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Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A) (SHLS) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$7.60 +5.56% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.66

Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A) (SHLS) receives a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) and flashes a Red SELL / AVOID rating (36/100 RQD Confidence). Alongside weak composite pillar scores, our SEC filing scanner spotted paper earnings outpacing operating cash flow (+117.9% (NI vs OCF)).

ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $1.21B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SHLS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: SHLS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $7.60 (+5.56% 1D, market cap $1.21B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Active quantitative signal ACCOUNTING_MIRAGE (BEARISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SHLS compare to WOLF and AMBQ in the Technology sector?
β–Ό

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), SHLS carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 37.8x, gross margin of 35.0%, and ROIC of 7.5%. By comparison, WOLF (Wolfspeed Inc.) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.7%, cap $1.16B) and AMBQ (Ambiq Micro Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SHLS leads on earnings multiple (37.8x) while SHLS leads on capital efficiency (7.5% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SHLS?
β–Ό

Per SHLS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001831651), Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A) generated $475.3M in revenue (+19.1% YoY), $33.6M in net income, and -$16.0M in free cash flow against $904.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: SEC Accrual Watch: Headline earnings grew faster than operating cash flowβ€”monitor working-capital conversion. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.66 (+0.81%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510036
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E Β· Rk D-
Cash (7)Whales (5)SEC (12)Macro (5)CEO (7)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.9% Base Target
$14 Bull$7 Base$5 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE SHLS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SHLS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±11.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (36/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY SHLS SCORES 36/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (33% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.62 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 6/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+7/20 pts (19% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 35% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (42.6) create a -15 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
44
Grade D$8.65-13.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
41
Grade D$7.47+0% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
39
Grade E$7.47+1.7% Next Q
Current
36
Grade D-$7.60-8.3% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (44) β†’ D- (36)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SHLS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While SHLS currently carries a cautious 36/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.58) and Max Pain ($7.98) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $13.84.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SHLSβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œSHLS Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±11.8%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (SHLS)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for SHLS.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SHLS)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of SHLS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SHLS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.10%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $7.55H $7.60L $7.20C $7.60VOL 4.26M
RES: $8.10SUP: $7.00SMA50: $7.58SMA200: $8.45
$13.64$11.73$9.83$7.92$6.02RES $8.10SUP $7.00$7.602026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SHLS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
29.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +19.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SHLS today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SHLS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SHLS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SHLS)

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (SHLS vs. WOLF, AMBQ, ICHR, AIP)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A) (SHLS) ranks #506 by composite RQD confidence (36/100, grade D-) and #337 by equity capitalization ($1.21B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SHLS leads on earnings valuation at 37.8x trailing P/E, while SHLS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.5% ROIC and 35.0% gross margin. WOLF currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 37/100 (D-) compared with SHLS at 36/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SHLS ACTIVE
Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A)
D- 36/100 37.8x 35.0% 7.5% +5.56% $1.21B Benchmark Subject
WOLF
Wolfspeed Inc.
D- 37/100 β€” β€” 0.7% -5.14% $1.16B /wolf-vs-shls β†’
AMBQ
Ambiq Micro Inc.
E 33/100 β€” 44.3% -35.0% -9.34% $1.16B /ambq-vs-shls β†’
ICHR
Ichor Holdings
E 32/100 β€” 9.3% -4.5% -5.30% $1.46B /ichr-vs-shls β†’
AIP
Arteris Inc.
E 33/100 β€” 90.2% -35.0% -5.05% $924.1M /aip-vs-shls β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001831651 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A) (SHLS) reported GAAP revenue of $475.3M (+19.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $399.2M , and -2.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $33.6M, operating cash flow of $17.1M, and free cash flow of -$16.0M (-122.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, SHLS closed FY2025 with $904.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.62, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $475.3M $33.6M $17.1M -$16.0M $904.1M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $399.2M $24.1M $80.4M $72.0M $793.1M $141.8M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $488.9M $40.0M $92.0M $92.0M β€” β€”

