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Stock Ratings / Communication Services / STGW / earnings
WPP (61) IBTA (67) CRTO (52) MNTN (60) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Stagwell Inc. (Class A) (STGW) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12% Move

$10.77 +2.87% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.81

Stagwell Inc. (Class A) (STGW) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.60B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on STGW Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is STGW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Stagwell Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: STGW) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $10.77 (+2.87% 1D, market cap $2.60B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, STGW ranks #31 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does STGW compare to WPP and IBTA in the Communication Services sector?
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Within the Communication Services sector (Advertising), STGW carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 79.4x, gross margin of 36.5%, and ROIC of 6.3%. By comparison, WPP (WPP plc) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.86B) and IBTA (Ibotta Inc. (Class A)) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.7%, cap $1.13B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CRTO leads on earnings multiple (4.9x) while MNTN leads on capital efficiency (19.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STGW?
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Per STGW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000876883), Stagwell Inc. (Class A) generated $2.91B in revenue (+2.4% YoY), $30.6M in net income, and $247.3M in free cash flow against $4.21B in total assets and $1.33B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 79x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.81 (+0.33%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 8.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510061
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C+ · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (17)SEC (10)Macro (11)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.4% Base Target
$13 Bull$11 Base$9 Bear
📬 FREE STGW RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for STGW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY STGW SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (28% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.5% FCF Margin ($247.3M FCF) & 36.5% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
53
Grade C-$9.13-2.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
56
Grade C$8.94-1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
58
Grade C$8.85+21.7% Next Q
Current
61
Grade C-$10.77+0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (53) → C- (61)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the STGW Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, STGW faces multiple-compression risk if 79.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 79x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($8.77) or 200D SMA ($7.22) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($10.92) toward Bear Floor ($8.52).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $STGW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “STGW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 61%NO 39%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12% Swing Band

±$1.29 Expected Swing
$9.48 (-12%)Spot $10.77$12.06 (+12%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

STGW Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 61/100

Trailing EPS: $0.13 • YoY Revenue Growth: 2.4%

Model Bullish Setup (61/100)Model Risk Weight (39/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$2.91B$30.6M$247.3M36.5%
FY 20242024-12-31$2.84B$25.0M$123.9M35.1%
FY 20232023-12-31$2.53B$41.6M$81.0M36.5%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating STGW & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on STGW
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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STGW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +70.41%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $9.95H $10.77L $9.95C $10.77VOL 4.16M
RES: $11.91SUP: $8.31SMA50: $8.77SMA200: $7.22
$11.14$9.62$8.11$6.59$5.08RES $11.91SUP $8.31$10.772026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

STGW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 STGW Butterfly Map → + Track STGW →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on STGW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for STGW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for STGW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (STGW)

Communication Services Rank #31 of 132 ⚔️ WPP vs STGW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (STGW vs. WPP, IBTA, CRTO, MNTN)

Industry: Advertising (23 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Stagwell Inc. (Class A) (STGW) ranks #31 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #54 by equity capitalization ($2.60B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CRTO leads on earnings valuation at 4.9x trailing P/E, while MNTN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.9% ROIC and 77.2% gross margin. IBTA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with STGW at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
STGW ACTIVE
Stagwell Inc. (Class A)
C- 61/100 79.4x 36.5% 6.3% +2.87% $2.60B Benchmark Subject
WPP
WPP plc
C- 61/100 — — — +0.52% $5.86B /wpp-vs-stgw →
IBTA
Ibotta Inc. (Class A)
C+ 67/100 — 79.2% -0.7% +2.98% $1.13B /ibta-vs-stgw →
CRTO
Criteo S.A.
D+ 52/100 4.9x 54.0% 19.8% +2.18% $717.8M /crto-vs-stgw →
MNTN
MNTN Inc. (Class A)
C- 60/100 — 77.2% 19.9% +0.64% $699.4M /mntn-vs-stgw →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000876883 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Stagwell Inc. (Class A) (STGW) reported GAAP revenue of $2.91B (+2.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.84B , and +15.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $30.6M, operating cash flow of $291.0M, and free cash flow of $247.3M (+99.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, STGW closed FY2025 with $4.21B in total assets against $1.33B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.16, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.91B $30.6M $291.0M $247.3M $4.21B $1.33B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.84B $25.0M $142.9M $123.9M $3.91B $1.35B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.53B $41.6M $81.0M $81.0M — —

3. STGW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is STGW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Stagwell Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: STGW) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $10.77 (+2.87% 1D, market cap $2.60B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, STGW ranks #31 in composite RQD confidence.

