Sow Good Inc. (SOWG) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$2.09 -2.34% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.08

Sow Good Inc. (SOWG) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 32/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $42.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SOWG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Sow Good Inc. (NASDAQ: SOWG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $2.09 (-2.34% 1D, market cap $42.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, SOWG ranks #118 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SOWG compare to BOF and JVA in the Consumer Staples sector?
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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), SOWG carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BOF (BranchOut Food Inc.) holds a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $33.8M) and JVA (Coffee Holding Co. Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 20.8x, ROIC 6.5%, cap $28.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, JVA leads on earnings multiple (20.8x) while JVA leads on capital efficiency (6.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SOWG?
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Per SOWG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001490161), Sow Good Inc. generated $18.5M in revenue (-40.4% YoY), -$40.6M in net income, and -$4.3M in free cash flow against $3.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.08 (-0.61%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (32/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510032
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (9)Whales (3)SEC (10)Macro (7)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.5% Base Target
$17 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE SOWG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SOWG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (32/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SOWG SCORES 32/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
24
Grade E$1.83+9.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
27
Grade E$2.01+12.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
29
Grade E$2.26-7.5% Next Q
Current
32
Grade E$2.09-9.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (24) → E (32)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SOWG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SOWG currently carries a cautious 32/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.55) and Max Pain ($2.19) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $16.70.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SOWG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SOWG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.26 Expected Swing
$1.83 (-12.5%)Spot $2.09$2.35 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

SOWG Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 32/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (32/100)Model Risk Weight (68/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$18.5M-$40.6M-$4.3M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$31.1M-$3.7M-$9.4M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$16.1M-$3.1M-$4.8M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SOWG)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SOWG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SOWG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +18.75%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $2.14H $2.14L $2.09C $2.09VOL 8.7K
RES: $4.04SUP: $0.97SMA50: $2.55SMA200: $3.99
$9.78$7.41$5.04$2.67$0.30RES $4.04SUP $0.97$2.092026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SOWG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SOWG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SOWG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SOWG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SOWG)

Consumer Staples Rank #118 of 146 ⚔️ BOF vs SOWG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (SOWG vs. BOF, JVA, LSF, BRLS)

Industry: Packaged Foods (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sow Good Inc. (SOWG) ranks #118 by composite RQD confidence (32/100, grade E) and #110 by equity capitalization ($42.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, JVA leads on earnings valuation at 20.8x trailing P/E, while JVA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.5% ROIC and 16.0% gross margin. JVA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 49/100 (D) compared with SOWG at 32/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SOWG ACTIVE
Sow Good Inc.
E 32/100 — — -35.0% -2.34% $42.0M Benchmark Subject
BOF
BranchOut Food Inc.
E 18/100 — 14.8% -35.0% -1.15% $33.8M /bof-vs-sowg →
JVA
Coffee Holding Co. Inc.
D 49/100 20.8x 16.0% 6.5% -1.57% $28.7M /jva-vs-sowg →
LSF
Laird Superfood Inc.
E 19/100 — 37.9% -35.0% -4.87% $28.4M /lsf-vs-sowg →
BRLS
Borealis Foods Inc. (Class A)
E 26/100 — 11.2% -35.0% +4.59% $24.5M /brls-vs-sowg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001490161

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sow Good Inc. (SOWG) reported GAAP revenue of $18.5M (-40.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $31.1M , and +15.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$40.6M, operating cash flow of -$4.3M, and free cash flow of -$4.3M (+54.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, SOWG closed FY2025 with $3.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $18.5M -$40.6M -$4.3M -$4.3M $3.8M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $31.1M -$3.7M -$9.4M -$9.4M $54.7M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $16.1M -$3.1M -$4.8M -$4.8M — —

3. SOWG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SOWG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Sow Good Inc. (NASDAQ: SOWG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $2.09 (-2.34% 1D, market cap $42.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, SOWG ranks #118 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SOWG compare to BOF and JVA in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), SOWG carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BOF (BranchOut Food Inc.) holds a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $33.8M) and JVA (Coffee Holding Co. Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 20.8x, ROIC 6.5%, cap $28.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, JVA leads on earnings multiple (20.8x) while JVA leads on capital efficiency (6.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SOWG?

Per SOWG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001490161), Sow Good Inc. generated $18.5M in revenue (-40.4% YoY), -$40.6M in net income, and -$4.3M in free cash flow against $3.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SOWG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SOWG last traded at $2.09 (-2.34% on volume of 8,670 shares), positioning the stock -18.04% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.55) and -47.62% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.99). Across its 52-week range of $1.04 to $15.90, SOWG sits at the 7.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.83 to $2.35).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 32/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

SOWG — Sow Good Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:47:28Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, SOWG carries an RQD Score of 34 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars score as follows: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield -10.01%), Whale 13F Flow 5/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit 7/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet 10/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 1/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

Taken together, the pillars indicate weakness in every area the rating measures, with the lowest scores in insider conviction and institutional flow. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on a turnaround in cash generation, which the rating does not show in current data: ROIC and FCF yield are both negative. The Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 and the Altman Z of 2.5 frame the forensic risk the rating flags. The 52-week range of $1.04 to $15.

Business

Sow Good Inc. (SOWG) is a NASDAQ-listed operating company in the Packaged Foods industry (Consumer Staples sector) with an equity market capitalization of $42.0M. The business operates with a gross margin of 0%, an operating margin of 0%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35% (free cash flow yield of -10.01%). Within the Packaged Foods peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, the following items are reported:

  • Kalkine.ca market-wire coverage of SOWG market action and institutional positioning.
  • A company announcement setting December 17, 2026 as the date of the annual meeting, with the stockholder proposal deadline on October 23.
  • Reported price action of a 19.81% decline to $1.70, described as a test of key support.
  • A TradingKey most-active stocks listing.
  • Reported extensions of the Tanzania acquisition deadline and of the share purchase agreement deadline, both to December 15 (2026 for the share purchase agreement).

Risk watch items include the deadline extensions and the negative financial trend. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals or supply-chain links are reported.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies are — Sector correlations beyond the Consumer Staples and Packaged Foods classification are —

Open Questions

  • What products does Sow Good sell, and what drove revenue from $16.1M in FY 2023 to — in FY 2025?
  • What is the status and financial effect of the Tanzania acquisition and the share purchase agreement, given their extended deadlines?
  • What caused the net loss of $-40.6M in FY 2025, which is far larger than the operating loss of $-6.6M?
  • What is the current debt level, since debt is listed as N/A for all periods?
  • What explains the decline from a 52-week high of $15.9 to a current price of $2.14?

SOWG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Sow Good Inc. (SOWG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SOWG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SOWG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.09?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SOWG 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SOWG:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.88 (-12.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is SOWG (E • RQD 34/100) a Buy at $2.14?

Welcome to the SOWG (Sow Good Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 34/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Packaged Foods. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.69 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $2.14

Pump the brakes on SOWG — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on SOWG, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Sow Good Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.65 (+23.8%)
Spot @ $2.14

SOWG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on SOWG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Packaged Foods and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $2.14 (52-wk range $1.04 - $15.90), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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