FOSTER CITY, Calif., Oct. 29, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Sagimet Biosciences Inc. (Nasdaq: SGMT), a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing inhibitors of fatty acid synthase (FASN), a key lipid synthesis regula
Why SGMT Stock dropped -2.32% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Sagimet Biosciences Inc. (Series A) (SGMT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is SGMT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼
As of 2026-11-03, Sagimet Biosciences Inc. (Series A) (NASDAQ: SGMT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $9.69 (-2.32% 1D, market cap $699.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, SGMT ranks #439 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does SGMT compare to WVE and APMD in the Health Care sector?
▼
Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), SGMT carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, WVE (Wave Life Sciences Inc.) holds a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $708.1M) and APMD (Apnimed Inc.) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $682.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SGMT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while DSGN leads on capital efficiency (-32.1% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SGMT?
▼
Per SGMT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001400118), Sagimet Biosciences Inc. (Series A) generated $159.3M in revenue (+4.5% YoY), -$51.0M in net income, and -$45.6M in free cash flow against $116.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SGMT Turnaround Squeeze
While SGMT currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.93) and Max Pain ($10.17) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $12.02.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why SGMT Stock dropped -2.32% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Sagimet Biosciences Inc. (Series A) (SGMT) dropped -2.32% to $9.69, trading at 75% of its 52-week range ($4.5 – $11.45). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 75% of its 52-week range ($4.5 – $11.45) with RSI-14 at 52.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $9.69 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
The consensus price target hints at a 168.2% upside potential for Sagimet Biosciences Inc. (SGMT). While empirical research shows that this sought-after metric is hardly effective, an upward trend in earnings estimate re
Ascletis Pharma Inc. (HKEX: 1672, "Ascletis") announced that its strategic partner, Sagimet Biosciences Inc. ("Sagimet"), a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing inhibitors of fatty acid synthase (FASN), a
With first patient dosed in AURORA Phase 3 clinical trial, Sagimet advances denifanstat's U.S. registrational program, building on positive Phase 3 clinical results in China from license partner AscletisPivotal trial des
With first patient dosed in AURORA Phase 3 clinical trial, Sagimet advances denifanstat's U.S. registrational program, building on positive Phase 3 clinical results in China from license partner AscletisPivotal
SGMT pivots denifanstat to acne with Phase 3 data and a funded U.S. registrational trial.
Sagimet Biosciences Inc. (SGMT) has become technically an oversold stock now, which implies exhaustion of the heavy selling pressure on it. This, combined with strong agreement among Wall Street analysts in revising earn
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SGMT)
- ✓Walkthrough of SGMT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
SGMT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +4.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SGMT today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SGMT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SGMT)
1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (SGMT vs. WVE, APMD, DSGN, AVBP)
Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)Across 1015 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sagimet Biosciences Inc. (Series A) (SGMT) ranks #439 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #395 by equity capitalization ($699.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SGMT leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while DSGN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -32.1% ROIC and — gross margin. APMD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 43/100 (D-) compared with SGMT at 41/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SGMT
ACTIVE
Sagimet Biosciences Inc. (Series A) | D- | 41/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -2.32% | $699.7M | Benchmark Subject |
| WVE Wave Life Sciences Inc. | E | 22/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -1.95% | $708.1M | /wve-vs-sgmt → |
| APMD Apnimed Inc. | D- | 43/100 | — | — | — | -6.10% | $682.7M | /apmd-vs-sgmt → |
| DSGN Design Therapeutics Inc. | E | 33/100 | — | — | -32.1% | -4.96% | $668.4M | /dsgn-vs-sgmt → |
| AVBP ArriVent BioPharma Inc. | E | 29/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -10.22% | $733.2M | /avbp-vs-sgmt → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001400118 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sagimet Biosciences Inc. (Series A) (SGMT) reported GAAP revenue of $159.3M (+4.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $152.5M , and +7864.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$51.0M, operating cash flow of -$45.6M, and free cash flow of -$45.6M (-7.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, SGMT closed FY2025 with $116.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $159.3M | -$51.0M | -$45.6M | -$45.6M | $116.5M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $152.5M | -$45.6M | -$42.4M | -$42.4M | $160.3M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $2.0M | -$27.9M | -$23.8M | -$23.8M | — | — |
3. SGMT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs SGMT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Sagimet Biosciences Inc. (Series A) (NASDAQ: SGMT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $9.69 (-2.32% 1D, market cap $699.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, SGMT ranks #439 in composite RQD confidence.
