Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings Inc. (SPWH) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$1.06 -0.93% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.06

Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings Inc. (SPWH) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $41.9M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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As of 2026-11-02, Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: SPWH) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $1.06 (-0.93% 1D, market cap $41.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BULLISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

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πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SPWH compare to WSHP and PEW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Specialty Stores), SPWH carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 30.9%, and ROIC of -12.8%. By comparison, WSHP (WeShop Holdings Limited (Class A)) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $57.9M) and PEW (GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $58.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPWH leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SPWH leads on capital efficiency (-12.8% ROIC).

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πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SPWH?
β–Ό

Per SPWH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001132105), Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings Inc. generated $1.21B in revenue (+1.0% YoY), -$50.1M in net income, and $8.9M in free cash flow against $762.6M in total assets and $44.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.06 (-0.36%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) β€’ 0.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510039
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- Β· Rk D
Cash (8)Whales (4)SEC (8)Macro (10)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.5% Base Target
$3 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE SPWH RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SPWH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±7.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY SPWH SCORES 39/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 2% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 44.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+9/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 45% Net Buy β€’ Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
47
Grade D$1.12-7.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
44
Grade D$1.04+0% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
42
Grade D$1.04+1.9% Next Q
Current
39
Grade D-$1.06-7.6% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (47) β†’ D- (39)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SPWH Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While SPWH currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.14) and Max Pain ($1.11) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.69.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SPWHβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œSPWH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

SPWH Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (SPWH)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on SPWH. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SPWH)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of SPWH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SPWH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -22.06%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $1.08H $1.08L $1.06C $1.06VOL 388.3K
RES: $1.11SUP: $1.02SMA50: $1.14SMA200: $1.27
$2.16$1.86$1.55$1.24$0.93RES $1.11SUP $1.02$1.062026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SPWH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SPWH today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SPWH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SPWH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SPWH)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #755 of 1011 βš”οΈ WSHP vs SPWH Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SPWH vs. WSHP, PEW, NAAS, BARK)

Industry: Other Specialty Stores (42 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings Inc. (SPWH) ranks #755 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #831 by equity capitalization ($41.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SPWH leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while SPWH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -12.8% ROIC and 30.9% gross margin. WSHP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with SPWH at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SPWH ACTIVE
Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings Inc.
D- 39/100 β€” 30.9% -12.8% -0.93% $41.9M Benchmark Subject
WSHP
WeShop Holdings Limited (Class A)
D 46/100 β€” β€” β€” -2.09% $57.9M /wshp-vs-spwh β†’
PEW
GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
E 27/100 β€” 11.7% -35.0% -2.51% $58.7M /pew-vs-spwh β†’
NAAS
NaaS Technology Inc.
D 46/100 β€” β€” β€” -3.09% $59.6M /naas-vs-spwh β†’
BARK
BARK Inc. (Class A)
E 18/100 β€” 61.3% -35.0% -1.48% $73.4M /bark-vs-spwh β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2026-01-31 β€’ CIK 0001132105

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings Inc. (SPWH) reported GAAP revenue of $1.21B (+1.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.20B , and -6.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$50.1M, operating cash flow of $31.3M, and free cash flow of $8.9M (-54.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, SPWH closed FY2025 with $762.6M in total assets against $44.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.79, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-31 $1.21B -$50.1M $31.3M $8.9M $762.6M $44.2M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-02-01 $1.20B -$33.1M $34.1M $19.6M $852.1M $24.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-02-03 $1.29B -$29.0M $52.3M $52.3M β€” β€”

3. SPWH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SPWH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: SPWH) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $1.06 (-0.93% 1D, market cap $41.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BULLISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

How does SPWH compare to WSHP and PEW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Specialty Stores), SPWH carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 30.9%, and ROIC of -12.8%. By comparison, WSHP (WeShop Holdings Limited (Class A)) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $57.9M) and PEW (GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $58.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPWH leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SPWH leads on capital efficiency (-12.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SPWH?

Per SPWH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001132105), Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings Inc. generated $1.21B in revenue (+1.0% YoY), -$50.1M in net income, and $8.9M in free cash flow against $762.6M in total assets and $44.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SPWH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SPWH last traded at $1.06 (-0.93% on volume of 94,955 shares), positioning the stock -7.02% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.14) and -16.54% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.27). Across its 52-week range of $1.03 to $2.56, SPWH sits at the 2.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±7.9% ($1.00 to $1.14).

