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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / THCH / forecast
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TH International Limited (THCH) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$1.19 -0.42% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.19

TH International Limited (THCH) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $39.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is THCH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, TH International Limited (NASDAQ: THCH) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $1.19 (-0.42% 1D, market cap $39.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, THCH ranks #601 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does THCH compare to LVO and STKS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), THCH carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, LVO (LiveOne Inc.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $40.3M) and STKS (The ONE Group Hospitality Inc.) posts a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.5%, cap $34.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, THCH leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while STKS leads on capital efficiency (2.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for THCH?
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For TH International Limited (THCH), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #601 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.19 (-0.27%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510048
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (5)SEC (13)Macro (9)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.2% Base Target
$3 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE THCH RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for THCH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY THCH SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0% FCF Margin ($1.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
40
Grade D$1.16-13.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
43
Grade D$1.00+21% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
45
Grade D$1.21-1.7% Next Q
Current
48
Grade D$1.19-5.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (40) → D (48)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a THCH Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While THCH currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.23) and Max Pain ($1.25) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.41.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $THCH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “THCH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 48%NO 52%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your THCH Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $1.19: 8403.4 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $0.89
$7,479
$-2,521 (-25.2%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $1.14
$9,580
$-420 (-4.2%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $3.41
$28,655
+$18,655 (+186.6%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$174%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$369%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$158%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring THCH)

  • ✓Walkthrough of THCH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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THCH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -43.87%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $1.21H $1.21L $1.19C $1.19VOL 35.9K
RES: $1.48SUP: $0.98SMA50: $1.23SMA200: $1.73
$2.47$2.07$1.67$1.27$0.88RES $1.48SUP $0.98$1.192026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

THCH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 THCH Butterfly Map → + Track THCH →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on THCH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for THCH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for THCH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (THCH)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #601 of 1009 ⚔️ LVO vs THCH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (THCH vs. LVO, STKS, GENK, MB)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TH International Limited (THCH) ranks #601 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #834 by equity capitalization ($39.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, THCH leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while STKS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.5% ROIC and — gross margin. MB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 49/100 (D) compared with THCH at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
THCH ACTIVE
TH International Limited
D 48/100 — — — -0.42% $39.6M Benchmark Subject
LVO
LiveOne Inc.
E 25/100 — 15.9% -35.0% -5.10% $40.3M /lvo-vs-thch →
STKS
The ONE Group Hospitality Inc.
E 22/100 — — 2.5% +6.36% $34.9M /stks-vs-thch →
GENK
GEN Restaurant Group Inc. (Class A)
E 17/100 — — -35.0% -6.71% $52.0M /genk-vs-thch →
MB
MasterBeef Group
D 49/100 — — — -2.03% $67.6M /mb-vs-thch →

2. THCH Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

TH International Limited (THCH) operates in Restaurants (Consumer Discretionary) with an equity capitalization of $39.6M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. THCH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is THCH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, TH International Limited (NASDAQ: THCH) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $1.19 (-0.42% 1D, market cap $39.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, THCH ranks #601 in composite RQD confidence.

How does THCH compare to LVO and STKS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), THCH carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, LVO (LiveOne Inc.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $40.3M) and STKS (The ONE Group Hospitality Inc.) posts a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.5%, cap $34.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, THCH leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while STKS leads on capital efficiency (2.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for THCH?

For TH International Limited (THCH), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #601 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is THCH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

THCH last traded at $1.19 (-0.42% on volume of 23,000 shares), positioning the stock -3.25% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.23) and -31.21% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.73). Across its 52-week range of $1.00 to $3.25, THCH sits at the 8.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.0% ($1.07 to $1.31).

Direct Sub-Reports: THCH RQD Cockpit THCH 12M Forecast THCH Earnings & Move THCH Dividends & DRIP THCH Insiders & 13F THCH Whale Options THCH Profit Sankey THCH News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 48/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

THCH — TH International Limited: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

TH International Limited (THCH) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 48/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $1.19 (-0.42% 1D, market capitalization $39.6M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, Restaurants industry. Its market capitalization is listed as $0.0B in the profile, while the market data shows $40.4M. — describes its products, customers, or revenue model.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 48/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.00 – $3.25 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— identifies upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector correlations for THCH. The two Yahoo! Finance Canada headlines referencing other issuers (CNNE and 533.SI) are not linked to THCH in the graph and should not be read as supply-chain relationships. A prospective investor should note that no 2nd-order bottleneck can be identified from the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can THCH sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Restaurants peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (— FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score N/A) toward the $3.25 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is THCH's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

THCH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for TH International Limited (THCH) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to THCH Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 147d ago
TH International Q1 Earnings Call Highlights

TH International (NASDAQ:THCH), the operator of Tims China, reported weaker first-quarter 2026 sales as management continued to close underperforming stores, reduce discount-driven promotions and shift resources toward f

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

THCH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.19?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON THCH 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on THCH:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.50 (+26.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The forensic balance sheet pillar (13 of 20, Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 6/9, Debt/Equity 0.5) is the strongest component of the rating.

Long THCH at $1.19 targeting $1.50. The forensic balance sheet pillar (13 of 20, Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 6/9, Debt/Equity 0.5) is the strongest component of the rating.. Institutional whale score is 5/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $1.00 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Shorting a 5/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $1.19 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.89 (-25.2%)
Spot @ $1.19

A 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield, with flow and insider pillars below midpoint, leave the rating in distribution-warning territory.

I respect the product at TH International Limited, but the stock at $1.19 is a different story. A 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield, with flow and insider pillars below midpoint, leave the rating in distribution-warning territory.. FCF yield is 0.0% and RQD sits at 48/100 (D) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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