What is SFM's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for SFM.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / SFM / options

ACI (37) TBBB (63) WMK (59) IMKTA (53) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Sprouts Farmers Market Inc. (SFM) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$55.23 +11.13% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $56.23

Sprouts Farmers Market Inc. (SFM) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $4.58B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SFM Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SFM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Sprouts Farmers Market Inc. (NASDAQ: SFM) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $55.23 (+11.13% 1D, market cap $4.58B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 19/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, SFM ranks #26 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SFM compare to ACI and TBBB in the Consumer Staples sector?

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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Food Chains), SFM carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.5x, gross margin of 38.8%, and ROIC of 23.5%. By comparison, ACI (Albertsons Companies Inc.) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E 27.7x, ROIC 7.4%, cap $6.15B) and TBBB (BBB Foods Inc. (Class A)) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $6.67B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SFM leads on earnings multiple (8.5x) while SFM leads on capital efficiency (23.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SFM?

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Per SFM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001575515), Sprouts Farmers Market Inc. generated $8.81B in revenue (+14.1% YoY), $523.7M in net income, and $467.7M in free cash flow against $4.16B in total assets and $1.24B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (38.8% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $56.23 (+1.81%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 5.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SFM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SFM SCORES 66/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+19/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.3% FCF Margin ($467.7M FCF) & 38.8% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B+$64.65+1.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$65.51-5.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$62.00-10.9% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$55.23+1.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B+ (74) → C+ (66)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SFM Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, SFM faces multiple-compression risk if 8.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 36.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($67.53) or 200D SMA ($75.85) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($57.22) toward Bear Floor ($44.63).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SFM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SFM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 66%NO 34%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±12.5%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (SFM)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for SFM.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating SFM & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on SFM
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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SFM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -31.55%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-03O $48.00H $55.23L $48.00C $55.23VOL 10.21M

RES: $91.14SUP: $46.07SMA50: $67.53SMA200: $75.85

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SFM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SFM Butterfly Map → + Track SFM →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

-4.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SFM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SFM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SFM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SFM)

Consumer Staples Rank #26 of 147 ⚔️ ACI vs SFM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (SFM vs. ACI, TBBB, WMK, IMKTA)

Industry: Food Chains (14 Tracked Issuers)

Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sprouts Farmers Market Inc. (SFM) ranks #26 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #45 by equity capitalization ($4.58B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SFM leads on earnings valuation at 8.5x trailing P/E, while SFM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.5% ROIC and 38.8% gross margin. SFM currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SFM ACTIVE Sprouts Farmers Market Inc.	C+	66/100	8.5x	38.8%	23.5%	+11.13%	$4.58B	Benchmark Subject
ACI Albertsons Companies Inc.	D-	37/100	27.7x	27.2%	7.4%	+4.89%	$6.15B	/aci-vs-sfm →
TBBB BBB Foods Inc. (Class A)	C	63/100	—	—	—	+0.65%	$6.67B	/tbbb-vs-sfm →
WMK Weis Markets Inc.	C-	59/100	19.8x	25.0%	7.3%	+1.83%	$1.84B	/wmk-vs-sfm →
IMKTA Ingles Markets Incorporated (Class A)	D+	53/100	18.9x	23.9%	4.4%	+2.08%	$1.60B	/imkta-vs-sfm →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-28 • CIK 0001575515 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), Sprouts Farmers Market Inc. (SFM) reported GAAP revenue of $8.81B (+14.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.72B , and +28.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $523.7M, operating cash flow of $716.0M, and free cash flow of $467.7M (+12.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, SFM closed FY2025 with $4.16B in total assets against $1.24B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.80, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-28	$8.81B	$523.7M	$716.0M	$467.7M	$4.16B	$1.24B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-29	$7.72B	$380.6M	$645.2M	$414.8M	$3.64B	$1.04B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$6.84B	$258.9M	$465.1M	$157.4M	$8.20B	$1.92B

3. SFM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SFM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does SFM compare to ACI and TBBB in the Consumer Staples sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SFM?

Where is SFM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SFM last traded at $55.23 (+11.13% on volume of 8,668,651 shares), positioning the stock -18.21% below its 50-day simple moving average ($67.53) and -27.19% below its 200-day simple moving average ($75.85). Across its 52-week range of $47.35 to $94.89, SFM sits at the 16.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 28.5 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($48.33 to $62.13).