How does SGMT compare to WVE and APMD in the Health Care sector?
Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), SGMT carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, WVE (Wave Life Sciences Inc.) holds a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $708.1M) and APMD (Apnimed Inc.) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $682.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SGMT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while DSGN leads on capital efficiency (-32.1% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SGMT?
Per SGMT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001400118), Sagimet Biosciences Inc. (Series A) generated $159.3M in revenue (+4.5% YoY), -$51.0M in net income, and -$45.6M in free cash flow against $116.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is SGMT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
SGMT last traded at $9.69 (-2.32% on volume of 736,101 shares), positioning the stock -2.42% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.93) and +28.51% above its 200-day simple moving average ($7.54). Across its 52-week range of $4.50 to $11.45, SGMT sits at the 74.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($8.48 to $10.90).
SGMT — Sagimet Biosciences Inc. (Series A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Sagimet Biosciences Inc. (Series A) (SGMT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 41/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $9.69 (-2.32% 1D, market capitalization $699.7M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of -6.21%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
And profile, Sagimet Biosciences Inc. (Series A) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, within the Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations industry. Reported revenue is — for FY 2025 and FY 2024, with $2.0M reported for FY 2023..7B.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Sagimet Biosciences Inc. (Series A) (SGMT) reported $159.3M in annual revenue (up from $152.5M in FY2024, +4.5% YoY) and -$51.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.0M revenue, -$27.9M net income) through FY2025, SGMT scaled operating cash flow to -$45.6M and free cash flow to -$45.6M, backed by $116.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 41/100): Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -6.21% and institutional whale pillar of 11/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $4.50 – $11.45 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Operating in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (Health Care), SGMT carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.
- Key Question #1: Can SGMT sustain or expand its — operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $159.3M and free cash flow of -$45.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is SGMT's equity valuation to Health Care capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
SGMT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Sagimet Biosciences Inc. (Series A) (SGMT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
FOSTER CITY, Calif., Oct. 29, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Sagimet Biosciences Inc. (Nasdaq: SGMT), a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing inhibitors of fatty acid synthase (FASN), a key lipid synthesis regula
The consensus price target hints at a 168.2% upside potential for Sagimet Biosciences Inc. (SGMT). While empirical research shows that this sought-after metric is hardly effective, an upward trend in earnings estimate re
Ascletis Pharma Inc. (HKEX: 1672, "Ascletis") announced that its strategic partner, Sagimet Biosciences Inc. ("Sagimet"), a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing inhibitors of fatty acid synthase (FASN), a
With first patient dosed in AURORA Phase 3 clinical trial, Sagimet advances denifanstat's U.S. registrational program, building on positive Phase 3 clinical results in China from license partner AscletisPivotal trial des
With first patient dosed in AURORA Phase 3 clinical trial, Sagimet advances denifanstat's U.S. registrational program, building on positive Phase 3 clinical results in China from license partner AscletisPivotal
SGMT pivots denifanstat to acne with Phase 3 data and a funded U.S. registrational trial.
Sagimet Biosciences Inc. (SGMT) has become technically an oversold stock now, which implies exhaustion of the heavy selling pressure on it. This, combined with strong agreement among Wall Street analysts in revising earn
SGMT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $9.69?
Institutional accumulation and options positioning earn the highest pillar score (15/20), signaling some institutional interest despite
Picked up a starter position in SGMT in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $9.92. Institutional accumulation and options positioning earn the highest pillar score (15/20), signaling some institutional interest despite weak fundamentals.. Trading inside a $4.50–$11.45 52-week range with -6.21% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations multiples expand this quarter.
@QuantViper Agree on the RQD 41/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $9.92 and keeping dry powder in case we test $9.23.
With ROIC of -35%, FCF yield of -6.21%, and a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, the company is burning cash with no earnings floor under a $735
Careful chasing SGMT at $9.92. With ROIC of -35%, FCF yield of -6.21%, and a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, the company is burning cash with no earnings floor under a $735.7M market capitalization.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 0.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $8.23 on multiple compression.