3. SHLS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SHLS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: SHLS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $7.60 (+5.56% 1D, market cap $1.21B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Active quantitative signal ACCOUNTING_MIRAGE (BEARISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

How does SHLS compare to WOLF and AMBQ in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), SHLS carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 37.8x, gross margin of 35.0%, and ROIC of 7.5%. By comparison, WOLF (Wolfspeed Inc.) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.7%, cap $1.16B) and AMBQ (Ambiq Micro Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SHLS leads on earnings multiple (37.8x) while SHLS leads on capital efficiency (7.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SHLS?

Per SHLS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001831651), Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A) generated $475.3M in revenue (+19.1% YoY), $33.6M in net income, and -$16.0M in free cash flow against $904.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: SEC Accrual Watch: Headline earnings grew faster than operating cash flowβ€”monitor working-capital conversion. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SHLS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SHLS last traded at $7.60 (+5.56% on volume of 4,332,835 shares), positioning the stock +0.26% above its 50-day simple moving average ($7.58) and -10.06% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.45). Across its 52-week range of $5.43 to $13.18, SHLS sits at the 28.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±11.8% ($6.70 to $8.50).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 36/100 (D-) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SHLS β€” Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A) (SHLS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 36/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $7.60 (+5.56% 1D, market capitalization $1.21B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 7.5%, gross margin of 35.0%, operating margin of 11.9%, and free cash flow yield of -1.26%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (7/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.62, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A) (SHLS) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector and Semiconductors industry,. β€” for: specific products sold, customer base, or revenue model. The source data reports gross margin of 35%, operating margin of 11.9%, and net margin of 7.1% per the market data, but does not describe how the company makes money.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A) (SHLS) reported $475.3M in annual revenue (up from $399.2M in FY2024, +19.1% YoY) and $33.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($488.9M revenue, $40.0M net income) through FY2025, SHLS scaled operating cash flow to $17.1M and free cash flow to -$16.0M, backed by $904.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D- β€’ RQD 36/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -1.26% and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $5.43 – $13.18 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: SEC Accrual Watch: Headline earnings grew faster than operating cash flowβ€”monitor working-capital conversion. Investors must weigh 37.8x trailing P/E and 15.0x EV/EBITDA against 11.9% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Supply chain is NONE and butterfly links are empty. Upstream and downstream dependencies: β€” Sector correlations: β€” beyond the Technology / Semiconductors classification and beta of 1.0. Second-order bottlenecks: the accrual signal per the Butterfly graph is the primary ripple to monitor, since receivable and working-capital build could pressure cash conversion if it does not reverse.

  • Key Question #1: Can SHLS sustain or expand its 11.9% operating margin and 7.5% ROIC against Semiconductors peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $475.3M and free cash flow of -$16.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is SHLS's 31.8x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

SHLS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A) (SHLS) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to SHLS Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SHLS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $7.60?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SHLS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SHLS:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ FCF Compounder Hunter πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $9.22 (+28.1%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet scores 12/20 with Altman Z of 3.62, Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5, the strongest pillar in the RQD

Picked up a starter position in SHLS in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $7.20. Forensic balance sheet scores 12/20 with Altman Z of 3.62, Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5, the strongest pillar in the RQD rating.. Trading inside a $5.43–$13.18 52-week range with -1.26% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Semiconductors multiples expand this quarter.

EarningsSniper πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” SHLS's 12/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.54 (-23.1%)
Spot @ $7.20

Butterfly accrual signal of severity 84 shows net income growth of +39.2% against operating cash flow growth of -78.8%, with FCF yield

Butterfly accrual signal of severity 84 shows net income growth of +39.2% against operating cash flow growth of -78.8%, with FCF yield at -1.26%.. Look at the math on SHLS: paying 37.8x trailing P/E for 7.5% ROIC and 11.9% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Semiconductors demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $6.34 before getting long.

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