Direct Sub-Reports: SFM RQD Cockpit SFM 12M Forecast SFM Earnings & Move SFM Dividends & DRIP SFM Insiders & 13F SFM Whale Options SFM Profit Sankey SFM News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 66/100 (C+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SFM — Sprouts Farmers Market Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-28

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Sprouts Farmers Market Inc. (SFM) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 66/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $55.23 (+11.13% 1D, market capitalization $4.58B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (16/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 23.5%, gross margin of 38.8%, operating margin of 7.8%, and free cash flow yield of 10.57%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (19/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 0.94x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.80, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.82x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Sprouts Farmers Market Inc. (SFM) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Staples sector, within the Food Chains industry. Its market capitalization is $4.4B per the market data. — for further business detail.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-28), Sprouts Farmers Market Inc. (SFM) reported $8.81B in annual revenue (up from $7.72B in FY2024, +14.1% YoY) and $523.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($6.84B revenue, $258.9M net income) through FY2025, SFM scaled operating cash flow to $716.0M and free cash flow to $467.7M, backed by $4.16B in total assets against $1.24B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 66/100): Strong cash generator (38.8% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 16/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $47.35 – $94.89 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 8.5x trailing P/E and 5.9x EV/EBITDA against 7.8% operating margins and a 0.94x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Supply chain: NONE; butterfly links: none; proprietary signals: none. — for upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks. A prospective investor should note that the sector and industry classification is the only structural context available.

Key Question #1: Can SFM sustain or expand its 7.8% operating margin and 23.5% ROIC against Food Chains peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $8.81B and free cash flow of $467.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.24B in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is SFM's 7.1x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Staples capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.94x)?

SFM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Sprouts Farmers Market Inc. (SFM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SFM Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM) is Attracting Investor Attention: Here is What You Should Know

Yahoo Finance report covering Sprouts Farmers Market Inc. (SFM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stocktwits • 1d ago

SFM Stock Heads For Worst Week Ever: Sprouts Farmers Market Faces Wall Street’s Ire As Analysts Slash Price Targets On Weak Outlook

Stocktwits report covering Sprouts Farmers Market Inc. (SFM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Investing.com • 1d ago

Sprouts Farmers Market CEO Jack Sinclair sells $1.39 million in stock

Investing.com report covering Sprouts Farmers Market Inc. (SFM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Jim Cramer Takes a Fresh Look at Sprouts (SFM) After Its Slide

Yahoo Finance report covering Sprouts Farmers Market Inc. (SFM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Investing.com • 1d ago

RBC Capital lowers Sprouts Farmers Market stock price target on fuel costs

Investing.com report covering Sprouts Farmers Market Inc. (SFM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Why Sprouts (SFM) stock is nosediving

Yahoo Finance report covering Sprouts Farmers Market Inc. (SFM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Sprouts Farmers (SFM) Ascends While Market Falls: Some Facts to Note

Yahoo Finance report covering Sprouts Farmers Market Inc. (SFM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 1d ago

Stocktwits Retail Therapy: Defensive Bets Extend Streak As Crocs, Wingstop, Carvana Lead Weekly Consumer Gains

Consumer staples and discretionary ETFs posted weekly gains despite broader market weakness, boosted by earnings and raised outlooks.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SFM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $55.23?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SFM 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $60.63 (+22.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Strong cash generation (ROIC 23.5%, FCF yield 10.57%) and near-maximum insider-conviction score at a single-digit P/E of 8.5.

Picked up a starter position in SFM in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $49.70. Strong cash generation (ROIC 23.5%, FCF yield 10.57%) and near-maximum insider-conviction score at a single-digit P/E of 8.5.. Trading inside a $47.35–$94.89 52-week range with 10.57% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Food Chains multiples expand this quarter.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@BreakoutHunter Agree on the RQD 66/100 quality, though with 0.94 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $49.70 and keeping dry powder in case we test $46.22.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $39.76 (-20.0%)

Spot @ $49.70

Weak institutional 13F flow (6/20) and analyst price-target cuts with the stock down 22.58% and trading near its 52-week low.

Weak institutional 13F flow (6/20) and analyst price-target cuts with the stock down 22.58% and trading near its 52-week low.. Look at the math on SFM: paying 8.5x trailing P/E for 23.5% ROIC and 7.8% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Food Chains demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $43.74 before getting long.