DBA Sempra (SRE) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$86.06 +0.20% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $85.93

DBA Sempra (SRE) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $56.16B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SRE Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SRE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, DBA Sempra (NYSE: SRE) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $86.06 (+0.20% 1D, market cap $56.16B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, SRE ranks #112 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SRE compare to MPLX and TRP in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Natural Gas Distribution), SRE carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 30.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 3.3%. By comparison, MPLX (MPLX LP Common) holds a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 13.1x, ROIC 19.3%, cap $60.72B) and TRP (TC Energy Corporation) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $64.33B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MPLX leads on earnings multiple (13.1x) while TRGP leads on capital efficiency (33.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SRE?
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Per SRE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001032208), DBA Sempra generated $12.42B in revenue (+5.1% YoY), $1.84B in net income, and $4.01B in free cash flow against $110.88B in total assets and $25.95B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $85.93 (-0.15%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 32.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510056
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D
Cash (10)Whales (12)SEC (9)Macro (10)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target
$106 Bull$85 Base$67 Bear
📬 FREE SRE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SRE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SRE SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±3.2% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 11 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
48
Grade D$82.37+0.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
51
Grade C-$82.81+2.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
53
Grade C-$85.01+1.2% Next Q
Current
56
Grade D+$86.06-0.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (48) → D+ (56)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SRE Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, SRE faces multiple-compression risk if 30.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($82.31) or 200D SMA ($89.41) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($85.29) toward Bear Floor ($66.53).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SRE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SRE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
64.630 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
1.17>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
8 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE40% OF RANGE
L: $76$86.06H: $101
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C+RQD 27 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 19 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on SRE

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (50)

3.3% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 7.13% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (45)

Altman-Z 1.17 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (62)

27/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like SRE
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SRE)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SRE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
SRE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.82%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $84.67H $86.06L $84.67C $86.06VOL 2.74M
RES: $87.04SUP: $72.93SMA50: $82.31SMA200: $89.41
$97.41$91.66$85.92$80.17$74.43RES $87.04SUP $72.93$86.062026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SRE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
23.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SRE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SRE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SRE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SRE)

Energy Rank #112 of 211 ⚔️ MPLX vs SRE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (SRE vs. MPLX, TRP, TRGP, KMI)

Industry: Natural Gas Distribution (25 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, DBA Sempra (SRE) ranks #112 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #34 by equity capitalization ($56.16B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MPLX leads on earnings valuation at 13.1x trailing P/E, while TRGP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.0% ROIC and 38.3% gross margin. MPLX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with SRE at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SRE ACTIVE
DBA Sempra
D+ 56/100 30.6x — 3.3% +0.20% $56.16B Benchmark Subject
MPLX
MPLX LP Common
B+ 77/100 13.1x — 19.3% +0.45% $60.72B /mplx-vs-sre →
TRP
TC Energy Corporation
C 65/100 32.8x — 9.9% +0.26% $64.33B /trp-vs-sre →
TRGP
Targa Resources Inc.
B 72/100 34.8x 38.3% 33.0% +0.84% $66.98B /trgp-vs-sre →
KMI
Kinder Morgan Inc.
C+ 67/100 24.8x — 6.0% -0.29% $75.68B /kmi-vs-sre →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001032208

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), DBA Sempra (SRE) reported GAAP revenue of $12.42B (+5.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $11.82B , and -16.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.84B, operating cash flow of $4.57B, and free cash flow of $4.01B (-8.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, SRE closed FY2025 with $110.88B in total assets against $25.95B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.17, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $12.42B $1.84B $4.57B $4.01B $110.88B $25.95B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $11.82B $2.86B $4.91B $4.38B $96.16B $22.50B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $14.85B $3.08B $6.22B $5.55B $30.89B $7.23B

3. SRE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SRE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, DBA Sempra (NYSE: SRE) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $86.06 (+0.20% 1D, market cap $56.16B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, SRE ranks #112 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SRE compare to MPLX and TRP in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Natural Gas Distribution), SRE carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 30.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 3.3%. By comparison, MPLX (MPLX LP Common) holds a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 13.1x, ROIC 19.3%, cap $60.72B) and TRP (TC Energy Corporation) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $64.33B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MPLX leads on earnings multiple (13.1x) while TRGP leads on capital efficiency (33.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SRE?