SPWH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are SPWH insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies SPWH leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 39/100 (D-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

SPWH β€” Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:47:32Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, SPWH scores 39 out of 100 with a letter grade of D-, labeled "Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is -12.8% and FCF yield is 21.21%. A negative ROIC indicates the business is not currently earning returns above its cost of capital, while a high FCF yield alongside weak profitability warrants scrutiny of how durable that free cash flow is.
  • Whale 13F Flow (4/20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, institutional accumulation and options positioning score low. For a prospective investor, this signals limited evidence of large-holder conviction in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction (9/20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow score modestly. Insider signals do not offer a strong confirming tailwind.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.0 and sector sensitivity is moderate. Market-level swings would be expected to translate roughly one-for-one into SPWH price moves.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 1.79, Piotroski F is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.23. The Z-score sits in a distress-adjacent range, partially offset by a moderate Piotroski reading and low leverage.

Taken together, the rating points to a stock where the upside case depends on operational recovery and sustained cash generation, while the downside risk is elevated by negative returns on capital and a weak institutional and insider signal. The valuation tradeoff is that the low share price and high FCF yield may look attractive on the surface, but the negative operating income and thin balance-sheet cushion limit margin for error.

Business

Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Other Specialty Stores industry, per the profile section. The source data does not describe its product categories, customer base, or revenue model beyond its sector classification. Reported revenue for FY 2025 was $1209.2M per the SEC financials. Gross margin is 30.9% per the market data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$1209.2M$-37.4M$-50.1MN/A$8.9M$1.7M$44.2M
FY 2024$1197.6M$-18.2M$-33.1MN/A$19.6M$2.8M$24.1M
FY 2023$1288.0M$-25.3M$-29.0MN/A$52.3MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials and market data, operating margin is -3.1% and net margin is -4.1%, with net losses reported in each period shown. Per the market data, ROIC is -12.8%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 1.79 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Debt/Equity is 0.23. Reported free cash flow declined across the three periods, from $52.3M to $19.6M to $8.9M, and reported cash was $1.7M at FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, six items are listed. Three are tagged YELLOW market-wire items (Yahoo Finance, Simply Wall St, TradingView coverage), one is tagged YELLOW from FinancialContent, one is tagged YELLOW from Yahoo Finance ("oversold" coverage), and one is tagged RED under RISK WATCH from Admirals, which covers a stock fall tied to 24-year high yields. The feed summaries are generic and do not contain specific fundamental catalysts. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the proprietary liquidity signal is a BULLISH LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND with severity 88 and a Macro Tailwind Score of 89/100, citing a 2.69x Net Liquidity beta and an r of -0.19. The same signal references a True Net Liquidity Index of $5,745.73B with a -0.64% 4-week rate of change and High-Yield OAS of +2 bps. This bullish macro signal contrasts with the RED risk-watch headline and the weak RQD fundamentals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE and there are no butterfly links. Upstream and downstream dependencies cannot be mapped from the source data. The only sector-level context is the Consumer Discretionary classification and the Other Specialty Stores industry. The liquidity elasticity signal implies that SPWH's price is highly sensitive to changes in net liquidity conditions, so a shift in that macro backdrop would be a second-order driver even without a defined supply-chain map. Investors should watch whether the liquidity regime holds, since the signal's bullish reading depends on it.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's product categories, store footprint, and revenue mix, given the source data gives only sector classification?
  • What is the current EPS and forward earnings estimate, since EPS is N/A for reported periods and P/E metrics are unavailable?
  • What explains the drop in reported free cash flow from $52.3M to $8.9M, and is the 21.21% FCF yield sustainable?
  • What is the company's debt maturity profile and liquidity runway, given cash of $1.7M against debt of $44.2M?
  • What is the source of the RED RISK WATCH item tied to 24-year high yields, and how does it affect financing costs?

SPWH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings Inc. (SPWH) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to SPWH Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SPWH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $1.06?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SPWH 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SPWH:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.94 (-12.1%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is SPWH (D- β€’ RQD 39/100) a Buy at $1.07?

Welcome to the SPWH (Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 39/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Other Specialty Stores. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.85 (-20.6%)
Spot @ $1.07

Pump the brakes on SPWH β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on SPWH, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 30.9% gross margins. Unless Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.22 (+14.0%)
Spot @ $1.07

SPWH cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on SPWH, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Other Specialty Stores and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.07 (52-wk range $1.03 - $2.56), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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