TradingView report covering Smith Micro Software Inc. (SMSI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why SMSI Stock dropped -3.40% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Smith Micro Software Inc. (SMSI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 28/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is SMSI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Smith Micro Software Inc. (NASDAQ: SMSI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $2.27 (-3.40% 1D, market cap $12.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, SMSI ranks #631 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does SMSI compare to YAAS and UPLD in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), SMSI carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 74.1%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, YAAS (Youxin Technology Ltd (Class A)) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $11.9M) and UPLD (Upland Software Inc.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.4%, cap $11.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SMSI leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while UPLD leads on capital efficiency (2.4% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SMSI?
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Per SMSI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000948708), Smith Micro Software Inc. generated $17.4M in revenue (-15.5% YoY), -$30.1K in net income, and -$7.3M in free cash flow against $25.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 74.1% Gross Margin
Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SMSI Turnaround Squeeze
While SMSI currently carries a cautious 28/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.64) and Max Pain ($2.38) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.88.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why SMSI Stock dropped -3.40% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Smith Micro Software Inc. (SMSI) dropped -3.40% to $2.27, trading at 8% of its 52-week range ($2.05 – $4.65). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 8% of its 52-week range ($2.05 – $4.65) with RSI-14 at 37.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±11.7% around $2.27 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 74.1% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Yahoo Finance report covering Smith Micro Software Inc. (SMSI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Orange County Business Journal report covering Smith Micro Software Inc. (SMSI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingKey report covering Smith Micro Software Inc. (SMSI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Smith Micro Software Inc. (SMSI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingKey report covering Smith Micro Software Inc. (SMSI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.siam.in/ report covering Smith Micro Software Inc. (SMSI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingKey report covering Smith Micro Software Inc. (SMSI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Pegasystems (PEGA) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of -22.22% and -8.31%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SMSI)
- ✓Walkthrough of SMSI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
SMSI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -15.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SMSI today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SMSI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SMSI)
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (SMSI vs. YAAS, UPLD, SAGT, VIDA)
Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Smith Micro Software Inc. (SMSI) ranks #631 by composite RQD confidence (28/100, grade E) and #633 by equity capitalization ($12.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SMSI leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while UPLD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.4% ROIC and 74.8% gross margin. SAGT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 52/100 (D+) compared with SMSI at 28/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMSI
ACTIVE
Smith Micro Software Inc. | E | 28/100 | — | 74.1% | -35.0% | -3.40% | $12.7M | Benchmark Subject |
| YAAS Youxin Technology Ltd (Class A) | D- | 36/100 | — | 33.4% | — | -5.60% | $11.9M | /yaas-vs-smsi → |
| UPLD Upland Software Inc. | D- | 40/100 | — | 74.8% | 2.4% | +2.05% | $11.8M | /upld-vs-smsi → |
| SAGT SAGTEC GLOBAL LIMITED (Class A) | D+ | 52/100 | — | — | — | -0.20% | $14.0M | /sagt-vs-smsi → |
| VIDA VIDA Global Inc. (Class A) | D- | 41/100 | — | — | — | -7.47% | $14.4M | /vida-vs-smsi → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000948708 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Smith Micro Software Inc. (SMSI) reported GAAP revenue of $17.4M (-15.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $20.6M , and -57.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$30.1K, operating cash flow of -$7.2M, and free cash flow of -$7.3M (+49.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, SMSI closed FY2025 with $25.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $17.4M | -$30.1K | -$7.2M | -$7.3M | $25.0M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $20.6M | -$48.7K | -$14.3M | -$14.3M | $48.0M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $40.9M | -$24.4K | -$7.0M | -$7.0M | — | — |
3. SMSI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs SMSI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Smith Micro Software Inc. (NASDAQ: SMSI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $2.27 (-3.40% 1D, market cap $12.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, SMSI ranks #631 in composite RQD confidence.
How does SMSI compare to YAAS and UPLD in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), SMSI carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 74.1%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, YAAS (Youxin Technology Ltd (Class A)) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $11.9M) and UPLD (Upland Software Inc.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.4%, cap $11.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SMSI leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while UPLD leads on capital efficiency (2.4% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SMSI?
Per SMSI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000948708), Smith Micro Software Inc. generated $17.4M in revenue (-15.5% YoY), -$30.1K in net income, and -$7.3M in free cash flow against $25.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is SMSI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
SMSI last traded at $2.27 (-3.40% on volume of 25,034 shares), positioning the stock -14.02% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.64) and -26.77% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.10). Across its 52-week range of $2.05 to $4.65, SMSI sits at the 8.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.7% ($2.00 to $2.54).
SMSI — Smith Micro Software Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Smith Micro Software Inc. (SMSI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 28/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $2.27 (-3.40% 1D, market capitalization $12.7M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 74.1%, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of —.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Smith Micro Software Inc. (SMSI) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, operating in the Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry..0B.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Smith Micro Software Inc. (SMSI) reported $17.4M in annual revenue (up from $20.6M in FY2024, -15.5% YoY) and -$30.1K in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($40.9M revenue, -$24.4K net income) through FY2025, SMSI scaled operating cash flow to -$7.2M and free cash flow to -$7.3M, backed by $25.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 28/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $2.05 – $4.65 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Operating in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (Technology), SMSI carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 74.1%.
- Key Question #1: Can SMSI sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Computer Software: Prepackaged Software peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $17.4M and free cash flow of -$7.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is SMSI's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
SMSI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Smith Micro Software Inc. (SMSI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
TradingView report covering Smith Micro Software Inc. (SMSI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Smith Micro Software Inc. (SMSI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Orange County Business Journal report covering Smith Micro Software Inc. (SMSI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingKey report covering Smith Micro Software Inc. (SMSI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Smith Micro Software Inc. (SMSI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingKey report covering Smith Micro Software Inc. (SMSI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.siam.in/ report covering Smith Micro Software Inc. (SMSI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingKey report covering Smith Micro Software Inc. (SMSI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
SMSI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.27?
The stock trades at a $13.1M market cap with a 2.5 Altman Z-score, so any operating turnaround would be measured against a very small v
Picked up a starter position in SMSI in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $2.27. The stock trades at a $13.1M market cap with a 2.5 Altman Z-score, so any operating turnaround would be measured against a very small valuation base.. Trading inside a $2.05–$4.65 52-week range with 0.0% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Computer Software: Prepackaged Software multiples expand this quarter.
Both sides have a point here — SMSI's 8/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.
Revenue fell from $40.9M to $17.4M, operating margin is -60%, ROIC is -35%, and free cash flow yield is 0%, while cash dropped to $1.5M
Revenue fell from $40.9M to $17.4M, operating margin is -60%, ROIC is -35%, and free cash flow yield is 0%, while cash dropped to $1.5M.. Look at the math on SMSI: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for -35.0% ROIC and -60.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Computer Software: Prepackaged Software demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $2.00 before getting long.