Yahoo Finance report covering Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why SPCX Stock dropped -6.37% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is SPCX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (NASDAQ: SPCX) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $134.72 (-6.37% 1D, market cap $1.95T). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BULLISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does SPCX compare to APP and NBIS in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), SPCX carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 58.3%. By comparison, APP (Applovin Corporation) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 25.6x, ROIC 48.1%, cap $85.31B) and NBIS (Nebius Group N.V. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -9.6%, cap $46.76B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ZM leads on earnings multiple (15.0x) while SPCX leads on capital efficiency (58.3% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SPCX?
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Per SPCX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001181412), Space Exploration Technologies Corp. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $92.08B in total assets and $22.84B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 0% Gross Margin
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (45.9) create a -16 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SPCX Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 63/100 (C) score, SPCX faces multiple-compression risk if 21.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($149.88) or 200D SMA ($145.69) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($137.75) toward Bear Floor ($107.45).
Why SPCX Stock dropped -6.37% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) dropped -6.37% to $134.72, trading at 25% of its 52-week range ($104.83 – $225.64). Solid steady margins (58% return on capital), mixed timing at 22x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 25% of its 52-week range ($104.83 – $225.64) with RSI-14 at 45.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.1% around $134.72 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Primary SEC / Cross-Feed Trigger: SPCX Macro Tailwind Score Hits 96/100 Despite True Net Liquidity Contracting -0.64%
Investing.com report covering Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
SpaceX may be attempting an end run to get around obstacles it's facing in getting a mobile network off the ground.
The race to put a satellite company inside Americans’ phone plans picked up speed. SpaceX (NASDAQ:SPCX) stock trades at $140.02, up 4% in early action. The gain follows reports that SpaceX is in talks to buy Boost Mobile
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (SPCX Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
SPCX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +20.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SPCX today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SPCX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SPCX)
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (SPCX vs. APP, NBIS, BSP, ZM)
Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) ranks #189 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #5 by equity capitalization ($1.95T). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ZM leads on earnings valuation at 15.0x trailing P/E, while SPCX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 58.3% ROIC and — gross margin. BSP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with SPCX at 63/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPCX
ACTIVE
Space Exploration Technologies Corp. | C | 63/100 | 21.7x | — | 58.3% | -6.37% | $1.95T | Benchmark Subject |
| APP Applovin Corporation | C+ | 68/100 | 25.6x | 87.9% | 48.1% | -10.36% | $85.31B | /app-vs-spcx → |
| NBIS Nebius Group N.V. (Class A) | D- | 37/100 | — | 68.6% | -9.6% | -10.38% | $46.76B | /nbis-vs-spcx → |
| BSP Bending Spoons S.p.A. | B+ | 76/100 | 21.7x | — | 14.9% | -2.69% | $32.49B | /bsp-vs-spcx → |
| ZM Zoom Communications Inc. | B+ | 76/100 | 15.0x | 77.0% | 9.4% | -2.21% | $28.50B | /zm-vs-spcx → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001181412In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, SPCX closed FY2025 with $92.08B in total assets against $22.84B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 26.00, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $92.08B | $22.84B |
3. SPCX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs SPCX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (NASDAQ: SPCX) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $134.72 (-6.37% 1D, market cap $1.95T). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BULLISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.
How does SPCX compare to APP and NBIS in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), SPCX carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 58.3%. By comparison, APP (Applovin Corporation) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 25.6x, ROIC 48.1%, cap $85.31B) and NBIS (Nebius Group N.V. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -9.6%, cap $46.76B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ZM leads on earnings multiple (15.0x) while SPCX leads on capital efficiency (58.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SPCX?
Per SPCX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001181412), Space Exploration Technologies Corp. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $92.08B in total assets and $22.84B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is SPCX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
SPCX last traded at $134.72 (-6.37% on volume of 122,654,523 shares), positioning the stock -10.11% below its 50-day simple moving average ($149.88) and -7.53% below its 200-day simple moving average ($145.69). Across its 52-week range of $104.83 to $225.64, SPCX sits at the 24.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.1% ($123.81 to $145.63).
SPCX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is SPCX stock moving today?
Why SPCX Stock dropped -6.37% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (58% return on capital), mixed timing at 22x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
SPCX — Space Exploration Technologies Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, SPCX scores 63 of 100, a letter grade of C, with the verdict label "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars break down as follows:
- Fundamental Cash Engine: 15 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects an ROIC of 58.3% and an FCF yield of 3.99%. Strong capital efficiency is a clear upside driver, while a 3.99% FCF yield implies the valuation already prices in meaningful future cash generation.
- Whale 13F Flow: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar captures institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score is moderate, suggesting institutional interest is present but not dominant in the signal.