Per SRE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001032208), DBA Sempra generated $12.42B in revenue (+5.1% YoY), $1.84B in net income, and $4.01B in free cash flow against $110.88B in total assets and $25.95B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SRE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SRE last traded at $86.06 (+0.20% on volume of 2,943,445 shares), positioning the stock +4.56% above its 50-day simple moving average ($82.31) and -3.75% below its 200-day simple moving average ($89.41). Across its 52-week range of $76.21 to $101.04, SRE sits at the 39.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 64.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.2% ($83.31 to $88.81).

SRE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell SRE stock right now?

DBA Sempra (SRE) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 56/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 31x P/E (3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is SRE's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

SRE's 12-month base price target is $85.29 (range $66.53 to $106.09), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 56/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

SRE — DBA Sempra: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:10:56Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, SRE scores 56 out of 100 with a letter grade of D+ and a verdict of "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." Across the five pillars: Fundamental Cash Engine scores 10/20 (ROIC 3.3%; FCF yield 7.13%), Whale 13F Flow scores 12/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction scores 15/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit scores 10/20 (Beta 1; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet scores 9/20 (Altman Z 1.17; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.71).

The weakest pillars are the cash engine and the balance sheet, which the rating flags as the main drags. Insider and institutional flow register as the relative strengths. For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating's implications are: returns on invested capital are low relative to the valuation multiples shown in the market data (P/E TTM 30.6, EV/EBITDA 28.9), so upside depends on earnings growth or multiple stability rather than current capital efficiency; the 7.13% FCF yield provides some cash-generation support; and the Altman Z-Score sits in a range the rating treats as weak, which raises the sensitivity of the equity to financing conditions. The Piotroski score of 8/9 indicates solid recent financial-health signals even though the overall rating is weak.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
85.89$56.16B30.628.528.92.812.85%1$76.21 - $101.043.3%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$12418.0M$2167.7M$1837.0MN/A$4006.2M$29.0M$25945.5M
FY 2024$11818.0M$3377.2M$2862.0MN/A$4375.2M$1565.0M$22500.3M
FY 2023$14848.0M$3628.5M$3075.0MN/A$5549.8MN/A$7228.2M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $11818.0M in FY 2024 to $12418.0M in FY 2025 while net income declined from $2862.0M to $1837.0M, and debt increased from $22500.3M to $25945.5M. Per the market data, ROIC is 3.3%, net margin is 14.8%, and gross margin is reported as 0%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 1.17, the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.71. Reported cash fell to $29.0M in FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • RISK WATCH (RED): A TradingView headline reports a 12-month price target cut to $98.68, implying 20% upside.
  • MARKET WIRE (YELLOW): A TradingView item previews a Q3'26 earnings revenue estimate of 3.31B USD.
  • MARKET WIRE (YELLOW): Stock Traders Daily coverage on institutional positioning (headline is partially garbled in source).
  • CATALYST (GREEN): A Q2 2026 earnings item reports DBA Sempra beat the EPS estimate by 8.5% as shares edged higher.
  • MARKET WIRE (YELLOW): Stock Traders Daily coverage on real-time movement signals.
  • MARKET WIRE (YELLOW): Coverage of the 5.750% Junior Subordinated Notes (SREA) holding near $19; the source headline is partially garbled.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain links or proprietary signals are recorded.

Open Questions

  • What is the breakdown of revenue and earnings by business segment and geography, and what drove the FY 2025 decline in net income?
  • What explains the reported FY 2025 cash balance of $29.0M alongside $4006.2M of FCF and a $25945.5M debt load?
  • Why is gross margin reported as 0% while operating margin is 18%?
  • What is the basis for the reported EPS being "N/A" for all three fiscal years when EPS (TTM) is listed as 2.81?
  • What institutional or insider ownership figures support the RQD whale and insider pillar scores, given that holder data is absent?

SRE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for DBA Sempra (SRE) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SRE Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SRE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $86.06?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SRE 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SRE:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $92.76 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is SRE (D+ • RQD 56/100) a Buy at $85.89?

Welcome to the SRE (DBA Sempra) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 56/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Natural Gas Distribution. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (30.6x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $70.43 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $85.89

Pump the brakes on SRE — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on SRE, but look at what you are paying: 30.6x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless DBA Sempra expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $103.93 (+21.0%)
Spot @ $85.89

SRE cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on SRE, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Natural Gas Distribution and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $85.89 (52-wk range $76.21 - $101.04), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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