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Southwest Gas Holdings Inc. (SWX) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$93.73 +0.70% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $93.67

Southwest Gas Holdings Inc. (SWX) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $6.74B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SWX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Southwest Gas Holdings Inc. (NYSE: SWX) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $93.73 (+0.70% 1D, market cap $6.74B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 10/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, SWX ranks #130 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SWX compare to LB and MGY in the Energy sector?
▼

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), SWX carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.5%. By comparison, LB (LandBridge Corporation (Class A)) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 88.2x, ROIC 10.8%, cap $6.44B) and MGY (Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 21.6x, ROIC 21.2%, cap $7.10B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VAL leads on earnings multiple (7.2x) while MGY leads on capital efficiency (21.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SWX?
▼

Per SWX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001692115), Southwest Gas Holdings Inc. generated $1.33B in revenue (+16.6% YoY), $439.8M in net income, and -$251.8M in free cash flow against $10.43B in total assets and $3.43B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $93.67 (-0.06%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510050
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (4)Whales (14)SEC (12)Macro (10)CEO (10)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
$107 Bull$90 Base$70 Bear
📬 FREE SWX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SWX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SWX SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (28% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±3.9% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.31 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$85.30+3.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
45
Grade D$88.42+4.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$92.49+1.3% Next Q
Current
50
Grade D$93.73-1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (42) → D (50)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SWX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SWX currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($87.10) and Max Pain ($98.42) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $106.62.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SWX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SWX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 50%NO 50%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your SWX Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $93.73: 106.7 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $70.48
$7,519
$-2,481 (-24.8%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $90.36
$9,640
$-360 (-3.6%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $106.62
$11,375
+$1,375 (+13.8%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$9474%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$10069%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$8058%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SWX)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SWX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SWX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.71%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $93.12H $93.73L $93.08C $93.73VOL 590.9K
RES: $94.42SUP: $77.27SMA50: $87.10SMA200: $88.37
$95.46$91.36$87.25$83.15$79.05RES $94.42SUP $77.27$93.732026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SWX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SWX Butterfly Map → + Track SWX →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
7.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +16.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SWX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SWX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SWX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SWX)

Energy Rank #130 of 211 ⚔️ LB vs SWX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (SWX vs. LB, MGY, MUR, VAL)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Southwest Gas Holdings Inc. (SWX) ranks #130 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #73 by equity capitalization ($6.74B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VAL leads on earnings valuation at 7.2x trailing P/E, while MGY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.2% ROIC and — gross margin. MGY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with SWX at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SWX ACTIVE
Southwest Gas Holdings Inc.
D 50/100 15.3x — 5.5% +0.70% $6.74B Benchmark Subject
LB
LandBridge Corporation (Class A)
C+ 67/100 88.2x — 10.8% -5.01% $6.44B /lb-vs-swx →
MGY
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation
B 75/100 21.6x — 21.2% -5.47% $7.10B /mgy-vs-swx →
MUR
Murphy Oil Corporation
D+ 53/100 58.9x 96.0% 3.6% -8.62% $6.30B /mur-vs-swx →
VAL
Valaris Limited
B 73/100 7.2x — 10.3% -10.09% $7.31B /val-vs-swx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001692115 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Southwest Gas Holdings Inc. (SWX) reported GAAP revenue of $1.33B (+16.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.14B , and -75.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $439.8M, operating cash flow of $556.1M, and free cash flow of -$251.8M (-149.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, SWX closed FY2025 with $10.43B in total assets against $3.43B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.31, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.33B $439.8M $556.1M -$251.8M $10.43B $3.43B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.14B $198.8M $1.36B $509.2M $12.07B $3.50B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $5.43B $150.9M $509.2M $264.7M $6.52B $1.53B

3. SWX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SWX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Southwest Gas Holdings Inc. (NYSE: SWX) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $93.73 (+0.70% 1D, market cap $6.74B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 10/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, SWX ranks #130 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SWX compare to LB and MGY in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), SWX carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.5%. By comparison, LB (LandBridge Corporation (Class A)) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 88.2x, ROIC 10.8%, cap $6.44B) and MGY (Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 21.6x, ROIC 21.2%, cap $7.10B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VAL leads on earnings multiple (7.2x) while MGY leads on capital efficiency (21.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SWX?

Per SWX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001692115), Southwest Gas Holdings Inc. generated $1.33B in revenue (+16.6% YoY), $439.8M in net income, and -$251.8M in free cash flow against $10.43B in total assets and $3.43B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SWX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SWX last traded at $93.73 (+0.70% on volume of 671,802 shares), positioning the stock +7.61% above its 50-day simple moving average ($87.10) and +6.07% above its 200-day simple moving average ($88.37). Across its 52-week range of $76.99 to $94.47, SWX sits at the 95.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 71.6 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.9% ($90.07 to $97.39).

Direct Sub-Reports: SWX RQD Cockpit SWX 12M Forecast SWX Earnings & Move SWX Dividends & DRIP SWX Insiders & 13F SWX Whale Options SWX Profit Sankey SWX News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 50/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SWX — Southwest Gas Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Southwest Gas Holdings Inc. (SWX) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 50/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $93.73 (+0.70% 1D, market capitalization $6.74B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (4/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 5.5%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 25.1%, and free cash flow yield of -3.73%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (10/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 0.88x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.31, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.87x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Southwest Gas Holdings Inc. Common Stock (DE) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, classified in the Oil & Gas Production industry,. The profile does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model. Revenue for FY 2025 and FY 2024 is reported as — in the SEC financials, and gross margin is listed as 0% in the market data, so the revenue model cannot be determined from the source data. — for the specific products sold and customer base.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Southwest Gas Holdings Inc. (SWX) reported $1.33B in annual revenue (up from $1.14B in FY2024, +16.6% YoY) and $439.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($5.43B revenue, $150.9M net income) through FY2025, SWX scaled operating cash flow to $556.1M and free cash flow to -$251.8M, backed by $10.43B in total assets against $3.43B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 50/100): Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -3.73% and institutional whale pillar of 14/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 4/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $76.99 – $94.47 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 15.3x trailing P/E and 8.3x EV/EBITDA against 25.1% operating margins and a 0.88x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The source data therefore does not document upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector correlations for SWX. Watch items drawn from the other sections: the negative FCF yield (-3.73%) and FY 2025 FCF of -$251.8M suggest capital-intensity pressure should be monitored, and the RED-flagged price target cut is a sentiment signal worth tracking. Beyond these, — for specific second-order bottlenecks.

  • Key Question #1: Can SWX sustain or expand its 25.1% operating margin and 5.5% ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.33B and free cash flow of -$251.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $3.43B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is SWX's 14.2x forward P/E multiple to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.88x)?

SWX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Southwest Gas Holdings Inc. (SWX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SWX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SWX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $93.73?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SWX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SWX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $110.77 (+19.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Institutional accumulation and options positioning score 15/20 in the RQD rating, and the stock trades at a 14.2 forward P/E with a 2.6

Don't sleep on SWX's setup in Energy. Institutional accumulation and options positioning score 15/20 in the RQD rating, and the stock trades at a 14.2 forward P/E with a 2.65% dividend yield.. Beta of 0.88 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (50/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Fair point on 15.3x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Oil & Gas Production. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $76.33 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $93.08

The fundamental cash engine scores only 4/20 with a -3.73% FCF yield and FY 2025 FCF of -$251.8M, weighing heavily on the overall ratin

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on SWX: The fundamental cash engine scores only 4/20 with a -3.73% FCF yield and FY 2025 FCF of -$251.8M, weighing heavily on the overall rating.. At 15.3x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Oil & Gas Production triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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