- Insider Conviction: 17 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this is the strongest pillar, reflecting SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Clustered insider activity is a constructive signal, though the source data does not itemize the individual transactions.
- Macro Regime Fit: 4 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this is the weakest pillar, reflecting a Beta of 1.36 and sector sensitivity. For a prospective investor, this is the principal valuation and volatility tradeoff: the stock is expected to amplify broad market moves.
- Forensic Balance Sheet: 15 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects an Altman Z of 26, a Piotroski F of 7/9, and a Debt/Equity of 8.28. The Altman and Piotroski readings are favorable, but the leverage ratio is high and warrants scrutiny.
Taken together, the RQD profile describes a company with strong return-on-capital and insider signals offset by high market sensitivity and elevated leverage. The verdict label characterizes this as balanced risk-reward rather than a clear accumulation or avoidance signal.
Snapshot
Business
Space Exploration Technologies Corp. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Technology sector and the Computer Software: Programming Data Processing industry, per the profile. The source data does not itemize its products, customers, or revenue streams. Per the market data, the company reports an operating margin of 21.1% and a net margin of 16.4%. The gross margin is reported as 0%, which the source data does not explain.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 (filed 2025-12-31) | $0.0M | $0.0M | $0.0M | N/A | $0.0M | $24747.0M | $22839.3M |
Per the SEC financials, the single reported period shows revenue, operating income, net income, and free cash flow each at $0.0M, which conflicts with the margin and ROIC figures in the market data; the source data does not resolve this discrepancy. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 26 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, both favorable readings. Per the SEC financials, cash of $24747.0M against debt of $22839.3M indicates a near-balanced gross position, while the Roarable RQD rating reports a Debt/Equity of 8.28.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news and catalysts feed, six items relate to SPCX. Four are tagged "MARKET WIRE" with YELLOW light, one is tagged "RISK WATCH" with RED light, and one is a second "MARKET WIRE" YELLOW item. The headlines are: "Why SpaceX Stock Took Flight Today" (Yahoo Finance); "Why is Space Exploration Technologies stock sliding today?" (Investing.com); "Here's What a $5,000 Investment in SpaceX Stock Could Be Worth in 3 Years" (The Motley Fool); "What Jim Cramer Says About Space Exploration Technologies' (SPCX) Starlink and AI Opportunity" (Yahoo Finance); "Why is Space Exploration Technologies stock dropping today?" (Investing.com), which carries the RED risk-watch flag; and "Is SpaceX Stock Cheap? 1 Wall Street Analyst Thinks So." (The Motley Fool). The feed summaries are generic and do not specify the underlying drivers of the price moves.
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the proprietary signal is a LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND with a BULLISH direction and a severity score of 94. The terminal label reports a Macro Tailwind Score of 96/100. The brief cites a True Net Liquidity of $5,746B following a -0.64% four-week contraction, a 6.1 z-score liquidity anomaly, a 2 bps widening in ICE BofA High-Yield OAS, a Net Liquidity Elasticity beta of 6.00x, and a Pearson r of -0.23. The negative Pearson correlation alongside a high elasticity beta means the tailwind reading is driven by sensitivity rather than a stable linear relationship, which a prospective investor should weigh carefully.
Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE" and no butterfly links are defined. Upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlation partners are therefore not available in source data. The only cross-asset link provided is the liquidity signal described above, which ties SPCX's positioning to reserve velocity and high-yield credit spreads. A prospective investor should watch whether the liquidity regime shifts, since the signal itself identifies reserve velocity as the sensitivity channel.
Open Questions
- The FY 2025 SEC financials show $0.0M for revenue, operating income, net income, and FCF, yet the market data reports positive operating and net margins and ROIC of 58.3%. Which figures are correct, and what period do the margins refer to?
- What does the gross margin of 0% represent, and is it a reporting artifact or an actual cost structure?
- What specific transactions make up the insider and Congressional cluster flow behind the 17/20 pillar score?
- What is the composition of the $22839.3M debt, and how does it reconcile with the reported Debt/Equity of 8.28?
- What is the company's product mix, revenue concentration, and customer base, given that the source data provides none of this?
SPCX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
SPCX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $134.72?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is SPCX (C • RQD 63/100) a Buy at $143.89?
Welcome to the SPCX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 63/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Computer Software: Programming Data Processing. Bulls point to capital efficiency (58.3% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on SPCX — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on SPCX, but look at what you are paying: 21.7x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Space Exploration Technologies Corp. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
SPCX cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on SPCX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Computer Software: Programming Data Processing and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $143.89 (52-wk range $104.83 - $225.64), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.