9M in annual revenue (up from $139.4M in FY2024, +69.2% YoY) and $133.1K in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($60.6M revenue, $7.1K net income) through FY2025, SEZL scaled operating cash flow to $209.9M and free cash flow to $209.3M, backed by $400.2M in total assets against $103.7M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B+ • RQD 79/100): Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 20/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 16/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $49.50 – $195.71 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh current valuation and 25.7x EV/EBITDA against 74.9% operating margins and a 1.16x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The sector is Financials and the industry is Finance: Consumer Services. The source data therefore does not identify upstream suppliers, downstream customers, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks. A prospective investor should note that consumer credit and checkout-financing conditions are not quantified in these sources and cannot be assessed from them.

  • Key Question #1: Can SEZL sustain or expand its 74.9% operating margin and 38.6% ROIC against Finance: Consumer Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $235.9M and free cash flow of $209.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $103.7M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is SEZL's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.16x)?

SEZL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Sezzle Inc. (SEZL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SEZL Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SEZL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $128.32?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SEZL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SEZL:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $171.26 (+27.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Fundamental cash engine scores 20/20 with ROIC of 38.6% and Piotroski F-Score 9/9 while debt fell from $582.0M to $103.7M.

Fundamental cash engine scores 20/20 with ROIC of 38.6% and Piotroski F-Score 9/9 while debt fell from $582.0M to $103.7M.. When you look under the hood at SEZL, Fundamental Cash Engine is 20/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 38.6% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (16/20) has been quietly accumulating below $195.71. My 12M target is $171.26.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Shorting a 16/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $134.85 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Financials.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $102.49 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $134.85

Shares trade at EV/EBITDA 25.7 with beta 1.16 and net margin of only 0.1% despite operating margin of 74.9%.

Shares trade at EV/EBITDA 25.7 with beta 1.16 and net margin of only 0.1% despite operating margin of 74.9%.. Look at the math on SEZL: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for 38.6% ROIC and 74.9% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Finance: Consumer Services demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $118.67 before getting long.

LIVE TAPE