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SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$755.72 -0.38% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $757.02

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. As an exchange-traded fund, single-company GAAP gross margins, Altman-Z, and CEO Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for fund structure; its score reflects basket trend, institutional flow, and macro regime alignment.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate) →
ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $620.00B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SPY Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SPY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE: SPY) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $755.72 (-0.38% 1D, market cap $620.00B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 19/20, Executive Insider Alignment 17/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 40 tracked ETF / Index issuers, SPY ranks #10 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SPY compare to VOO and VTI in the ETF / Index sector?
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Within the ETF / Index sector (US Large-Cap Core Index), SPY carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of N/A (ETF), and ROIC of N/A (ETF). By comparison, VOO (Vanguard S&P 500 ETF) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $580.00B) and VTI (Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $465.00B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPY leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SPY leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SPY?
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For SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), key quantitative strengths include Diversified US Large-Cap Core Index basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk. and Institutional 13F desks and index options flow show constructive basket demand., while primary risk factors center on Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures. and Underlying index basket remains sensitive to Federal Reserve liquidity and Treasury yield swings.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $757.00 (+0.17%)🧬 ETF Open-End Share Creation/Redemption⚙️ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) • Liquid Basket
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
025507510070
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C
Fund (18)Whales (19)Struct (17)Macro (8)Flow (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target
$940 Bull$797 Base$620 Bear
📬 FREE SPY RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SPY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±1.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SPY SCORES 70/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+19/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±1.8% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (26% of score)

ETF liquidity & tracking efficiency ($620.00B AUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

ETF Open-End Share Creation/Redemption & executive Form 4 sales trim 12 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
78
Grade A-$778.01-1.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
75
Grade B+$769.05+0.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
73
Grade B$769.66-1.8% Next Q
Current
70
Grade B-$755.72+6.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: A- (78) → B- (70)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SPY Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, SPY faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Underlying index basket remains sensitive to Federal Reserve liquidity and Treasury yield swings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($767.14) or 200D SMA ($729.49) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($796.53) toward Bear Floor ($619.69).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SPY• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SPY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Quarterly Rebalance / Distribution) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 70%NO 30%Trade / Inspect Odds →
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

SPY Smart-Money Thermometer: ETF / Index Composite — N/A for Fund Structure

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (SPY)

ETF / Index Composite — N/A for Fund Structure (single-company corporate executive Form 4 filings do not apply to index funds). Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (SPY Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
SPY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +5.25%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $758.7H $758.7L $755.7C $755.7VOL 77.14M
RES: $782.8SUP: $751.0SMA50: $767.1SMA200: $729.5
$789.3$757.4$725.4$693.4$661.5RES $782.8SUP $751.0$755.72026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SPY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SPY Butterfly Map → + Track SPY →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
ETF / Index Composite — N/A for Fund Structure

Single-issuer corporate Reverse-DCF growth hurdles do not apply to index funds or ETFs.

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
DEVELOPING · Index 50D Trend Continuation

Trigger: $764.79 • Invalidation: $736.07

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SPY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video 💡 One Event, Five Markets: 10Y Real Yields vs. SPY, TLT, GLD, USO & IBIT (soren-halewick) 💡 Starter Kit: Rate-Cut & Treasury Duration Proxies (soren-halewick) 🏛️ PROPOSAL: Chassis and Subassemblies From China; Determinations (International Trade Commission) 🏛️ COMMENT_RULEMAKING: Antidumping or Countervailing Duty Order, Finding, or Suspended Investigation; Opportunity To Request Administrative Review and Join Annual Inquiry Service List; Note Regarding Format of Review Requests (Commerce Department • International Trade Administration) 🎬 Curated Video: Tech Stocks Tank, Final Countdown to Midterm Elections (Bloomberg Television) →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SPY)

ETF / Index Rank #10 of 40 ⚔️ VOO vs SPY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head ETF / Index Peer Comparison (SPY vs. VOO, VTI, QQQ, GLD)

Industry: US Large-Cap Core Index (2 Tracked Issuers)

Across 40 tracked ETF / Index securities in the Roarable RQD universe, SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) ranks #10 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #1 by equity capitalization ($620.00B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SPY leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while SPY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with ETF composite structure and benchmark tracking. SPY currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 70/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SPY ACTIVE
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
B- 70/100 — — — -0.38% $620.00B Benchmark Subject
VOO
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
C+ 66/100 — — — -0.36% $580.00B /voo-vs-spy →
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
C 64/100 — — — -0.25% $465.00B /vti-vs-spy →
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust (Nasdaq-100)
C 64/100 — — — -1.44% $325.00B /qqq-vs-spy →
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares Trust
D- 39/100 — — — -1.34% $82.00B /gld-vs-spy →

2. SPY ETF Structure, Technical Regime & Benchmark Role Breakdown

EXCHANGE-TRADED FUND / COMPOSITE VEHICLE • NYSE

Because SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) is structured as an exchange-traded fund / composite basket rather than a single operating corporation filing 10-K GAAP income statements, Roarable evaluates SPY on technical trend regime, moving-average dispersion, 52-week range positioning, relative strength (RSI-14), and secondary-market share volume liquidity. At $755.72, SPY trades vs. its 50-day SMA of $767.14 and 200-day SMA of $729.49 on daily liquidity of 77,142,196 shares.

