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Sionna Therapeutics Inc. (SION) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$3.73 -3.62% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.70

Sionna Therapeutics Inc. (SION) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 33/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $175.0M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SION Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SION stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Sionna Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: SION) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $3.73 (-3.62% 1D, market cap $175.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, SION ranks #683 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SION compare to TRDA and ORMP in the Health Care sector?
β–Ό

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), SION carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -28.3%. By comparison, TRDA (Entrada Therapeutics Inc.) holds a E grade (16/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $176.6M) and ORMP (Oramed Pharmaceuticals Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.8%, cap $171.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SION leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ORMP leads on capital efficiency (-7.8% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SION?
β–Ό

Per SION's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002036042), Sionna Therapeutics Inc. generated $249.1M in revenue (+26.1% YoY), -$75.3M in net income, and -$66.7M in free cash flow against $326.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.70 (-0.84%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510033
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E Β· Rk D
Cash (7)Whales (3)SEC (10)Macro (8)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.3% Base Target
$58 Bull$3 Base$3 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE SION RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SION)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (33/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY SION SCORES 33/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 2/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 2% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 33.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
41
Grade D$4.38-5.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
38
Grade E$4.15-6.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
36
Grade E$3.87-3.6% Next Q
Current
33
Grade E$3.73-8.9% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (41) β†’ E (33)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SION Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While SION currently carries a cautious 33/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.38) and Max Pain ($3.92) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $57.72.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SIONβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œSION Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6.8% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $19,307

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $348/yr
$10.7K
Yr 1
$11.4K
Yr 2
$12.2K
Yr 3
$13.0K
Yr 4
$13.9K
Yr 5
$14.8K
Yr 6
$15.8K
Yr 7
$16.9K
Yr 8
$18.1K
Yr 9
$19.3K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SION)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of SION's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
SION // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -90.78%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $4.00H $4.00L $3.73C $3.73VOL 534.4K
RES: $61.50SUP: $3.49SMA50: $5.38SMA200: $29.75
$58.57$43.66$28.75$13.83$-1.08RES $61.50SUP $3.49$3.732026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SION Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +26.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SION today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SION. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SION today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SION)

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (SION vs. TRDA, ORMP, ANTX, ADAG)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1015 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sionna Therapeutics Inc. (SION) ranks #683 by composite RQD confidence (33/100, grade E) and #589 by equity capitalization ($175.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SION leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ORMP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -7.8% ROIC and 0.7% gross margin. ANTX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 43/100 (D-) compared with SION at 33/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SION ACTIVE
Sionna Therapeutics Inc.
E 33/100 β€” β€” -28.3% -3.62% $175.0M Benchmark Subject
TRDA
Entrada Therapeutics Inc.
E 16/100 β€” β€” -35.0% +12.68% $176.6M /trda-vs-sion β†’
ORMP
Oramed Pharmaceuticals Inc.
E 33/100 β€” 0.7% -7.8% -2.68% $171.0M /ormp-vs-sion β†’
ANTX
AN2 Therapeutics Inc.
D- 43/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -3.97% $170.9M /antx-vs-sion β†’
ADAG
Adagene Inc.
E 25/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -8.76% $165.8M /adag-vs-sion β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0002036042 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sionna Therapeutics Inc. (SION) reported GAAP revenue of $249.1M (+26.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $197.6M ) , GAAP net income of -$75.3M, operating cash flow of -$66.3M, and free cash flow of -$66.7M (-26.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, SION closed FY2025 with $326.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $249.1M -$75.3M -$66.3M -$66.7M $326.0M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $197.6M -$61.7M -$52.8M -$52.8M $185.8M β€”

3. SION Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SION stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Sionna Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: SION) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $3.73 (-3.62% 1D, market cap $175.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, SION ranks #683 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SION compare to TRDA and ORMP in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), SION carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -28.3%. By comparison, TRDA (Entrada Therapeutics Inc.) holds a E grade (16/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $176.6M) and ORMP (Oramed Pharmaceuticals Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.8%, cap $171.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SION leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ORMP leads on capital efficiency (-7.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SION?

Per SION's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002036042), Sionna Therapeutics Inc. generated $249.1M in revenue (+26.1% YoY), -$75.3M in net income, and -$66.7M in free cash flow against $326.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SION trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SION last traded at $3.73 (-3.62% on volume of 655,451 shares), positioning the stock -30.67% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.38) and -87.46% below its 200-day simple moving average ($29.75). Across its 52-week range of $3.55 to $54.97, SION sits at the 0.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($3.26 to $4.20).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 33/100 (E) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SION β€” Sionna Therapeutics Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Sionna Therapeutics Inc. (SION) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 33/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $3.73 (-3.62% 1D, market capitalization $175.0M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -28.3%, gross margin of β€”, operating margin of β€”, and free cash flow yield of β€”.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. (SION) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, operating in the Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations industry. The source data states a market capitalization of $0.2B. Product lines, customer base, and revenue model are β€” Reported revenue for FY 2025 and FY 2024 is β€” in each period, .

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Sionna Therapeutics Inc. (SION) reported $249.1M in annual revenue (up from $197.6M in FY2024, +26.1% YoY) and -$75.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2024 ($197.6M revenue, -$61.7M net income) through FY2025, SION scaled operating cash flow to -$66.3M and free cash flow to -$66.7M, backed by $326.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (E β€’ RQD 33/100): Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of β€” and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $3.55 – $54.97 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against β€” operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlations beyond the Beta of 1.0 are β€” Investors should note that the absence of graph data is itself a gap, not evidence of isolation from the sector.

  • Key Question #1: Can SION sustain or expand its β€” operating margin and -28.3% ROIC against Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $249.1M and free cash flow of -$66.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is SION's equity valuation to Health Care capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

SION Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Sionna Therapeutics Inc. (SION) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to SION Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SION Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $3.73?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SION 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SION:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ FCF Compounder Hunter πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $4.64 (+19.9%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Reported cash rose from $37.8M to $58.5M while the forensic pillar scores Altman Z 2.5, indicating a balance sheet not acutely stressed

Long SION at $3.87 targeting $4.64. Reported cash rose from $37.8M to $58.5M while the forensic pillar scores Altman Z 2.5, indicating a balance sheet not acutely stressed by the data provided.. Institutional whale score is 3/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $3.55 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

CapAlloc_Nerd πŸ‚ BULL

@SkepticalCFA Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.02 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $3.87

Zero reported revenue, FY 2025 operating loss of -$89.0M, FCF of -$66.7M, and ROIC of -28.3% leave the Fundamental Cash Engine pillar a

I respect the product at Sionna Therapeutics Inc., but the stock at $3.87 is a different story. Zero reported revenue, FY 2025 operating loss of -$89.0M, FCF of -$66.7M, and ROIC of -28.3% leave the Fundamental Cash Engine pillar at 7/20.. FCF yield is 0.0% and RQD sits at 33/100 (E) β€” why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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