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Stock Ratings / Health Care / SMMT / insiders
RDY (64) JAZZ (49) ELAN (45) BMRN (74) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Summit Therapeutics Inc. (SMMT) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$14.80 -7.67% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.57

Summit Therapeutics Inc. (SMMT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $12.82B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SMMT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Summit Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: SMMT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $14.80 (-7.67% 1D, market cap $12.82B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, SMMT ranks #452 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SMMT compare to RDY and JAZZ in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), SMMT carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, RDY (Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Ltd) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $11.83B) and JAZZ (Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc (Ireland)) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.7%, cap $14.02B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BMRN leads on earnings multiple (31.9x) while RDY leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SMMT?
β–Ό

Per SMMT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001599298), Summit Therapeutics Inc. generated $3.57B in revenue (+463.7% YoY), -$1.08B in net income, and -$323.6M in free cash flow against $751.2M in total assets and $41.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.57 (-1.57%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (40/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510040
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- Β· Rk D
Cash (8)Whales (8)SEC (14)Macro (5)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.1% Base Target
$31 Bull$14 Base$11 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE SMMT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SMMT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±10.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (40/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY SMMT SCORES 40/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (35% of score)

Altman Z-Score 26.00 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 5/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 0% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
48
Grade D$15.13+4.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
45
Grade D$15.83-0.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
43
Grade D$15.77-6.2% Next Q
Current
40
Grade D-$14.80-7.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (48) β†’ D- (40)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SMMT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While SMMT currently carries a cautious 40/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($16.24) and Max Pain ($15.54) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $30.69.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SMMTβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œSMMT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 40%NO 60%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

SMMT Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (SMMT)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on SMMT. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SMMT)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of SMMT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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SMMT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.84%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $16.20H $16.20L $14.80C $14.80VOL 3.51M
RES: $20.97SUP: $11.49SMA50: $16.24SMA200: $16.17
$20.19$17.99$15.79$13.59$11.39RES $20.97SUP $11.49$14.802026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SMMT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ SMMT Butterfly Map β†’ + Track SMMT β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
26.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +463.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SMMT today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SMMT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SMMT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SMMT)

Health Care Rank #452 of 1015 βš”οΈ RDY vs SMMT Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (SMMT vs. RDY, JAZZ, ELAN, BMRN)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1015 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Summit Therapeutics Inc. (SMMT) ranks #452 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #87 by equity capitalization ($12.82B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BMRN leads on earnings valuation at 31.9x trailing P/E, while RDY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and β€” gross margin. BMRN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with SMMT at 40/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SMMT ACTIVE
Summit Therapeutics Inc.
D- 40/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -7.67% $12.82B Benchmark Subject
RDY
Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Ltd
C 64/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% -0.28% $11.83B /rdy-vs-smmt β†’
JAZZ
Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc (Ireland)
D 49/100 β€” β€” -4.7% -0.71% $14.02B /jazz-vs-smmt β†’
ELAN
Elanco Animal Health Incorporated
D 45/100 β€” 55.0% -2.5% +4.51% $11.52B /elan-vs-smmt β†’
BMRN
BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc.
B 74/100 31.9x 77.7% 6.0% -1.83% $11.33B /bmrn-vs-smmt β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001599298 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Summit Therapeutics Inc. (SMMT) reported GAAP revenue of $3.57B (+463.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $632.8M , and +109.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.08B, operating cash flow of -$322.9M, and free cash flow of -$323.6M (-127.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, SMMT closed FY2025 with $751.2M in total assets against $41.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 26.00, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.57B -$1.08B -$322.9M -$323.6M $751.2M $41.5M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $632.8M -$221.3M -$142.1M -$142.2M $435.6M $21.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.71B -$614.9M -$76.8M -$76.8M $7.13B $1.67B

3. SMMT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SMMT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Summit Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: SMMT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $14.80 (-7.67% 1D, market cap $12.82B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, SMMT ranks #452 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SMMT compare to RDY and JAZZ in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), SMMT carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, RDY (Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Ltd) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $11.83B) and JAZZ (Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc (Ireland)) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.7%, cap $14.02B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BMRN leads on earnings multiple (31.9x) while RDY leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SMMT?

Per SMMT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001599298), Summit Therapeutics Inc. generated $3.57B in revenue (+463.7% YoY), -$1.08B in net income, and -$323.6M in free cash flow against $751.2M in total assets and $41.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SMMT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SMMT last traded at $14.80 (-7.67% on volume of 3,870,162 shares), positioning the stock -8.87% below its 50-day simple moving average ($16.24) and -8.47% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.17). Across its 52-week range of $12.07 to $29.23, SMMT sits at the 15.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±10.2% ($13.29 to $16.31).

Direct Sub-Reports: SMMT RQD Cockpit SMMT 12M Forecast SMMT Earnings & Move SMMT Dividends & DRIP SMMT Insiders & 13F SMMT Whale Options SMMT Profit Sankey SMMT News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 40/100 (D-) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SMMT β€” Summit Therapeutics Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Summit Therapeutics Inc. (SMMT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 40/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $14.80 (-7.67% 1D, market capitalization $12.82B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of β€”, operating margin of -36.3%, and free cash flow yield of -2.50%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 0.97x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 26.00, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.06x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Summit Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock (SMMT) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, operating in the Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations industry..0B. Reported revenue is β€” in each of FY 2023, FY 2024, and FY 2025.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Summit Therapeutics Inc. (SMMT) reported $3.57B in annual revenue (up from $632.8M in FY2024, +463.7% YoY) and -$1.08B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.71B revenue, -$614.9M net income) through FY2025, SMMT scaled operating cash flow to -$322.9M and free cash flow to -$323.6M, backed by $751.2M in total assets against $41.5M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D- β€’ RQD 40/100): Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -2.50% and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $12.07 – $29.23 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -36.3% operating margins and a 0.97x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks are identified in the source data. An investor should watch for the financing-driven share issuance referenced in the news feed as a potential dilution channel, but the source does not quantify its effect.

  • Key Question #1: Can SMMT sustain or expand its -36.3% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $3.57B and free cash flow of -$323.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $41.5M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is SMMT's 34.0x forward P/E multiple to Health Care capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.97x)?

SMMT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Summit Therapeutics Inc. (SMMT) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to SMMT Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SMMT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $14.80?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SMMT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SMMT:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Swing & Catalyst Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $18.92 (+18.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

The forensic balance sheet scores 14 out of 20 with Debt/Equity of 0.06, giving the company low leverage while it funds trial and partn

Here is why I am bullish on SMMT here at $16.03: The forensic balance sheet scores 14 out of 20 with Debt/Equity of 0.06, giving the company low leverage while it funds trial and partnership catalysts.. Compare SMMT's -36.3% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against the rest of Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $15.23 are getting bought.

RetailWhale_TX πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” SMMT's 14/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $13.79 (-14.0%)
Spot @ $16.03

ROIC of -35% and FCF yield of -2.5% show the business is not currently generating cash returns, while a $2B financing points to future

ROIC of -35% and FCF yield of -2.5% show the business is not currently generating cash returns, while a $2B financing points to future dilution.. Look at the math on SMMT: paying 34.0x forward P/E for -35.0% ROIC and -36.3% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $14.11 before getting long.

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