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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / THCH / earnings
LVO (28) STKS (23) GENK (19) MB (48) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

TH International Limited (THCH) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±10.9% Move

$1.19 -2.06% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.18

TH International Limited (THCH) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $40.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on THCH Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is THCH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, TH International Limited (NASDAQ: THCH) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $1.19 (-2.06% 1D, market cap $40.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, THCH ranks #550 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does THCH compare to LVO and STKS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), THCH carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, LVO (LiveOne Inc.) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $43.3M) and STKS (The ONE Group Hospitality Inc.) posts a E grade (23/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.5%, cap $34.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, THCH leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while STKS leads on capital efficiency (2.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for THCH?
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For TH International Limited (THCH), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #550 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.18 (-0.56%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510051
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (8)SEC (13)Macro (9)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.4% Base Target
$3 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE THCH RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for THCH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY THCH SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0% FCF Margin ($1.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
43
Grade D$1.07-6.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
46
Grade D$1.00+12% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
48
Grade D$1.12+6.2% Next Q
Current
51
Grade D$1.19-1.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (43) → D (51)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a THCH Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While THCH currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.23) and Max Pain ($1.25) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.41.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $THCH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “THCH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 51%NO 49%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Upcoming Quarter (~28 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±10.9% Swing Band

±$0.13 Expected Swing
$1.06 (-10.9%)Spot $1.19$1.32 (+10.9%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

THCH Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 51/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (51/100)Model Risk Weight (49/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring THCH)

  • ✓Walkthrough of THCH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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THCH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -43.87%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $1.21H $1.22L $1.19C $1.19VOL 60.3K
RES: $1.49SUP: $0.98SMA50: $1.23SMA200: $1.73
$2.47$2.07$1.67$1.27$0.88RES $1.49SUP $0.98$1.192026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

THCH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 THCH Butterfly Map → + Track THCH →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on THCH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for THCH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for THCH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (THCH)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #550 of 1011 ⚔️ LVO vs THCH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (THCH vs. LVO, STKS, GENK, MB)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TH International Limited (THCH) ranks #550 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #837 by equity capitalization ($40.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, THCH leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while STKS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.5% ROIC and — gross margin. THCH currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
THCH ACTIVE
TH International Limited
D 51/100 — — — -2.06% $40.4M Benchmark Subject
LVO
LiveOne Inc.
E 28/100 — 15.9% -35.0% -6.96% $43.3M /lvo-vs-thch →
STKS
The ONE Group Hospitality Inc.
E 23/100 — — 2.5% 0.00% $34.9M /stks-vs-thch →
GENK
GEN Restaurant Group Inc. (Class A)
E 19/100 — — -35.0% -8.59% $56.9M /genk-vs-thch →
MB
MasterBeef Group
D 48/100 — — — +3.68% $65.2M /mb-vs-thch →

2. THCH Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

TH International Limited (THCH) operates in Restaurants (Consumer Discretionary) with an equity capitalization of $40.4M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. THCH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is THCH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, TH International Limited (NASDAQ: THCH) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $1.19 (-2.06% 1D, market cap $40.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, THCH ranks #550 in composite RQD confidence.

How does THCH compare to LVO and STKS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), THCH carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, LVO (LiveOne Inc.) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $43.3M) and STKS (The ONE Group Hospitality Inc.) posts a E grade (23/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.5%, cap $34.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, THCH leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while STKS leads on capital efficiency (2.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for THCH?

For TH International Limited (THCH), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #550 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is THCH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

THCH last traded at $1.19 (-2.06% on volume of 35,870 shares), positioning the stock -3.25% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.23) and -31.21% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.73). Across its 52-week range of $1.00 to $3.25, THCH sits at the 8.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.9% ($1.06 to $1.32).

THCH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is THCH's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, TH International Limited (THCH)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Upcoming Quarter.

How much is THCH stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±10.9% event move for THCH, spanning a range between $1.06 and $1.32.

Direct Sub-Reports: THCH RQD Cockpit THCH 12M Forecast THCH Earnings & Move THCH Dividends & DRIP THCH Insiders & 13F THCH Whale Options THCH Profit Sankey THCH News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 51/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

THCH — TH International Limited: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:19:26Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, THCH scores 51 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 12 of 20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%), Whale 13F Flow at 8 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 9 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 9 of 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13 of 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the cash-engine pillar is the weakest link: a 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield indicate that, per the source data, the business is not currently generating a return on capital or free cash flow relative to its valuation. The flow and insider pillars are also below midpoint, meaning the source data shows limited institutional and insider support. The forensic balance sheet pillar is the strongest contributor, with an Altman Z of 2.5, a Piotroski F of 6 of 9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5, which suggests the balance sheet is comparatively more sound than the earnings and flow signals. Macro fit at a beta of 1.0 implies market-level sensitivity without a defensive offset. Taken together, the rating frames the stock as a distribution-risk name, and any upside thesis would need to rest on factors outside the scored pillars, which the source data does not provide.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news wire contains five items, all tagged to THCH and carrying a YELLOW light and MARKET WIRE impact label. They include a TradingView estimates report, a Yahoo! Finance Canada item that references Cannae Holdings (CNNE) in its headline, a MarketBeat item on the Q3 2026 earnings date and estimates, a report headlined as the stock sliding 13.42% to $1.00 while testing a critical support zone, and a Yahoo! Finance Canada item that references ABR Holdings Limited (533.SI) in its headline. The summaries are generic and do not state specific fundamental developments. The sliding-price headline is the most relevant risk watch item, as it describes a decline toward support. The earnings-date item is a timing catalyst but the source data does not state the date. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE and no proprietary signals are present.

Open Questions

  • What are THCH's revenue, operating income, and net income for recent reported periods, given that the financials section is empty?
  • What are the forward and trailing earnings and valuation multiples, since P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS are all unavailable?
  • Who holds the shares, and are there any 13F, Form 4, or Congressional trades to assess institutional or insider conviction?
  • What is the specific business model and revenue source in the Restaurants industry?
  • What is the earnings date and what do consensus estimates expect for the upcoming quarter?

THCH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for TH International Limited (THCH) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to THCH Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 146d ago
TH International Q1 Earnings Call Highlights

TH International (NASDAQ:THCH), the operator of Tims China, reported weaker first-quarter 2026 sales as management continued to close underperforming stores, reduce discount-driven promotions and shift resources toward f

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

THCH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.19?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON THCH 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on THCH:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $1.32 (+8.2%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is THCH (D • RQD 51/100) a Buy at $1.22?

Welcome to the THCH (TH International Limited) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 51/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Restaurants. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.94 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $1.22

Pump the brakes on THCH — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on THCH, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless TH International Limited expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.42 (+16.4%)
Spot @ $1.22

THCH cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on THCH, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Restaurants and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.22 (52-wk range $1.00 - $3.25), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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