How does STGW compare to WPP and IBTA in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Advertising), STGW carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 79.4x, gross margin of 36.5%, and ROIC of 6.3%. By comparison, WPP (WPP plc) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.86B) and IBTA (Ibotta Inc. (Class A)) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.7%, cap $1.13B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CRTO leads on earnings multiple (4.9x) while MNTN leads on capital efficiency (19.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STGW?

Per STGW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000876883), Stagwell Inc. (Class A) generated $2.91B in revenue (+2.4% YoY), $30.6M in net income, and $247.3M in free cash flow against $4.21B in total assets and $1.33B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 79x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is STGW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

STGW last traded at $10.77 (+2.87% on volume of 2,973,219 shares), positioning the stock +22.81% above its 50-day simple moving average ($8.77) and +49.17% above its 200-day simple moving average ($7.22). Across its 52-week range of $4.29 to $10.61, STGW sits at the 100.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 69.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.0% ($9.48 to $12.06).

Direct Sub-Reports: STGW RQD Cockpit STGW 12M Forecast STGW Earnings & Move STGW Dividends & DRIP STGW Insiders & 13F STGW Whale Options STGW Profit Sankey STGW News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 61/100 (C-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

STGW — Stagwell Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Stagwell Inc. (Class A) (STGW) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 61/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $10.77 (+2.87% 1D, market capitalization $2.60B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 6.3%, gross margin of 36.5%, operating margin of 5.5%, and free cash flow yield of 10.17%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (17/20) + Insider Conviction (11/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.16, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.75x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Stagwell Inc. (Class A) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Communication Services sector, operating in the Advertising industry. The company reported FY 2025 revenue of $2.91B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Stagwell Inc. (Class A) (STGW) reported $2.91B in annual revenue (up from $2.84B in FY2024, +2.4% YoY) and $30.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.53B revenue, $41.6M net income) through FY2025, STGW scaled operating cash flow to $291.0M and free cash flow to $247.3M, backed by $4.21B in total assets against $1.33B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 61/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Free cash flow yield of 10.17% and institutional whale pillar of 17/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 17/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $4.29 – $10.61 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Priced at 79x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Investors must weigh 79.4x trailing P/E and 18.6x EV/EBITDA against 5.5% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Advertising (Communication Services), STGW carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 36.5%.

  • Key Question #1: Can STGW sustain or expand its 5.5% operating margin and 6.3% ROIC against Advertising peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.91B and free cash flow of $247.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.33B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is STGW's 73.8x forward P/E multiple to Communication Services capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

STGW Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Stagwell Inc. (Class A) (STGW) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to STGW Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

STGW Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $10.77?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON STGW 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on STGW:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $12.56 (+20.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Institutional accumulation and a 10.17% FCF yield signal strong cash-flow support and investor interest despite a thin ROIC.

Long STGW at $10.47 targeting $12.56. Institutional accumulation and a 10.17% FCF yield signal strong cash-flow support and investor interest despite a thin ROIC.. Institutional whale score is 17/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $4.29 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@SkepticalCFA Shorting a 17/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $10.47 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Communication Services.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.85 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $10.47

A 79.4 TTM P/E on a $0.13 EPS base, combined with an Altman Z of 1.16 and Debt/Equity of 1.75, leaves the stock exposed to valuation an

I respect the product at Stagwell Inc. (Class A), but the stock at $10.47 is a different story. A 79.4 TTM P/E on a $0.13 EPS base, combined with an Altman Z of 1.16 and Debt/Equity of 1.75, leaves the stock exposed to valuation and balance-sheet stress.. FCF yield is 10.17% and RQD sits at 61/100 (C-) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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