50D SMA Level
$767.14
Medium-Term Trend Anchor
200D SMA Level
$729.49
Institutional Secular Line
52-Week Range Pos
83.0%
$629.28 – $781.62
RSI-14 Momentum
40.2
NEUTRAL RANGE
Volume Liquidity
77,142,196
AUM Cap $620.00B

3. SPY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SPY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE: SPY) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $755.72 (-0.38% 1D, market cap $620.00B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 19/20, Executive Insider Alignment 17/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 40 tracked ETF / Index issuers, SPY ranks #10 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SPY compare to VOO and VTI in the ETF / Index sector?

Within the ETF / Index sector (US Large-Cap Core Index), SPY carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of N/A (ETF), and ROIC of N/A (ETF). By comparison, VOO (Vanguard S&P 500 ETF) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $580.00B) and VTI (Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $465.00B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPY leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SPY leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SPY?

For SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), key quantitative strengths include Diversified US Large-Cap Core Index basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk. and Institutional 13F desks and index options flow show constructive basket demand., while primary risk factors center on Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures. and Underlying index basket remains sensitive to Federal Reserve liquidity and Treasury yield swings.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SPY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SPY last traded at $755.72 (-0.38% on volume of 77,142,196 shares), positioning the stock -1.49% below its 50-day simple moving average ($767.14) and +3.60% above its 200-day simple moving average ($729.49). Across its 52-week range of $629.28 to $781.62, SPY sits at the 83.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±1.8% ($742.12 to $769.32).

SPY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are SPY insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies SPY leadership and institutional positioning as: ETF / Index Composite — N/A for Fund Structure.

Direct Sub-Reports: SPY RQD Cockpit SPY 12M Forecast SPY Earnings & Move SPY Dividends & DRIP SPY Insiders & 13F SPY Whale Options SPY Profit Sankey SPY News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 70/100 (B-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

SPY — SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:07:42Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, SPY scores 70 (B-), labeled "Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation (ETF Composite Methodology)." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 18 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 0% and FCF yield of 0%. For a fund vehicle, these metrics are structurally not meaningful in the way they are for an operating company, so this pillar should be read with that caveat.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 19 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. This is the strongest pillar and the main driver of the composite score.
  • Insider Conviction: 8 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. It is a weaker reading.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 8 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. A beta of 1.0 means the fund is rated as moving in line with the broad market, so it offers no defensive differentiation on this measure.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 17 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5.

For a prospective investor, the composite reads as institutional demand is strong and the forensic profile is sound, while the insider-flow and macro-fit pillars are weaker. Upside drivers in this framework are institutional accumulation and options positioning. The valuation tradeoff is that the rating does not include P/E, EV/EBITDA, or EPS, which are not available in the source data, so valuation cannot be assessed from these sources. Macro fit is the key risk to the composite: with beta of 1.0 and a macro-fit score of 8/20, the fund's path tracks the broad market rather than insulating against it. This is an analytical summary, not personalized financial advice.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, all six items relate to SPY and carry labels of either MARKET WIRE or CATALYST:

  • Investing.com (1h ago), YELLOW, MARKET WIRE: A report on SPY sliding today, covering market action and positioning.
  • Yahoo Finance (3h ago), YELLOW, MARKET WIRE: A report on SPY purchasing additional NVIDIA shares on Oct. 28 (per the headline, $105.5 million).
  • CNBC (6h ago), GREEN, CATALYST: A report that stocks reached a record high while two bearish trades point to skepticism.
  • The Motley Fool (9h ago), YELLOW, MARKET WIRE: A report on profiting during a market crash, based on a 33-year history.
  • Benzinga (12h ago), YELLOW, MARKET WIRE: A daily open-direction preview for the S&P 500.
  • US News Money (15h ago), GREEN, CATALYST: A report on five ETFs that outperform the S&P 500.

Risk watch items: the most recent headline reports SPY sliding, consistent with the market data showing a -0.38% change, and the CNBC piece notes bearish positioning. Proprietary signals: Not available in source data beyond the Butterfly graph, which lists none.

Open Questions

  • What are SPY's holdings weights, and how concentrated is the index exposure in its largest constituents?
  • Are there earnings, P/E, or EV/EBITDA metrics applicable to an ETF composite that could validate the valuation view?
  • What are the actual 13F institutional holder and Form 4 / Congressional trade details behind the 19/20 and 8/20 pillar scores?
  • How do the 0% margin and ROIC figures reconcile with a fund structure, and what fund-level financial data would replace them?
  • What is the fund's realized beta and sector sensitivity versus the 1.0 figure, particularly during the current drawdown indicated by the 52-week range?

SPY Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SPY Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SPY Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $755.72?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SPY 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SPY:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $891.75 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is SPY (B- • RQD 70/100) a Buy at $755.72?

Welcome to the SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 70/100 (Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation (ETF Composite Methodology)) in US Large-Cap Core Index. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $612.13 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $755.72

Pump the brakes on SPY — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on SPY, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $921.98 (+22.0%)
Spot @ $755.72

SPY cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on SPY, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in US Large-Cap Core Index and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $755.72 (52-wk range $629.28 - $781.62), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%